Cincinnati Reds: projections & ratings
National League Central · Home park: Great American Ball Park (run environment +3.9%)
Ratings
Cincinnati Reds: 4.11 runs scored and 5.1 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating -0.18 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention +0.24 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: -3 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: +1 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): -1
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: CIN @ TOR — CIN 1 – 5 TOR · Final. Brandon Williamson vs Max Scherzer; projected CIN 4.0–4.8 TOR, 8.8 runs, TOR 61% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: CIN @ TOR — CIN 5 – 1 TOR · Final. Rhett Lowder vs Trey Yesavage; projected CIN 4.2–5.0 TOR, 9.2 runs, TOR 61% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: CIN @ TOR — CIN 5 – 6 TOR · Final. Nick Lodolo vs José Soriano; projected CIN 4.0–4.7 TOR, 8.6 runs, TOR 61% to win.
- Thursday, September 24, 2026: CIN @ ATL — CIN 7 – 6 ATL · Final. Brady Singer vs Tyler Mahle; projected CIN 3.9–4.9 ATL, 8.9 runs, ATL 63% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Carlos Jorge (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.305
- Elly De La Cruz (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.343
- Sal Stewart (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.331
- JJ Bleday (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.317
- Juan Brito (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.308
- Héctor Rodríguez (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.305
- Matt McLain (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.296
- Will Banfield (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.294
- Oswaldo Cabrera (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.288
Bullpen workload
- Emilio Pagán: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.4 pts
- Pierce Johnson: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.9 pts
- Tejay Antone: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.6 pts
- Brock Burke: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.6 pts
- Zach McCambley: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league 0.0 pts
- Luis Mey: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.2 pts
- Carson Spiers: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.9 pts
- Graham Ashcraft: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.3 pts
- Connor Phillips: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -4.2 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Abbott | 32 | 20.2% | 9.3% | 4.9 |
| Brady Singer | 31 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 4.7 |
| Chase Burns | 29 | 30.0% | 9.1% | 4.5 |
| Rhett Lowder | 26 | 17.4% | 10.2% | 4.9 |
| Nick Lodolo | 21 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 5.3 |
| Brandon Williamson | 9 | 18.1% | 11.1% | 4.7 |
| Hunter Greene | 5 | 28.7% | 10.2% | 5.4 |
| Chase Petty | 3 | 14.5% | 10.6% | 4.5 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.