New York Yankees: projections & ratings
American League East · Home park: Yankee Stadium (run environment -1.3%)
Ratings
New York Yankees: 4.59 runs scored and 3.69 allowed per game over 166 games. Offense rating +0.36 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention -0.44 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: +7 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: -3 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): -4
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Wednesday, October 7, 2026: TB @ NYY — TB 4 – 3 NYY · Final (AL Division Series, game 3). Nick Martinez vs Max Fried; projected TB 3.9–4.3 NYY, 8.1 runs, NYY 58% to win.
- Monday, October 5, 2026: NYY @ TB — NYY 2 – 5 TB · Final (AL Division Series, game 2). Cam Schlittler vs Freddy Peralta; projected NYY 4.0–3.6 TB, 7.6 runs, NYY 52% to win.
- Saturday, October 3, 2026: NYY @ TB — NYY 0 – 1 TB · Final (AL Division Series, game 1). Gerrit Cole vs Drew Rasmussen; projected NYY 4.0–3.8 TB, 7.8 runs, TB 51% to win.
- Wednesday, September 30, 2026: BOS @ NYY — BOS 2 – 9 NYY · Final (AL Wild Card Series, game 2). Sonny Gray vs Max Fried; projected BOS 4.0–4.0 NYY, 7.9 runs, NYY 53% to win.
- Tuesday, September 29, 2026: BOS @ NYY — BOS 0 – 9 NYY · Final (AL Wild Card Series, game 1). Payton Tolle vs Cam Schlittler; projected BOS 3.6–3.8 NYY, 7.4 runs, NYY 55% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Trent Grisham (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.315
- Ben Rice (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.357
- Luis García Jr. (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.322
- Cody Bellinger (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.335
- George Lombard Jr. (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.308
- Austin Wells (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.297
- Anthony Volpe (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.293
- Spencer Jones (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.314
- José Caballero (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.295
Bullpen workload
- Brent Headrick: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +7.6 pts
- David Bednar: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +6.9 pts
- Will Warren: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.9 pts
- Ryan Weathers: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.7 pts
- Michael Fulmer: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.6 pts
- Bradley Hanner: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.8 pts
- Alexander Cornielle: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.5 pts
- John Schreiber: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.5 pts
- Paul Blackburn: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.9 pts
- Ryan Yarbrough: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.4 pts
- Yerry De los Santos: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -4.1 pts
- Luis Gil: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -5.0 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | 35 | 29.7% | 8.1% | 5.3 |
| Will Warren | 29 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 5.1 |
| Ryan Weathers | 25 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 5.3 |
| Gerrit Cole | 23 | 24.9% | 7.0% | 5.4 |
| Max Fried | 22 | 23.4% | 8.4% | 5.3 |
| Carlos Rodón | 16 | 25.7% | 10.6% | 5.5 |
| Elmer Rodríguez | 6 | 18.5% | 13.1% | 4.7 |
| Luis Gil | 4 | 21.3% | 13.8% | 4.9 |
2026 postseason: AL Wild Card Series preview vs Boston Red Sox · AL Division Series preview vs Tampa Bay Rays · ALDS schedule, head-to-head and bullpens.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
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