2026 schedule
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
2026 season so far
Louisiana is 5-3 against the 110th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 30.1 and allowing 21.3 points per game (+8.8 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Louisiana ranks 87th of 139 FBS teams overall — 83rd on offense and 83rd on defense. Both units rate about the same.
Next up: vs South Alabama in Week 10. We project Louisiana 33, South Alabama 28 — Louisiana wins 63% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Lamar Cardinals
1-1 · SOS #104
Win 38-7
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 24.6
Total 50.2
DraftKings
UL -20.5
Total 48.5
Final Louisiana by 31. Louisiana beat the spread. 45 points — under the 48.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana -20.25 (open Louisiana -19.25) · O/U 48.5 · ML +750 / -1300 · Louisiana 89% no-vig · model vs market +4.3 pts, +6 pct pts (Louisiana view)
ESPN+ Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
#14 USC Trojans
3-0 · SOS #26
Loss 30-49
Week 2
Our number· pregame
USC by 17.8
Total 54.4
DraftKings
USC -30.5
Total 58.5
Final USC by 19. Louisiana beat the spread. 79 points — over the 58.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: USC -30.75 (open USC -29.75) · O/U 58.5 (open 61.75) · ML +1700 / -7500 · USC 95% no-vig · model vs market -12.9 pts, -7 pct pts (USC view)
BTN Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum - vs
UAB Blazers
1-2 · SOS #94
Win 21-14
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 5.5
Total 55.5
DraftKings
UL -7
Total 55.5
Final Louisiana by 7. The spread landed exactly on the number. 35 points — under the 55.5. The book was closer. Both totals were equally close.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana -7 (open Louisiana -8.75) · O/U 55.5 (open 58) · ML +245 / -304 · Louisiana 72% no-vig · model vs market -1.5 pts, -8 pct pts (Louisiana view)
ESPN+ Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
Charlotte 49ers
0-4 · SOS #80
Win 34-7
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 6.9
Total 55.7
DraftKings
UL -9.5
Total 49.5
Final Louisiana by 27. Louisiana beat the spread. 41 points — under the 49.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana -9.25 (open Louisiana -12.25) · O/U 49.5 (open 51.25) · ML -405 / +310 · Charlotte 23% no-vig · model vs market +2.3 pts, +9 pct pts (Charlotte view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 63°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KJQF)ESPN+ Jerry Richardson Stadium - vs
Arkansas State Red Wolves
2-3 · SOS #102
Win 23-20
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 7.7
Total 51.7
DraftKings
UL -4.5
Total 49.5
Final Louisiana by 3. Arkansas State beat the spread. 43 points — under the 49.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana -5.25 · O/U 49 (open 48.25) · ML +197.5 / -240 · Louisiana 67% no-vig · model vs market +2.4 pts, +2 pct pts (Louisiana view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 79°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLFT)ESPN+ Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
3-2 · SOS #101
Loss 31-32
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 3.5
Total 53.3
DraftKings
LT -3
Total 48.5
Final Louisiana Tech by 1. Louisiana beat the spread. 63 points — over the 48.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -3 (open Louisiana Tech -2.75) · O/U 48.25 (open 49) · ML +125 / -147.5 · Louisiana Tech 57% no-vig · model vs market +0.5 pts, +2 pct pts (Louisiana Tech view)
Game-time weather: 73°F, Wind 3 mph WSW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRSN)ESPN+ Joe Aillet Stadium - vs
Troy Trojans
3-3 · SOS #113
Win 33-6
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 3.9
Total 52.9
DraftKings
UL -3
Total 49.5
Final Louisiana by 27. Louisiana beat the spread. 39 points — under the 49.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana -3 (open Louisiana -4) · O/U 49.25 (open 48.5) · ML +147 / -174 · Louisiana 61% no-vig · model vs market +0.9 pts, -1 pct pts (Louisiana view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 66°F, Wind 10 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLFT)ESPN+ Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
2-5 · SOS #93
Loss 31-35
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 9.8
Total 54
DraftKings
UL -11.5
Total 52.5
Final Southern Miss by 4. Southern Miss beat the spread. 66 points — over the 52.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana -11.5 · O/U 53.5 · ML -490 / +360 · Southern Miss 22% no-vig · model vs market +1.7 pts, +5 pct pts (Southern Miss view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 73°F, Wind 3 mph ENE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHBG)ESPN+ M. M. Roberts Stadium - vs
South Alabama Jaguars
4-3 · SOS #103
Sat, Nov 7, 10:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 33-28 · 63%
Our number
Louisiana by 5
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
UL Monroe Warhawks
1-6 · SOS #97
Fri, Nov 13, 2:00 AM
Week 11
Proj 32-19 · 80%
Our number
Louisiana by 13
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN2 Malone Stadium - vs
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
2-5 · SOS #115
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 32-21 · 75%
Our number
Louisiana by 11
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
Georgia State Panthers
4-3 · SOS #126
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 30-29 · 53%
Our number
Louisiana by 1
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Center Parc Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-3.3
86th in FBS
Adj. offense
24.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
28.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 30.1 | 60 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.3 | 51 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.60 | 106 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.22 | 39 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 195.1 | 38 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 180.3 | 116 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 137.1 | 46 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 183.9 | 32 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.75 | 54 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | 40 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.50 | 108 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.50 | 49 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.07 | 80 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.00 | 47 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.3% | 76 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 40.1% | 60 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.1% | 115 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.5% | 36 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.8% | 69 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 10.8% | 23 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.18 | 58 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.77 | 63 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 33 | 11 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 27 | 31 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.0 | 62 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.12 | 46 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | 0.00 | 108 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.03 | 64 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.02 | 40 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.8% | 85 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 41.5% | 71 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 16.7% | 66 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 33.0% | 43 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 28.4% | 52 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.6% | 73 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 38.2% | 64 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 69.2% | 37 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 68.8% | 115 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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