2026 schedule
Georgia State Panthers
2026 season so far
Georgia State is 4-3 against the 129th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 35.9 and allowing 26 points per game (+9.9 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Georgia State ranks 96th of 139 FBS teams overall — 71st on offense and 114th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: vs Coastal Carolina in Week 9. We project Georgia State 33, Coastal Carolina 25 — Georgia State wins 69% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
North Carolina A&T Aggies
0-2 · SOS #118
Win 59-10
Week 1
Our number· model now
Georgia State by 32
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia State by 49. 69 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Center Parc Stadium - at
Kennesaw State Owls
1-1 · SOS #91
Win 31-17
Week 2
Our number· model now
Georgia State by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia State by 14. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - at
UCF Knights
2-1 · SOS #34
Loss 30-44
Week 3
Our number· model now
UCF by 12
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final UCF by 14. 74 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Acrisure Bounce House - vs
Northern Illinois Huskies
0-4 · SOS #58
Win 35-14
Week 4
Our number· model now
Georgia State by 15
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia State by 21. 49 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Center Parc Stadium - vs
Old Dominion Monarchs
1-4 · SOS #80
Win 42-10
Week 5
Our number· model now
Georgia State by 7
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia State by 32. 52 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Center Parc Stadium - at
James Madison Dukes
7-0 · SOS #128
Loss 22-49
Week 7
Our number· model now
James Madison by 15
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final James Madison by 27. 71 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNU Bridgeforth Stadium - at
Arkansas State Red Wolves
4-4 · SOS #103
Loss 32-38
Week 8
Our number· model now
Georgia State by 2
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
Final Arkansas State by 6. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Centennial Bank Stadium - vs
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
2-5 · SOS #118
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 33-25 · 69%
Our number
Georgia State by 8
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Center Parc Stadium - at
App State Mountaineers
5-2 · SOS #124
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 30-30 · 50%
Our number
dead even
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kidd Brewer Stadium - vs
Georgia Southern Eagles
3-4 · SOS #83
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 29-29 · 50%
Our number
dead even
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Center Parc Stadium - at
Marshall Thundering Herd
4-3 · SOS #106
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 31-28 · 58%
Our number
Georgia State by 3
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Joan C. Edwards Stadium - vs
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
5-3 · SOS #112
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 29-30 · 46%
Our number
Louisiana by 1
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Center Parc Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Georgia State Panthers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-6.3
96th in FBS
Adj. offense
25.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
32.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 35.9 | 28 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 26.0 | 92 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.77 | 20 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.71 | 79 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 204.6 | 28 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 250.1 | 44 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 159.9 | 80 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 193.4 | 47 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.29 | 124 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.43 | 129 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.00 | 11 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.00 | 16 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.18 | 25 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | 95 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 46.6% | 37 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.4% | 44 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 16.3% | 9 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 15.2% | 131 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.7% | 59 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 11.9% | 36 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.51 | 35 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.39 | 32 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 29 | 80 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 33 | 130 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.1 | 58 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.15 | 30 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.22 | 27 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.15 | 127 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.04 | 66 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 45.8% | 54 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 47.6% | 29 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 17.0% | 70 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 36.6% | 24 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 25.2% | 16 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 46.7% | 29 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 29.9% | 7 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 60.9% | 74 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 55.2% | 48 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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