2026 schedule
Howard Bison
2026 season so far
Howard is 4-4 against the 47th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 20.4 and allowing 29.9 points per game (-9.5 per game).
Howard plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at North Carolina Central in Week 9. We project Howard 23, North Carolina Central 27 — Howard wins 41% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
0-1 · SOS #150
Win 31-24
Week 1
Our number· model now
Alabama A&M by 13
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Howard by 7. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ABC Center Parc Stadium - vs
Richmond Spiders
2-0 · SOS #130
Loss 21-28
Week 1
Our number· model now
Richmond by 2
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
Final Richmond by 7. 49 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Greene Stadium - at
#5 Indiana Hoosiers
2-0 · SOS #31
Loss 0-55
Week 2
Our number· model now
Indiana by 52
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final Indiana by 55. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
BTN Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - at
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
1-3 · SOS #51
Loss 7-58
Week 4
Our number· model now
Rutgers by 26
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
Final Rutgers by 51. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
BTN SHI Stadium - vs
Hampton Pirates
1-5 · SOS #142
Win 27-13
Week 5
Our number· model now
Howard by 14
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Howard by 14. 40 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Audi Field - at
Pennsylvania Quakers
2-2 · SOS #97
Loss 20-24
Week 6
Our number· model now
Pennsylvania by 8
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
Final Pennsylvania by 4. 44 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Franklin Field - vs
Morehouse College Maroon Tigers
3-5 · SOS #139
Win 31-17
Week 7
Our number· model now
Howard by 11
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Howard by 14. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Greene Stadium - at
Morgan State Bears
5-3 · SOS #167
Win 26-20
Week 8
Our number· model now
Morgan State by 5
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Howard by 6. 46 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hughes Stadium (MD) - at
North Carolina Central Eagles
3-5 · SOS #144
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 23-27 · 41%
Our number
North Carolina Central by 4
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ O'Kelly-Riddick Stadium - vs
South Carolina State Bulldogs
6-2 · SOS #155
Fri, Nov 6, 12:30 AM
Week 10
Proj 19-35 · 14%
Our number
South Carolina State by 16
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPNU Greene Stadium - vs
Delaware State Hornets
4-4 · SOS #127
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 26-23 · 60%
Our number
Howard by 3
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Greene Stadium - at
Norfolk State Spartans
4-4 · SOS #153
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 23-28 · 36%
Our number
Norfolk State by 5
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
William "Dick" Price Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Howard Bison stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-28.0
Adj. offense
11.1
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
39.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 20.4 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 29.9 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 4.66 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.00 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 141.6 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 148.6 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 148.4 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 242.4 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.50 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.50 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.01 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.05 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 36.9% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.0% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.5% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.4% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.5% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.1% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.19 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.63 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 18 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 14 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 62.3 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.08 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.06 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.00 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.10 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 39.2% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 31.2% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 20.9% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 25.5% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 35.7% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 33.1% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 43.6% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 68.6% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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