Milwaukee Brewers: projections & ratings
National League Central · Home park: American Family Field (run environment -2.8%)
Ratings
Milwaukee Brewers: 5.09 runs scored and 3.78 allowed per game over 166 games. Offense rating +0.48 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention -0.56 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: 0 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: 0 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +33
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: next games
- Sunday, October 11, 2026: LAD @ MIL — 8:00 PM ET (NL Championship Series, game 1). Tarik Skubal vs Jacob Misiorowski; projected LAD 3.8–3.3 MIL, 7.2 runs, LAD 53% to win.
- Monday, October 12, 2026: LAD @ MIL — 5:00 PM ET (NL Championship Series, game 2). Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs TBD; projected LAD 4.3–3.8 MIL, 8.1 runs, LAD 54% to win.
Schedule: recent results
- Wednesday, October 7, 2026: MIL @ SD — MIL 3 – 1 SD · Final (NL Division Series, game 4). Robert Gasser vs Walker Buehler; projected MIL 4.2–4.1 SD, 8.3 runs, SD 51% to win.
- Tuesday, October 6, 2026: MIL @ SD — MIL 3 – 4 SD · Final (NL Division Series, game 3). Dustin May vs Nick Pivetta; projected MIL 3.9–4.2 SD, 8.1 runs, SD 56% to win.
- Sunday, October 4, 2026: SD @ MIL — SD 3 – 4 MIL · Final (NL Division Series, game 2). Michael King vs Logan Henderson; projected SD 3.6–4.0 MIL, 7.7 runs, MIL 58% to win.
- Saturday, October 3, 2026: SD @ MIL — SD 2 – 3 MIL · Final (NL Division Series, game 1). Robbie Ray vs Jacob Misiorowski; projected SD 3.4–4.2 MIL, 7.5 runs, MIL 62% to win.
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: STL @ MIL — STL 4 – 6 MIL · Final. Andre Pallante vs Jacob Misiorowski; projected STL 3.2–4.8 MIL, 8.0 runs, MIL 71% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Jackson Chourio (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.34
- Christian Yelich (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.333
- William Contreras (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.337
- Brice Turang (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.323
- Jake Bauers (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.339
- Cooper Pratt (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.313
- Sal Frelick (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.303
- Garrett Mitchell (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.328
- Joey Ortiz (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.296
Bullpen workload
- Trevor Megill: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +9.8 pts
- Aaron Ashby: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.8 pts
- Abner Uribe: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +3.5 pts
- Kyle Harrison: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +3.3 pts
- Shane Drohan: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.7 pts
- Chad Patrick: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.8 pts
- JoJo Romero: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.8 pts
- Colton Gordon: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.1 pts
- DL Hall: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.8 pts
- Bryse Wilson: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.7 pts
- Antonio Senzatela: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -6.6 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin May | 32 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 3.9 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 31 | 35.5% | 9.1% | 5.0 |
| Kyle Harrison | 24 | 25.0% | 9.2% | 4.3 |
| Robert Gasser | 21 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 5.1 |
| Brandon Sproat | 19 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 4.7 |
| Logan Henderson | 19 | 28.9% | 7.2% | 5.4 |
| Shane Drohan | 19 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 4.7 |
| Brandon Woodruff | 9 | 28.8% | 7.3% | 4.9 |
2026 postseason: NL Division Series preview vs San Diego Padres · NL Championship Series preview vs Los Angeles Dodgers · NLCS schedule, head-to-head and bullpens.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.