Pittsburgh Pirates: projections & ratings
National League Central · Home park: PNC Park (run environment +0.4%)
Ratings
Pittsburgh Pirates: 4.73 runs scored and 4.56 allowed per game over 162 games. Offense rating -0.20 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention -0.14 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: -12 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: +5 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +18
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Sunday, September 27, 2026: PIT @ DET — PIT 4 – 2 DET · Final. Jared Jones vs River Ryan; projected PIT 4.5–4.1 DET, 8.7 runs, PIT 52% to win.
- Saturday, September 26, 2026: PIT @ DET — PIT 3 – 4 DET · Final. Kirby Yates vs Justin Verlander; projected PIT 4.3–4.0 DET, 8.3 runs, PIT 50% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: PIT @ DET — PIT 7 – 8 DET · Final. Bubba Chandler vs Jackson Jobe; projected PIT 4.3–4.3 DET, 8.6 runs, DET 53% to win.
- Thursday, September 24, 2026: STL @ PIT — STL 1 – 2 PIT · Final. Kyle Leahy vs Paul Skenes; projected STL 3.4–4.3 PIT, 7.7 runs, PIT 63% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Konnor Griffin (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.315
- Ryan O'Hearn (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.334
- Bryan Reynolds (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.332
- Rafael Flores Jr. (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.331
- Spencer Horwitz (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.328
- Nick Gonzales (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.314
- Jake Mangum (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.308
- Jacob Gonzalez (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.297
- Billy Cook (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.292
Bullpen workload
- Mason Montgomery: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +10.8 pts
- Kirby Yates: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +5.6 pts
- Luke Weaver: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.4 pts
- Brandon Eisert: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.8 pts
- Lake Bachar: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.3 pts
- Gregory Soto: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.6 pts
- Wilber Dotel: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.1 pts
- Yohan Ramírez: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.2 pts
- Evan Sisk: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.9 pts
- Carmen Mlodzinski: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.6 pts
- Antwone Kelly: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.4 pts
- Khristian Curtis: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -6.4 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes | 32 | 29.2% | 8.0% | 5.5 |
| Bubba Chandler | 30 | 21.4% | 11.6% | 4.8 |
| Braxton Ashcraft | 28 | 25.3% | 7.3% | 5.6 |
| Mitch Keller | 22 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 4.7 |
| Jared Jones | 21 | 27.5% | 8.8% | 5.2 |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | 12 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 4.4 |
| Lake Bachar | 12 | 25.5% | 10.7% | 3.0 |
| Mason Montgomery | 5 | 34.0% | 10.7% | 2.8 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.