
2026 schedule
Akron Zips
2026 season so far
Akron is 1-7 against the 109th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 19 and allowing 32.8 points per game (-13.8 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Akron ranks 134th of 139 FBS teams overall — 128th on offense and 132nd on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: vs Ohio in Week 10. We project Akron 19, Ohio 33 — Akron wins 17% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
1-0 · SOS #47
Loss 16-38
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Wake Forest by 13.5
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Wake Forest by 22. 54 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium - vs

Robert Morris Colonials
2-1 · SOS #143
Win 45-10
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Akron by 27.3
Total 45.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Akron by 35. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ InfoCision Stadium - at

Minnesota Golden Gophers
2-1 · SOS #75
Loss 7-41
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Minnesota by 3.8
Total 53.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Minnesota by 34. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
BTN Huntington Bank Stadium - vs

UNLV Rebels
2-2 · SOS #82
Loss 10-38
Week 4
Our number· pregame
UNLV by 4.2
Total 52.8
Book line
Not posted
Final UNLV by 28. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ InfoCision Stadium - at

Central Michigan Chippewas
3-2 · SOS #71
Loss 17-41
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Central Michigan by 5.4
Total 49.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Michigan by 24. 58 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 5 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMOP)ESPN+ Kelly/Shorts Stadium - vs

Eastern Michigan Eagles
4-3 · SOS #131
Loss 23-25
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Eastern Michigan by 4.3
Total 54.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Eastern Michigan by 2. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 66°F, Wind 6 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAKR)ESPN+ InfoCision Stadium - at

Miami (OH) RedHawks
4-3 · SOS #117
Loss 14-34
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Miami (OH) by 12.5
Total 52.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Miami (OH) by 20. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 5 mph NE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KOXD)ESPN+ Yager Stadium - at

Kent State Golden Flashes
3-5 · SOS #68
Loss 20-35
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Kent State by 0.6
Total 50.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Kent State by 15. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 63°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAKR)ESPN+ Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium - vs

Ohio Bobcats
6-2 · SOS #135
Wed, Nov 4, 12:00 AM
Week 10
Proj 19-33 · 17%
Our number
Ohio by 14
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Slight chance rain showers, 62°F, Wind 8 mph SE, 19% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTESPN2 InfoCision Stadium - vs

Western Michigan Broncos
5-3 · SOS #91
Wed, Nov 11, 12:00 AM
Week 11
Proj 17-35 · 13%
Our number
Western Michigan by 18
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
InfoCision Stadium - at

Massachusetts Minutemen
4-4 · SOS #138
Wed, Nov 18 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 24-28 · 39%
Our number
Massachusetts by 4
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - vs

Buffalo Bulls
5-3 · SOS #127
Fri, Nov 27, 5:00 PM
Week 13
Proj 25-27 · 43%
Our number
Buffalo by 2
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
InfoCision Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Akron Zips stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-18.9
133rd in FBS
Adj. offense
17.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
36.4
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 19.0 | 128 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 32.8 | 126 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.61 | 105 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 7.01 | 133 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 157.0 | 89 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 206.8 | 87 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 189.0 | 110 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 237.8 | 109 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.38 | 128 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.63 | 105 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 0.38 | 138 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.88 | 126 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.03 | 99 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.15 | 120 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 41.7% | 90 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 44.3% | 108 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 14.8% | 25 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.5% | 127 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.3% | 111 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.0% | 126 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.90 | 90 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.90 | 80 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 25 | 134 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 32 | 126 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.9 | 78 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.11 | 53 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.02 | 114 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.11 | 108 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.17 | 109 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 46.8% | 42 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 35.7% | 122 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.3% | 25 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 28.5% | 101 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 32.8% | 108 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 44.3% | 41 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.4% | 80 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 65.7% | 46 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 51.1% | 37 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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