NFL Week 18 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 29, 2026

Week 18 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Steelers at Ravens (0-point margin), the highest projected total is Cowboys at Commanders (46.9 points) and the lowest is Chargers at Broncos (36.1). 7 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

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Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Jets20
Bills24
We project Bills 24-20, a 4.3-point margin with 43.7 total points; Bills win 63% of the time.
Our number
BUF by 4.3
Total 43.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BUF by 4.3 · Total 43.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bills 63% · total 43.7Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Browns18
Bengals23
We project Bengals 23-18, a 4.7-point margin with 40.5 total points; Bengals win 65% of the time.
Our number
CIN by 4.7
Total 40.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CIN by 4.7 · Total 40.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 65% · total 40.5Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Chargers15
Broncos21
We project Broncos 21-15, a 6.7-point margin with 36.1 total points; Broncos win 70% of the time.
Our number
DEN by 6.7
Total 36.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DEN by 6.7 · Total 36.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broncos 70% · total 36.1Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Lions19
Packers22
We project Packers 22-19, a 2.5-point margin with 40.9 total points; Packers win 58% of the time.
Our number
GB by 2.5
Total 40.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — GB by 2.5 · Total 40.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Packers 58% · total 40.9Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Jaguars22
Colts21
We project Jaguars 22-21, a 1.5-point margin with 43.3 total points; Jaguars win 55% of the time.
Our number
JAX by 1.5
Total 43.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — JAX by 1.5 · Total 43.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 55% · total 43.3Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Raiders17
Chiefs23
We project Chiefs 23-17, a 5.4-point margin with 40 total points; Chiefs win 67% of the time.
Our number
KC by 5.4
Total 40.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — KC by 5.4 · Total 40.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Chiefs 67% · total 40Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Seahawks22
Rams19
We project Seahawks 22-19, a 2.9-point margin with 40.5 total points; Seahawks win 59% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
SEA by 2.9
Total 40.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 2.9 · Total 40.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 59% · total 40.5Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Bears17
Vikings21
We project Vikings 21-17, a 4.8-point margin with 38 total points; Vikings win 65% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 4.8
Total 37.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 4.8 · Total 37.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 65% · total 38Full preview →

Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Dolphins16
Patriots23
We project Patriots 23-16, a 7.1-point margin with 38.3 total points; Patriots win 71% of the time.
Our number
NE by 7.1
Total 38.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NE by 7.1 · Total 38.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 71% · total 38.3Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Buccaneers22
Saints21
We project Buccaneers 22-21, a 0.9-point margin with 43.5 total points; Buccaneers win 53% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
TB by 0.9
Total 43.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — TB by 0.9 · Total 43.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Buccaneers 53% · total 43.5Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Eagles18
Giants22
We project Giants 22-18, a 3.7-point margin with 39.7 total points; Giants win 62% of the time.
Our number
NYG by 3.7
Total 39.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NYG by 3.7 · Total 39.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Giants 62% · total 39.7Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
49ers24
Cardinals22
We project 49ers 24-22, a 2.1-point margin with 45.1 total points; 49ers win 57% of the time.
Our number
SF by 2.1
Total 45.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SF by 2.1 · Total 45.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
49ers 57% · total 45.1Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Cowboys23
Commanders24
We project Commanders 24-23, a 0.5-point margin with 46.9 total points; Commanders win 52% of the time.
Our number
WAS by 0.5
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
Our number — WAS by 0.5 · Total 47 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Commanders 52% · total 46.9Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Falcons21
Panthers23
We project Panthers 23-21, a 2.1-point margin with 43.9 total points; Panthers win 57% of the time.
Our number
CAR by 2.1
Total 44
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CAR by 2.1 · Total 44 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panthers 57% · total 43.9Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Steelers20
Ravens20
We project Ravens 20-20, a 0-point margin with 40.6 total points; Ravens win 50% of the time.
Our number
Even
Total 40.6
Book line
Not posted
Our number — Even · Total 40.6 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Ravens 50% · total 40.6Full preview →
Sun, Jan 10 · TBD
Titans18
Texans24
We project Texans 24-18, a 6-point margin with 42.7 total points; Texans win 68% of the time.
Our number
HOU by 6
Total 42.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — HOU by 6 · Total 42.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Texans 68% · total 42.7Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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