2026 schedule
Washington Huskies
2026 season so far
Washington is 4-3 against the 65th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 27.9 and allowing 22.7 points per game (+5.2 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Washington ranks 37th of 139 FBS teams overall — 42nd on offense and 40th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at Nebraska in Week 9. We project Washington 21, Nebraska 30 — Washington wins 28% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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- vs
Washington State Cougars
0-1 · SOS #33
Win 24-10
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Washington by 9.4
Total 49.2
DraftKings
WASH -23.5
Total 51.5
Final Washington by 14. Washington State beat the spread. 34 points — under the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Washington -23.25 (open Washington -21.5) · O/U 51.25 (open 50.5) · ML +1150 / -2500 · Washington 92% no-vig · model vs market -13.8 pts, -19 pct pts (Washington view)
NBC Husky Stadium - vs
Utah State Aggies
0-2 · SOS #38
Win 16-14
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Washington by 14.9
Total 53.5
DraftKings
WASH -28.5
Total 55.5
Final Washington by 2. Utah State beat the spread. 30 points — under the 55.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Washington -28.5 (open Washington -25.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 56) · ML +1650 / -5750 · Washington 94% no-vig · model vs market -13.6 pts, -11 pct pts (Washington view)
BTN Husky Stadium - vs
Eastern Washington Eagles
1-3 · SOS #11
Win 48-16
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Washington by 35.8
Total 49.8
DraftKings
WASH -42.5
Total 58.5
Final Washington by 32. Eastern Washington beat the spread. 64 points — over the 58.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Washington -43 (open Washington -42.5) · O/U 58.75 (open 57.25) · model vs market -7.2 pts (Washington view)
BTN Husky Stadium - vs
Minnesota Golden Gophers
3-1 · SOS #75
Loss 24-27
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Washington by 9.2
Total 48.8
DraftKings
WASH -12.5
Total 44.5
Final Minnesota by 3. Minnesota beat the spread. 51 points — over the 44.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Washington -12.25 (open Washington -9.25) · O/U 44.75 · ML +312.5 / -402.5 · Washington 77% no-vig · model vs market -3.1 pts, -4 pct pts (Washington view)
Fox Husky Stadium - at
#18 USC Trojans
5-1 · SOS #25
Loss 21-25
Week 5
Our number· pregame
USC by 10
Total 57.4
DraftKings
USC -7.5
Total 58.5
Final USC by 4. Washington beat the spread. 46 points — under the 58.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: USC -8.25 (open USC -10) · O/U 58.25 (open 56.5) · ML +277.5 / -360 · USC 75% no-vig · model vs market +1.8 pts, -0 pct pts (USC view)
NBC Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - vs
#20 Iowa Hawkeyes
5-1 · SOS #39
Loss 24-41
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Iowa by 2
Total 44.8
DraftKings
WASH -3
Total 41.5
Final Iowa by 17. Iowa beat the spread. 65 points — over the 41.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Washington -3 (open Washington -2) · O/U 41 (open 42) · ML +120 / -142.5 · Washington 56% no-vig · model vs market -5.0 pts, -12 pct pts (Washington view)
Fox Husky Stadium - at
Purdue Boilermakers
3-4 · SOS #13
Win 38-26
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Washington by 5
Total 56.4
DraftKings
PUR -3
Total 50.5
Final Washington by 12. Washington beat the spread. 64 points — over the 50.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Purdue -3 (open Purdue -2.75) · O/U 50.5 (open 52) · ML +130 / -152.5 · Purdue 58% no-vig · model vs market -8.0 pts, -21 pct pts (Purdue view)
Fox Ross-Ade Stadium - at
Nebraska Cornhuskers
5-2 · SOS #32
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 AM
Week 9
Proj 21-30 · 28%
Our number
Nebraska by 9
Total 51
DraftKings
NEB -7.5
Total 49.5
We're 1.5 points higher on Nebraska than the book. Shown for comparison only.
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Market lines: Nebraska -7.5 · O/U 49.5 · ML +250 / -308 · Nebraska 73% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, -2 pct pts (Nebraska view)
BTN Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) - vs
Penn State Nittany Lions
3-4 · SOS #46
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 27-24 · 58%
Our number
Washington by 3
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Husky Stadium - at
Michigan State Spartans
2-6 · SOS #7
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 28-21 · 68%
Our number
Washington by 7
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Spartan Stadium - vs
#4 Indiana Hoosiers
7-1 · SOS #31
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 16-31 · 16%
Our number
Indiana by 15
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Husky Stadium - at
Oregon Ducks
4-3 · SOS #20
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 19-34 · 16%
Our number
Oregon by 15
Total 53
DraftKings
ORE -15.5
Total 54.5
We agree with the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oregon -15.5 · O/U 54.5 · ML +500 / -700 · Oregon 84% no-vig · model vs market -0.5 pts, -0 pct pts (Oregon view)
Autzen Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Washington Huskies stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+7.0
36th in FBS
Adj. offense
30.0
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
23.0
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 27.9 | 76 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 22.7 | 57 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.08 | 61 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.47 | 62 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 122.4 | 127 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 262.6 | 32 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 141.3 | 51 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 205.9 | 69 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.86 | 59 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.43 | 14 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.86 | 82 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.00 | 128 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.06 | 83 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.01 | 40 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.9% | 60 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.7% | 49 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 14.0% | 35 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.9% | 43 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 16.8% | 14 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.3% | 71 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.36 | 46 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.95 | 85 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 28 | 104 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 30 | 97 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 63.3 | 95 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.02 | 117 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.12 | 62 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.06 | 26 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.04 | 65 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 40.6% | 100 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 46.3% | 34 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 20.2% | 117 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 27.3% | 114 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 29.1% | 64 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 34.5% | 118 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 32.6% | 17 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 62.1% | 69 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 61.1% | 80 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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