2026 schedule
South Carolina State Bulldogs
2026 season so far
South Carolina State is 6-2 against the 155th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 40.9 and allowing 17.6 points per game (+23.3 per game).
South Carolina State plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Morgan State in Week 9. We project South Carolina State 36, Morgan State 22 — South Carolina State wins 81% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Savannah State Tigers
0-1 · SOS #2
Win 87-0
Week 1
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 11.8
Total 58.6
Book line
Not posted
Final South Carolina State by 87. 87 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Oliver C. Dawson Stadium - vs
Florida A&M Rattlers
1-1 · SOS #21
Win 31-13
Week 1
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 11
Total 60.8
DraftKings
SCST -19.5
Total 52.5
Final South Carolina State by 18. Florida A&M beat the spread. 44 points — under the 52.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -19.5 (open South Carolina State -17.5) · O/U 52.5 · ML -1420 / +740 · Florida A&M 11% no-vig · model vs market +8.5 pts, +12 pct pts (Florida A&M view)
ESPN2 Hard Rock StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: missed - vs
Virginia State Trojans
2-1 · SOS #3
Win 66-0
Week 2
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 14.7
Total 57.1
Book line
Not posted
Final South Carolina State by 66. 66 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Oliver C. Dawson Stadium - at
Furman Paladins
2-2 · SOS #20
Win 20-17
Week 3
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 4.3
Total 49.9
DraftKings
SCST -4.5
Total 46.5
Final South Carolina State by 3. Furman beat the spread. 37 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -4.5 (open South Carolina State -10) · O/U 46.5 (open 48.5) · ML -225 / +177 · Furman 34% no-vig · model vs market +0.2 pts, +5 pct pts (Furman view)
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
2-2 · SOS #125
Win 31-21
Week 4
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 17.6
Total 64.6
DraftKings
SCST -17.5
Total 58.5
Final South Carolina State by 10. Bethune-Cookman beat the spread. 52 points — under the 58.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -17.5 (open South Carolina State -13.5) · O/U 58.5 · ML -1040 / +600 · Bethune-Cookman 14% no-vig · model vs market -0.1 pts, -1 pct pts (Bethune-Cookman view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 73°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDAB)Daytona StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesLeans high scoring: missedBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded gamesBlowout Alert: missed - vs
The Citadel Bulldogs
2-3 · SOS #10
Loss 31-34
Week 5
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 24.6
Total 57
DraftKings
SCST -17.5
Total 48.5
Final The Citadel by 3. The Citadel beat the spread. 65 points — over the 48.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -17.5 (open South Carolina State -20.5) · O/U 48.5 (open 47.5) · ML +574 / -950 · South Carolina State 86% no-vig · model vs market +7.1 pts, +9 pct pts (South Carolina State view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 84°F, Wind 5 mph NW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KOGB)Oliver C. Dawson StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: missedBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: missedBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - at
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
3-3 · SOS #61
Loss 39-49
Week 6
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 11.3
Total 48.3
DraftKings
SCST -6.5
Total 37.5
Final Charleston Southern by 10. Charleston Southern beat the spread. 88 points — over the 37.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -6.5 · O/U 37.5 (open 41.5) · ML -259 / +201 · Charleston Southern 32% no-vig · model vs market -4.8 pts, -9 pct pts (Charleston Southern view)
Game-time weather: Light rain and fog/mist, 79°F, Wind 9 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCHS)ESPN+ Buccaneer FieldPregame calls · how each did
Blowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - vs
Norfolk State Spartans
4-4 · SOS #153
Win 22-7
Week 8
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 17.7
Total 62.5
Book line
Not posted
Final South Carolina State by 15. 29 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 73°F, Wind 13 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KOGB)ESPN+ Oliver C. Dawson StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitLeans high scoringLeans high scoring: Record 48 hits, 44 misses (52% hit rate) over 92 graded gamesHigh Scoring AlertHigh Scoring Alert: Record 13 hits, 7 misses (65% hit rate) over 20 graded gamesUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missed - at
Morgan State Bears
5-3 · SOS #167
Thu, Oct 29, 11:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 36-22 · 81%
Our number
South Carolina State by 14
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly clear, 62°F, Wind 5 mph S, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 8:35 AM EDTESPNU Hughes Stadium (MD) - at
Howard Bison
4-4 · SOS #47
Fri, Nov 6, 12:30 AM
Week 10
Proj 35-19 · 86%
Our number
South Carolina State by 16
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPNU Greene StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded games - vs
North Carolina Central Eagles
3-5 · SOS #144
Sat, Nov 14, 6:30 PM
Week 11
Proj 39-19 · 91%
Our number
South Carolina State by 20
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Oliver C. Dawson StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded games - vs
Delaware State Hornets
4-4 · SOS #124
Sat, Nov 21, 6:30 PM
Week 12
Proj 39-16 · 93%
Our number
South Carolina State by 23
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Oliver C. Dawson StadiumExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded games
Times shown in your local time
South Carolina State Bulldogs stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-9.3
Adj. offense
23.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
33.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 40.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 17.6 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.78 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.87 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 220.9 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 242.6 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 119.1 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 157.0 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.88 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.75 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 0.88 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.10 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.01 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.4% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 35.4% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.1% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.8% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 18.1% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.9% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.72 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.43 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 68.4 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.12 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.03 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.01 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 48.6% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 40.4% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 22.7% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.9% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 24.4% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 45.0% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 28.0% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.