2026 schedule
West Virginia Mountaineers
2026 season so far
West Virginia is 5-3 against the 56th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 35.9 and allowing 32.3 points per game (+3.6 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings West Virginia ranks 75th of 139 FBS teams overall — 29th on offense and 121st on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Texas Tech in Week 10. We project West Virginia 25, Texas Tech 42 — West Virginia wins 13% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
0-1 · SOS #115
Win 31-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
West Virginia by 7.1
Total 57.1
DraftKings
WVU -21
Total 54.5
Final West Virginia by 7. Coastal Carolina beat the spread. 55 points — over the 54.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: West Virginia -21 (open West Virginia -17.5) · O/U 54.5 (open 57.5) · ML -49575 / -1587.5 · West Virginia 69% no-vig · model vs market -13.9 pts, -1 pct pts (West Virginia view)
TNT Milan Puskar Stadium - vs
UT Martin Skyhawks
1-2 · SOS #45
Win 52-7
Week 2
Our number· pregame
West Virginia by 32.6
Total 49.2
DraftKings
WVU -41.5
Total 57.5
Final West Virginia by 45. West Virginia beat the spread. 59 points — over the 57.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: West Virginia -41.5 (open West Virginia -41.25) · O/U 57.5 (open 55.5) · model vs market -8.9 pts (West Virginia view)
ESPN+ Milan Puskar Stadium - vs
#25 Virginia Cavaliers
2-1 · SOS #54
Win 38-27
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Virginia by 5.3
Total 53.9
DraftKings
UVA -10.5
Total 51.5
Final West Virginia by 11. West Virginia beat the spread. 65 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Virginia -10.75 (open Virginia -9) · O/U 51.5 (open 52.5) · ML +305 / -395 · Virginia 76% no-vig · model vs market -5.4 pts, -13 pct pts (Virginia view)
ACC Network Bank of America Stadium - vs
Oklahoma State Cowboys
3-1 · SOS #60
Loss 24-41
Week 4
Our number· pregame
West Virginia by 6.4
Total 56.8
DraftKings
WVU -1.5
Total 60.5
Final Oklahoma State by 17. Oklahoma State beat the spread. 65 points — over the 60.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: West Virginia -1.5 (open Oklahoma State -0.5) · O/U 60.5 (open 58.5) · ML +102.5 / -122.5 · West Virginia 53% no-vig · model vs market +4.9 pts, +14 pct pts (West Virginia view)
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 64°F, Wind 6 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMGW)FS1 Milan Puskar Stadium - at
Iowa State Cyclones
3-2 · SOS #29
Loss 42-45
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Iowa State by 9.1
Total 55.7
DraftKings
ISU -3
Total 53.5
Final Iowa State by 3. The spread landed exactly on the number. 87 points — over the 53.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Iowa State -3 (open Iowa State -2) · O/U 53.25 (open 53) · ML +127.5 / -150 · Iowa State 58% no-vig · model vs market +6.1 pts, +15 pct pts (Iowa State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 13 mph S.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAMW)TNT Jack Trice Stadium - vs
Arizona Wildcats
5-1 · SOS #78
Loss 31-52
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Arizona by 10.2
Total 60
DraftKings
ARIZ -3.5
Total 61.5
Final Arizona by 21. Arizona beat the spread. 83 points — over the 61.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Arizona -3.5 (open Arizona -3) · O/U 61.5 (open 60.75) · ML -160 / +135 · West Virginia 41% no-vig · model vs market -6.7 pts, -16 pct pts (West Virginia view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 68°F, Wind 11 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMGW)TNT Milan Puskar Stadium - vs
Cincinnati Bearcats
4-2 · SOS #41
Win 45-42
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Cincinnati by 2.4
Total 62.4
DraftKings
WVU -1.5
Total 64.5
Final West Virginia by 3. West Virginia beat the spread. 87 points — over the 64.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: West Virginia -1.5 · O/U 64 (open 61.75) · ML +101 / -121 · West Virginia 52% no-vig · model vs market -3.9 pts, -9 pct pts (West Virginia view)
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 52°F, Wind 10 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMGW)TNT Milan Puskar Stadium - at
TCU Horned Frogs
3-4 · SOS #55
Win 24-20
Week 8
Our number· pregame
TCU by 11.8
Total 57.8
DraftKings
TCU -10
Total 58.5
Final West Virginia by 4. West Virginia beat the spread. 44 points — under the 58.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: TCU -10 · O/U 58.5 · ML +285 / -365 · TCU 74% no-vig · model vs market +1.8 pts, +4 pct pts (TCU view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 75°F, Wind 8 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KFTW)ESPN2 Amon G. Carter Stadium - at
#13 Texas Tech Red Raiders
6-1 · SOS #74
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 25-42 · 13%
Our number
Texas Tech by 17
Total 67
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Galaxy Stadium - vs
Kansas Jayhawks
3-4 · SOS #62
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 32-34 · 44%
Our number
Kansas by 2
Total 66
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Milan Puskar Stadium - vs
#18 Houston Cougars
6-2 · SOS #36
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 29-38 · 27%
Our number
Houston by 9
Total 67
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Milan Puskar Stadium - at
#6 Utah Utes
7-0 · SOS #64
Sat, Nov 28, 2:00 AM
Week 13
Proj 24-42 · 13%
Our number
Utah by 18
Total 66
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Fox Rice-Eccles Stadium
Times shown in your local time
West Virginia Mountaineers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-1.0
74th in FBS
Adj. offense
31.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
32.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 35.9 | 27 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 32.3 | 122 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.42 | 38 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 7.11 | 136 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 272.8 | 6 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 203.1 | 91 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 179.8 | 102 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 305.3 | 138 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.50 | 23 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | 49 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.25 | 55 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.88 | 80 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.19 | 23 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.22 | 134 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.2% | 67 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 47.1% | 131 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 14.5% | 29 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 15.7% | 133 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.6% | 75 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.3% | 45 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.98 | 11 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.82 | 70 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 29 | 86 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 28 | 40 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 74.1 | 6 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.18 | 15 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.21 | 31 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.09 | 101 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.35 | 136 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 44.8% | 64 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 39.7% | 92 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 15.0% | 33 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.7% | 46 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 34.8% | 121 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 50.0% | 16 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 42.3% | 103 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 64.9% | 59 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 57.1% | 55 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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