2026 schedule
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
2026 season so far
Alabama A&M is 6-2 against the 152nd-toughest schedule so far, scoring 40.1 and allowing 20 points per game (+20.1 per game).
Alabama A&M plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Alabama State in Week 9. We project Alabama A&M 27, Alabama State 28 — Alabama A&M wins 48% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Howard Bison
1-0 · SOS #47
Loss 24-31
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Howard by 2.7
Total 51.3
DraftKings
HOW -1.5
Total 46.5
Final Howard by 7. Howard beat the spread. 55 points — over the 46.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Howard -1.5 (open Alabama A&M -2.5) · O/U 46.5 · ML +100 / -124 · Alabama A&M 53% no-vig · model vs market -1.2 pts, -10 pct pts (Alabama A&M view)
ABC Center Parc StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hit - vs
Miles College Golden Bears
0-2 · SOS #56
Win 38-23
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 1
Total 55.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Alabama A&M by 15. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Louis Crews StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missed - vs
Tennessee State Tigers
0-3 · SOS #33
Win 30-3
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 3
Total 48.8
DraftKings
TNST -3.5
Total 49.5
Final Alabama A&M by 27. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 33 points — under the 49.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee State -3.5 (open Tennessee State -1.5) · O/U 49.5 · ML -147 / +118 · Alabama A&M 44% no-vig · model vs market +6.5 pts, +14 pct pts (Alabama A&M view)
Louis Crews StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: missedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: hit - vs
Bowie State Bulldogs
0-3 · SOS #102
Win 45-3
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 8
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final Alabama A&M by 42. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Louis Crews Stadium - at
Florida A&M Rattlers
1-4 · SOS #21
Win 40-21
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 5.6
Total 56
DraftKings
AAMU -3
Total 51.5
Final Alabama A&M by 19. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 61 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama A&M -3 (open Florida A&M -1.5) · O/U 51.5 (open 49.5) · ML -134 / +108 · Florida A&M 46% no-vig · model vs market -2.6 pts, -10 pct pts (Florida A&M view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 67°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KTLH)Bragg Memorial StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Blowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded gamesBlowout Alert: hit - vs
Jackson State Tigers
5-0 · SOS #163
Loss 28-31
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 9
Total 56.8
DraftKings
JKST -10
Total 54.5
Final Jackson State by 3. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 59 points — over the 54.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jackson State -10 (open Jackson State -9.5) · O/U 54.5 (open 49.5) · ML +268 / -358 · Jackson State 74% no-vig · model vs market -1.0 pts, -2 pct pts (Jackson State view)
Game-time weather: Heavy rain and fog/mist, 79°F, Wind 9 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBFM)Ladd-Peebles Stadium - vs
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
3-3 · SOS #125
Win 55-17
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 8
Total 58.6
DraftKings
AAMU -4
Total 48.5
Final Alabama A&M by 38. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 72 points — over the 48.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama A&M -4 (open Alabama A&M -3) · O/U 48.5 (open 52.5) · ML +151 / -189 · Alabama A&M 62% no-vig · model vs market +4.0 pts, +8 pct pts (Alabama A&M view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 63°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMDQ)Louis Crews Stadium - vs
Grambling Tigers
4-3 · SOS #60
Win 61-31
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 9.8
Total 64.6
DraftKings
AAMU -7
Total 60.5
Final Alabama A&M by 30. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 92 points — over the 60.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama A&M -7 · O/U 60.5 (open 59.5) · ML +173 / -219 · Alabama A&M 65% no-vig · model vs market +2.8 pts, +9 pct pts (Alabama A&M view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 63°F, Wind 14 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMDQ)Louis Crews StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: hitHigh Scoring AlertHigh Scoring Alert: Record 13 hits, 7 misses (65% hit rate) over 20 graded gamesHigh Scoring Alert: hit - vs
Alabama State Hornets
4-3 · SOS #162
Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 27-28 · 48%
Our number
Alabama State by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly cloudy, 75°F, Wind 10 mph SE, 12% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Legion Field (AL)ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - at
Prairie View A&M Panthers
4-5 · SOS #67
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 31-25 · 64%
Our number
Alabama A&M by 6
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Panther StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - vs
Texas Southern Tigers
2-5 · SOS #138
Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 42-19 · 93%
Our number
Alabama A&M by 23
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Louis Crews StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - at
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
3-5 · SOS #156
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 41-18 · 94%
Our number
Alabama A&M by 23
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rice-Totten StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Alabama A&M Bulldogs stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-15.3
Adj. offense
21.3
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
36.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 40.1 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 20.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 7.54 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.34 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 203.0 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 285.5 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 138.9 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 145.6 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.88 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.63 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 0.75 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.13 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.01 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 44.4% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 37.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.5% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.7% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 15.7% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.72 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 2.62 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.8 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.10 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.15 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.04 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 51.2% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 46.6% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.0% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 35.2% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 29.6% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 50.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 29.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 48.2% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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