2026 schedule
South Alabama Jaguars
2026 season so far
South Alabama is 4-3 against the 104th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 35.1 and allowing 32.4 points per game (+2.7 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings South Alabama ranks 95th of 139 FBS teams overall — 58th on offense and 125th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: vs Louisiana Tech in Week 9. We project South Alabama 28, Louisiana Tech 32 — South Alabama wins 39% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
SE Louisiana Lions
0-2 · SOS #54
Win 39-14
Week 1
Our number· model now
South Alabama by 14
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
Final South Alabama by 25. 53 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium - at
Tulane Green Wave
1-1 · SOS #53
Loss 24-28
Week 2
Our number· model now
Tulane by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulane by 4. 52 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Yulman Stadium - vs
Ohio Bobcats
1-2 · SOS #135
Win 41-36
Week 3
Our number· model now
Ohio by 2
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
Final South Alabama by 5. 77 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium - at
Kentucky Wildcats
3-1 · SOS #4
Loss 21-45
Week 4
Our number· model now
Kentucky by 16
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
Final Kentucky by 24. 66 points. No book line was saved for this game.
SEC Network Kroger Field - vs
UL Monroe Warhawks
0-5 · SOS #100
Win 52-35
Week 5
Our number· model now
South Alabama by 14
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
Final South Alabama by 17. 87 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium - at
Arkansas State Red Wolves
2-4 · SOS #103
Win 56-49
Week 6
Our number· model now
South Alabama by 1
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final South Alabama by 7. 105 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Centennial Bank Stadium - at
Marshall Thundering Herd
4-3 · SOS #106
Loss 13-20
Week 8
Our number· model now
South Alabama by 3
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final Marshall by 7. 33 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Joan C. Edwards Stadium - vs
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
5-2 · SOS #102
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 28-32 · 39%
Our number
Louisiana Tech by 4
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium - at
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
5-3 · SOS #112
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 28-33 · 36%
Our number
Louisiana by 5
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - vs
Troy Trojans
3-4 · SOS #113
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 33-27 · 65%
Our number
South Alabama by 6
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Hancock Whitney Stadium - at
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
2-5 · SOS #94
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 35-30 · 64%
Our number
South Alabama by 5
Total 65
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
M. M. Roberts Stadium - vs
App State Mountaineers
5-2 · SOS #124
Fri, Nov 27, 8:00 PM
Week 13
Proj 34-30 · 61%
Our number
South Alabama by 4
Total 64
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium
Times shown in your local time
South Alabama Jaguars stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-6.0
95th in FBS
Adj. offense
27.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
33.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 35.1 | 33 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 32.4 | 124 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.01 | 66 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 7.23 | 137 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 224.4 | 15 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 202.4 | 95 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 173.6 | 95 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 256.1 | 124 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.29 | 11 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | 56 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.71 | 97 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.00 | 19 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.12 | 52 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.23 | 136 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.2% | 77 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 46.5% | 128 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.3% | 75 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.1% | 119 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.8% | 53 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 11.6% | 34 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.10 | 71 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.40 | 113 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 30 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 31 | 114 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 71.0 | 15 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.08 | 71 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.20 | 34 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.22 | 135 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.23 | 122 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 44.4% | 71 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 40.6% | 82 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 15.5% | 40 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.1% | 59 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 36.5% | 124 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.8% | 72 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 43.1% | 113 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 62.0% | 70 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 73.6% | 129 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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