2026 schedule
Jackson State Tigers
2026 season so far
Jackson State is 6-2 against the 163rd-toughest schedule so far, scoring 35.6 and allowing 22 points per game (+13.6 per game).
Jackson State plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Mississippi Valley State in Week 10. We project Jackson State 41, Mississippi Valley State 13 — Jackson State wins 97% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
11 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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- at
Tennessee State Tigers
0-1 · SOS #33
Win 26-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 10.1
Total 45.7
DraftKings
JKST -12.5
Total 49.5
Final Jackson State by 2. Tennessee State beat the spread. 50 points — over the 49.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Jackson State -12.5 (open Jackson State -15.5) · O/U 49.5 · ML -650 / +435 · Tennessee State 18% no-vig · model vs market +2.4 pts, +8 pct pts (Tennessee State view)
ESPN+ Nissan Stadium - vs
Edward Waters Tigers
1-1 · SOS #13
Win 66-14
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 11.5
Total 52.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Jackson State by 52. 80 points. No book line was saved for this game.
HBCU Go Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium - vs
Tuskegee Golden Tigers
1-2 · SOS #14
Win 41-7
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 8.1
Total 55.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Jackson State by 34. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium - vs
Southern Jaguars
2-3 · SOS #90
Win 35-17
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 25.5
Total 58.3
DraftKings
JKST -20.5
Total 57.5
Final Jackson State by 18. Southern beat the spread. 52 points — under the 57.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jackson State -20.5 · O/U 57.5 · ML +710 / -1340 · Jackson State 88% no-vig · model vs market +5.0 pts, +7 pct pts (Jackson State view)
Game-time weather: Haze, 79°F, Wind 3 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHKS)ESPN+ Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium - vs
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
4-2 · SOS #152
Win 31-28
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 9
Total 56.8
DraftKings
JKST -10
Total 54.5
Final Jackson State by 3. Alabama A&M beat the spread. 59 points — over the 54.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jackson State -10 (open Jackson State -9.5) · O/U 54.5 (open 49.5) · ML +268 / -358 · Jackson State 74% no-vig · model vs market -1.0 pts, -2 pct pts (Jackson State view)
Game-time weather: Heavy rain and fog/mist, 79°F, Wind 9 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBFM)Ladd-Peebles Stadium - at
Grambling Tigers
4-2 · SOS #60
Loss 38-45
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 12.1
Total 61.3
DraftKings
JKST -8.5
Total 55.5
Final Grambling by 7. Grambling beat the spread. 83 points — over the 55.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jackson State -8.5 · O/U 55.5 (open 54.5) · ML -311 / +237 · Grambling 28% no-vig · model vs market -3.6 pts, -7 pct pts (Grambling view)
Game-time weather: 87°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRSN)Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - vs
Florida A&M Rattlers
2-5 · SOS #21
Win 27-17
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 19.3
Total 56.5
DraftKings
JKST -15.5
Total 54.5
Final Jackson State by 10. Florida A&M beat the spread. 44 points — under the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jackson State -15.5 (open Jackson State -13.5) · O/U 54.5 · ML +462 / -700 · Jackson State 83% no-vig · model vs market +3.8 pts, +7 pct pts (Jackson State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 9 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHKS)ESPN+ Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium - at
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
5-3 · SOS #125
Loss 21-24
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Jackson State by 10.4
Total 56.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Bethune-Cookman by 3. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 78°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDED)Daytona Stadium - vs
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
3-5 · SOS #156
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 41-13 · 97%
Our number
Jackson State by 28
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium - at
Alabama State Hornets
4-3 · SOS #162
Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 25-26 · 46%
Our number
Alabama State by 1
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ASU Football Stadium - at
Alcorn State Braves
4-4 · SOS #164
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 35-28 · 68%
Our number
Jackson State by 7
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Spinks-Casem Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Jackson State Tigers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-13.7
Adj. offense
19.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
33.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 35.6 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 22.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.58 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.18 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 209.5 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 235.6 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 139.8 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 187.5 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.63 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.63 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.13 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.50 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.13 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.07 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 41.3% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.2% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 12.8% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 11.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.5% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.3% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.6 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.18 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.14 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 43.7% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 40.3% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.6% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 30.8% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 34.5% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 46.7% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 44.5% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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