
2026 schedule
Houston Christian Huskies
2026 season so far
Houston Christian is 4-4 against the 106th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 28.9 and allowing 26.6 points per game (+2.3 per game).
Houston Christian plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Stephen F. Austin in Week 9. We project Houston Christian 11, Stephen F. Austin 44 — Houston Christian wins 2% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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SE Louisiana Lions
0-1 · SOS #53
Win 34-28
Week 1
Our number· pregame
SE Louisiana by 17.7
Total 49.5
DraftKings
SELA -24.5
Total 51.5
Final Houston Christian by 6. Houston Christian beat the spread. 62 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: SE Louisiana -24.5 · O/U 51.5 · model vs market -6.8 pts (SE Louisiana view)
ESPN+ Strawberry Stadium - at

Rice Owls
1-0 · SOS #66
Loss 3-31
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Rice by 30.9
Total 48.1
DraftKings
RICE -22.5
Total 47.5
Final Rice by 28. Rice beat the spread. 34 points — under the 47.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Rice -22.75 (open Rice -23.5) · O/U 47.5 · ML +1075 / -2200 · Rice 92% no-vig · model vs market +8.1 pts, +6 pct pts (Rice view)
ESPN+ First Community Stadium - vs

Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes
No record · SOS #142
Win 88-0
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Houston Christian by 3.8
Total 48.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Houston Christian by 88. 88 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Husky Stadium (TX) - at

Incarnate Word Cardinals
2-1 · SOS #34
Loss 23-30
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Houston Christian by 1.6
Total 61
DraftKings
UIW -14
Total 50.5
Final Incarnate Word by 7. Houston Christian beat the spread. 53 points — over the 50.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Incarnate Word -14 · O/U 50.5 · ML +450 / -680 · Incarnate Word 83% no-vig · model vs market -15.6 pts, -37 pct pts (Incarnate Word view)
ESPN+ Gayle and Tom Benson Stadium - at

North Texas Mean Green
2-2 · SOS #84
Loss 14-63
Week 4
Our number· pregame
North Texas by 23.5
Total 61.7
DraftKings
UNT -38.5
Total 60.5
Final North Texas by 49. North Texas beat the spread. 77 points — over the 60.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: North Texas -38.25 (open North Texas -37.5) · O/U 60.5 (open 59.25) · ML +5000 / -100000 · North Texas 98% no-vig · model vs market -14.7 pts, -4 pct pts (North Texas view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 88°F, Wind 9 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDTO)ESPN+ DATCU Stadium - vs

Nicholls Colonels
2-4 · SOS #72
Win 16-2
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Houston Christian by 11.2
Total 57.2
DraftKings
HCU -1.5
Total 53.5
Final Houston Christian by 14. Houston Christian beat the spread. 18 points — under the 53.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Houston Christian -1.5 · O/U 53.5 (open 51.5) · ML +101 / -125 · Houston Christian 53% no-vig · model vs market +9.7 pts, +24 pct pts (Houston Christian view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 82°F, Wind 10 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSGR)ESPN+ Husky Stadium (TX) - vs

East Texas A&M Lions
2-5 · SOS #58
Win 43-24
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Houston Christian by 1
Total 52
DraftKings
HCU -3
Total 48.5
Final Houston Christian by 19. Houston Christian beat the spread. 67 points — over the 48.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Houston Christian -3 · O/U 48.5 (open 47.5) · ML +121 / -151 · Houston Christian 57% no-vig · model vs market -2.0 pts, -5 pct pts (Houston Christian view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 61°F, Wind 8 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSGR)ESPN+ Husky Stadium (TX) - at

Lamar Cardinals
6-2 · SOS #104
Loss 10-35
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Lamar by 13.2
Total 51.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Lamar by 25. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 81°F, Wind 11 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBPT)ESPN+ Provost Umphrey Stadium - at

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
8-0 · SOS #117
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 11-44 · 2%
Our number
Stephen F. Austin by 33
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance showers and thunderstorms, 78°F, Wind 5 mph SE, 43% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Homer Bryce Stadium - vs

McNeese Cowboys
3-5 · SOS #26
Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 23-27 · 41%
Our number
McNeese by 4
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Husky Stadium (TX) - at

Northwestern State Demons
0-8 · SOS #107
Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 36-21 · 84%
Our number
Houston Christian by 15
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Turpin Stadium - vs

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
4-4 · SOS #85
Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 19-30 · 24%
Our number
UT Rio Grande Valley by 11
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Husky Stadium (TX)
Times shown in your local time
Houston Christian Huskies stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-30.2
Adj. offense
11.0
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
41.3
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 28.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 26.6 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.47 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.91 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 154.6 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 184.3 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 221.1 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 210.9 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.88 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.88 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.50 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.01 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.04 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 37.6% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.6% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 11.4% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 11.1% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 18.3% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.27 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.25 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 16 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 15 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 62.0 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.05 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.07 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.08 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.03 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 34.7% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 37.3% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 24.3% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.9% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 29.3% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 36.9% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 45.0% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 56.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 60.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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