2026 schedule
Stonehill Skyhawks
2026 season so far
Stonehill is 3-5 against the 114th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 17 and allowing 21.9 points per game (-4.9 per game).
Stonehill plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Mercyhurst in Week 9. We project Stonehill 28, Mercyhurst 21 — Stonehill wins 67% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Bryant Bulldogs
1-0 · SOS #132
Loss 6-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Stonehill by 3.4
Total 47.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Bryant by 18. 30 points. No book line was saved for this game.
W.B. Mason Stadium - at
New Haven Chargers
1-1 · SOS #74
Win 21-3
Week 1
Our number· pregame
New Haven by 3.9
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Stonehill by 18. 24 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium - at
New Hampshire Wildcats
1-2 · SOS #77
Loss 35-42
Week 2
Our number· pregame
New Hampshire by 9.1
Total 41.7
Book line
Not posted
Final New Hampshire by 7. 77 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Wildcat Stadium (NH) - at
Massachusetts Minutemen
3-0 · SOS #138
Loss 14-36
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Massachusetts by 40.5
Total 47.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Massachusetts by 22. 50 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - at
Ohio Bobcats
2-2 · SOS #135
Loss 7-35
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Ohio by 28
Total 51.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Ohio by 28. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 71°F, Wind 8 mph NW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KUNI)ESPN+ Peden Stadium - at
Sacred Heart Pioneers
2-4 · SOS #149
Win 28-7
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Sacred Heart by 10.3
Total 45.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Stonehill by 21. 35 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 9 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBDR)Campus Field - vs
Duquesne Dukes
2-4 · SOS #91
Loss 7-14
Week 7
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 49.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Duquesne by 7. 21 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 50°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KOWD)W.B. Mason Stadium - at
Long Island University Sharks
3-6 · SOS #59
Win 18-14
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Long Island University by 1.8
Total 40.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Stonehill by 4. 32 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 59°F, Wind 7 mph NW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KFRG)Shark Stadium - vs
Mercyhurst Lakers
1-7 · SOS #39
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 28-21 · 67%
Our number
Stonehill by 7
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Sunny, 53°F, Wind 8 mph N, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTW.B. Mason Stadium - vs
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
4-3 · SOS #82
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 22-31 · 29%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 9
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ W.B. Mason Stadium - at
Robert Morris Colonials
4-4 · SOS #143
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 21-22 · 49%
Our number
Robert Morris by 1
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium - vs
Wagner Seahawks
1-7 · SOS #64
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 29-16 · 80%
Our number
Stonehill by 13
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
W.B. Mason Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Stonehill Skyhawks stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-28.8
Adj. offense
8.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
37.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 17.0 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.9 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.13 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.72 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 118.6 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 188.8 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 170.3 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 177.1 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.13 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.88 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.38 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.88 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.06 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.00 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 37.1% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 40.0% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.0% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.8% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.9% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.8% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.40 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 2.89 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 18 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 15 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.9 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.10 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.01 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.02 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 36.0% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.3% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 25.1% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.1% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.5% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 32.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 35.6% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 53.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 49.5% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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