
2026 schedule
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
2026 season so far
Bethune-Cookman is 5-3 against the 113th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 27.9 and allowing 28.1 points per game (-0.2 per game).
Bethune-Cookman plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Arkansas-Pine Bluff in Week 9. We project Bethune-Cookman 28, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 30 — Bethune-Cookman wins 43% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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- at

UCF Knights
1-0 · SOS #30
Loss 6-73
Week 1
Our number· pregame
UCF by 31.2
Total 55.8
DraftKings
UCF -43.5
Total 58.5
Final UCF by 67. UCF beat the spread. 79 points — over the 58.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: UCF -43.5 (open UCF -41.5) · O/U 58.5 · model vs market -12.3 pts (UCF view)
ESPN+ Acrisure Bounce HousePregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hit - vs

Stetson Hatters
1-2 · SOS #151
Win 43-18
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Bethune-Cookman by 12.9
Total 61.1
DraftKings
BCU -14.5
Total 56.5
Final Bethune-Cookman by 25. Bethune-Cookman beat the spread. 61 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Bethune-Cookman -14.5 · O/U 56.5 · ML +545 / -880 · Bethune-Cookman 85% no-vig · model vs market -1.6 pts, -5 pct pts (Bethune-Cookman view)
Daytona StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: hit - vs

Virginia Lynchburg Dragons
No record · SOS #154
Win 62-3
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Bethune-Cookman by 17.5
Total 58.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Bethune-Cookman by 59. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Daytona StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hit - vs

South Carolina State Bulldogs
5-0 · SOS #139
Loss 21-31
Week 4
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 17.6
Total 64.6
DraftKings
SCST -17.5
Total 58.5
Final South Carolina State by 10. Bethune-Cookman beat the spread. 52 points — under the 58.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -17.5 (open South Carolina State -13.5) · O/U 58.5 · ML -1040 / +600 · Bethune-Cookman 14% no-vig · model vs market -0.1 pts, -1 pct pts (Bethune-Cookman view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 73°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDAB)Daytona StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: missedBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded gamesBlowout Alert: missed - vs

Alabama State Hornets
3-2 · SOS #124
Win 16-10
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Alabama State by 9.8
Total 58.8
DraftKings
ALST -7
Total 51.5
Final Bethune-Cookman by 6. Bethune-Cookman beat the spread. 26 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama State -7 (open Alabama State -7.5) · O/U 51.5 (open 54.5) · ML -269 / +208 · Bethune-Cookman 31% no-vig · model vs market -2.8 pts, -5 pct pts (Bethune-Cookman view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 73°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDAB)Daytona StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - at

Alabama A&M Bulldogs
5-2 · SOS #146
Loss 17-55
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Alabama A&M by 8
Total 58.6
DraftKings
AAMU -4
Total 48.5
Final Alabama A&M by 38. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 72 points — over the 48.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama A&M -4 (open Alabama A&M -3) · O/U 48.5 (open 52.5) · ML +151 / -189 · Alabama A&M 62% no-vig · model vs market +4.0 pts, +8 pct pts (Alabama A&M view)
Game-time weather: Light rain, 63°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMDQ)Louis Crews Stadium - at

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
3-5 · SOS #144
Win 34-14
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Bethune-Cookman by 10.2
Total 57.2
DraftKings
BCU -6.5
Total 50.5
Final Bethune-Cookman by 20. Bethune-Cookman beat the spread. 48 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Bethune-Cookman -6.5 (open Bethune-Cookman -7.5) · O/U 50.5 (open 57.5) · ML -252 / +196 · Mississippi Valley State 32% no-vig · model vs market -3.7 pts, -7 pct pts (Mississippi Valley State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 11 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KGWO)Rice-Totten StadiumPregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: hitUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missed - vs

Jackson State Tigers
6-2 · SOS #140
Win 24-21
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 10.4
Total 56.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Bethune-Cookman by 3. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 78°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDED)Daytona Stadium - at

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
4-3 · SOS #73
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 28-30 · 43%
Our number
Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 2
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 76°F, Wind 5 mph ESE, 41% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTSimmons Bank FieldExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded games - at

Southern Jaguars
3-5 · SOS #66
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 29-25 · 58%
Our number
Bethune-Cookman by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
A.W. Mumford StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs

Grambling Tigers
4-3 · SOS #49
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 33-30 · 57%
Our number
Bethune-Cookman by 3
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Daytona StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded games - vs

Florida A&M Rattlers
2-6 · SOS #20
Sat, Nov 21, 8:30 PM
Week 12
Proj 29-25 · 60%
Our number
Bethune-Cookman by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Camping World StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-26.4
Adj. offense
13.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
40.3
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 27.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 28.1 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.23 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.27 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 234.4 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 105.8 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 206.6 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 170.6 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.88 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.75 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.75 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.88 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.03 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.02 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 39.0% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.0% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 17.1% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.5% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.01 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.87 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 11 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 7 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 65.0 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.06 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.15 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.17 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.20 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 41.7% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 31.5% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 21.7% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 26.5% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.8% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 36.6% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 35.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 65.1% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 58.7% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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