2026 schedule
App State Mountaineers
2026 season so far
App State is 5-2 against the 124th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 30.1 and allowing 23.1 points per game (+7 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings App State ranks 101st of 139 FBS teams overall — 100th on offense and 105th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Georgia Southern in Week 9. We project App State 24, Georgia Southern 30 — App State wins 33% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Maine Black Bears
1-1 · SOS #62
Win 55-3
Week 1
Our number· model now
App State by 26
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 52. 58 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Kidd Brewer Stadium - at
East Carolina Pirates
0-2 · SOS #96
Win 27-24
Week 2
Our number· model now
East Carolina by 8
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 3. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNU Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium - vs
Charlotte 49ers
0-3 · SOS #79
Win 26-21
Week 3
Our number· model now
App State by 15
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 5. 47 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Kidd Brewer Stadium - at
NC State Wolfpack
2-2 · SOS #67
Loss 31-41
Week 4
Our number· model now
NC State by 11
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
Final NC State by 10. 72 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNU Carter-Finley Stadium - vs
Old Dominion Monarchs
2-4 · SOS #80
Loss 3-10
Week 6
Our number· model now
App State by 4
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
Final Old Dominion by 7. 13 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Kidd Brewer Stadium - at
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
2-5 · SOS #118
Win 35-32
Week 7
Our number· model now
App State by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 3. 67 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Brooks Stadium (SC) - vs
James Madison Dukes
7-1 · SOS #128
Win 34-31
Week 8
Our number· model now
James Madison by 14
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 3. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNU Kidd Brewer Stadium - at
Georgia Southern Eagles
3-4 · SOS #83
Sat, Oct 31, 10:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-30 · 33%
Our number
Georgia Southern by 6
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Allen E. Paulson Stadium - vs
Georgia State Panthers
4-3 · SOS #129
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 30-30 · 50%
Our number
dead even
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kidd Brewer Stadium - at
Marshall Thundering Herd
4-3 · SOS #106
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 28-27 · 53%
Our number
App State by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Joan C. Edwards Stadium - vs
UL Monroe Warhawks
1-6 · SOS #100
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 33-20 · 79%
Our number
App State by 13
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kidd Brewer Stadium - at
South Alabama Jaguars
4-3 · SOS #104
Fri, Nov 27, 8:00 PM
Week 13
Proj 30-34 · 39%
Our number
South Alabama by 4
Total 64
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium
Times shown in your local time
App State Mountaineers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-8.4
101st in FBS
Adj. offense
22.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
31.3
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 30.1 | 59 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 23.1 | 61 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.98 | 70 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.24 | 43 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 153.4 | 96 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 259.3 | 35 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 138.0 | 48 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 223.6 | 97 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.57 | 37 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.57 | 9 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.29 | 116 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.57 | 54 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.08 | 69 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.02 | 54 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.0% | 81 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 42.8% | 90 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 14.5% | 30 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 11.0% | 50 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.7% | 60 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.5% | 77 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.11 | 69 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.73 | 60 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 35 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 28 | 49 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 69.0 | 37 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.00 | 113 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.15 | 46 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.08 | 93 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.05 | 36 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 37.6% | 123 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 45.4% | 43 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.1% | 101 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.5% | 50 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 27.8% | 47 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 38.5% | 93 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 34.7% | 33 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 75.2% | 11 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 62.9% | 87 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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