
2026 schedule
Eastern Washington Eagles
2026 season so far
Eastern Washington is 2-6 against the 11th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 27 and allowing 38.1 points per game (-11.1 per game).
Eastern Washington plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Montana in Week 9. We project Eastern Washington 27, Montana 40 — Eastern Washington wins 19% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
1-0 · SOS #16
Loss 27-34
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Northern Arizona by 5.6
Total 58.8
DraftKings
NAU -5.5
Total 55.5
Final Northern Arizona by 7. Northern Arizona beat the spread. 61 points — over the 55.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Northern Arizona -5.5 (open Northern Arizona -3) · O/U 55.5 (open 56.5) · ML +189 / -242 · Northern Arizona 67% no-vig · model vs market +0.1 pts, -3 pct pts (Northern Arizona view)
ESPN+ J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome - vs

Northern Iowa Panthers
0-1 · SOS #4
Win 34-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Eastern Washington by 5
Total 49.2
DraftKings
EWU -7
Total 52.5
Final Eastern Washington by 10. Eastern Washington beat the spread. 58 points — over the 52.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Eastern Washington -7 (open Eastern Washington -6.5) · O/U 52.5 · ML +216 / -280 · Eastern Washington 70% no-vig · model vs market -2.0 pts, -7 pct pts (Eastern Washington view)
ESPN+ Roos Field - at

South Dakota Coyotes
3-0 · SOS #35
Loss 23-41
Week 2
Our number· pregame
South Dakota by 10.9
Total 56.7
DraftKings
SDAK -15.5
Total 61.5
Final South Dakota by 18. South Dakota beat the spread. 64 points — over the 61.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: South Dakota -15.5 (open South Dakota -16.5) · O/U 61.5 (open 58.5) · ML +482 / -740 · South Dakota 84% no-vig · model vs market -4.6 pts, -7 pct pts (South Dakota view)
ESPN+ The DakotaDome - at

Washington Huskies
3-0 · SOS #65
Loss 16-48
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Washington by 35.8
Total 49.8
DraftKings
WASH -42.5
Total 58.5
Final Washington by 32. Eastern Washington beat the spread. 64 points — over the 58.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Washington -43 (open Washington -42.5) · O/U 58.75 (open 57.25) · model vs market -7.2 pts (Washington view)
BTN Husky Stadium - vs

Cal Poly Mustangs
3-2 · SOS #92
Loss 27-31
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Eastern Washington by 5
Total 60.2
DraftKings
EWU -3.5
Total 58.5
Final Cal Poly by 4. Cal Poly beat the spread. 58 points — under the 58.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Washington -3.5 (open Eastern Washington -3) · O/U 58.5 (open 59.5) · ML +165 / -209 · Eastern Washington 64% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, -1 pct pts (Eastern Washington view)
Game-time weather: 61°F, Wind 3 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (TWRW1)ESPN+ Roos Field - at

UC Davis Aggies
4-2 · SOS #86
Loss 38-49
Week 5
Our number· pregame
UC Davis by 9.4
Total 62.4
DraftKings
UCD -8.5
Total 61.5
Final UC Davis by 11. UC Davis beat the spread. 87 points — over the 61.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: UC Davis -8.5 (open UC Davis -9.5) · O/U 61.5 (open 60.5) · ML +269 / -358 · UC Davis 74% no-vig · model vs market +0.9 pts, -1 pct pts (UC Davis view)
Game-time weather: 77°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KEDU)ESPN2 UC Davis Health Stadium - vs

Northern Colorado Bears
2-5 · SOS #62
Win 31-22
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Eastern Washington by 7.2
Total 54.8
DraftKings
EWU -6.5
Total 58.5
Final Eastern Washington by 9. Eastern Washington beat the spread. 53 points — under the 58.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Washington -6.5 · O/U 58.5 · ML +209 / -269 · Eastern Washington 69% no-vig · model vs market +0.7 pts, -1 pct pts (Eastern Washington view)
Game-time weather: 53°F, Wind 1 mph WSW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (TWRW1)ESPN+ Roos Field - vs

Montana State Bobcats
6-1 · SOS #55
Loss 20-56
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Montana State by 20.8
Total 59.8
DraftKings
MTST -20.5
Total 64.5
Final Montana State by 36. Montana State beat the spread. 76 points — over the 64.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Montana State -20.5 (open Montana State -19.5) · O/U 64.5 (open 65.5) · ML -1360 / +720 · Eastern Washington 12% no-vig · model vs market -0.3 pts, -3 pct pts (Eastern Washington view)
Game-time weather: 62°F, Wind 6 mph W.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (TWRW1)ESPN+ Roos Field - vs

Montana Grizzlies
5-3 · SOS #50
Sat, Oct 31, 8:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 27-40 · 19%
Our number
Montana by 13
Total 67
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 46°F, Wind 5 mph NE, 26% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Roos Field - at

Idaho Vandals
3-5 · SOS #7
Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 27-37 · 26%
Our number
Idaho by 10
Total 64
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Kibbie Dome - at

Utah Tech Trailblazers
1-7 · SOS #17
Sat, Nov 14, 9:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 31-28 · 58%
Our number
Eastern Washington by 3
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Greater Zion Stadium - vs

Portland State Vikings
2-6 · SOS #8
Sat, Nov 21, 9:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 36-28 · 70%
Our number
Eastern Washington by 8
Total 64
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Roos Field
Times shown in your local time
Eastern Washington Eagles stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-26.7
Adj. offense
16.1
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
42.8
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 27.0 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 38.1 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.51 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 7.52 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 148.4 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 283.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 227.6 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 245.9 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.25 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.13 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.38 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.05 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.10 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 41.2% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 44.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.4% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 15.5% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.8% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.3% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.51 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.07 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 9 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 78.4 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.08 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.13 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.07 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 41.9% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 44.2% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 21.5% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.5% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 29.4% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 43.4% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 42.3% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 43.7% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 57.8% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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