2026 schedule
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
2026 season so far
Georgia Tech is 2-5 against the 44th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 26.7 and allowing 30.3 points per game (-3.6 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Georgia Tech ranks 77th of 139 FBS teams overall — 66th on offense and 89th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Pittsburgh in Week 9. We project Georgia Tech 22, Pittsburgh 35 — Georgia Tech wins 20% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Colorado Buffaloes
1-0 · SOS #21
Loss 13-14
Week 1
Our number· model now
Georgia Tech by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final Colorado by 1. 27 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Bobby Dodd Stadium - vs
#18 Tennessee Volunteers
2-0 · SOS #30
Loss 24-45
Week 2
Our number· model now
Tennessee by 18
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
Final Tennessee by 21. 69 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Bobby Dodd Stadium - vs
Mercer Bears
2-2 · SOS #131
Win 44-11
Week 3
Our number· model now
Georgia Tech by 11
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia Tech by 33. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Bobby Dodd Stadium - at
Stanford Cardinal
2-2 · SOS #14
Loss 27-34
Week 4
Our number· model now
Georgia Tech by 6
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
Final Stanford by 7. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Stanford Stadium - vs
Duke Blue Devils
4-1 · SOS #90
Win 28-25
Week 6
Our number· model now
Duke by 5
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia Tech by 3. 53 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Bobby Dodd Stadium - at
Virginia Tech Hokies
5-2 · SOS #114
Loss 24-34
Week 7
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 9
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 10. 58 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Lane Stadium - vs
Boston College Eagles
4-3 · SOS #63
Loss 27-49
Week 8
Our number· model now
Georgia Tech by 3
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Boston College by 22. 76 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Bobby Dodd Stadium - at
Pittsburgh Panthers
5-3 · SOS #52
Sat, Oct 31, 11:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 22-35 · 20%
Our number
Pittsburgh by 13
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN2 Acrisure Stadium - vs
Louisville Cardinals
4-3 · SOS #17
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 25-35 · 25%
Our number
Louisville by 10
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bobby Dodd Stadium - at
Clemson Tigers
4-3 · SOS #24
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 21-29 · 29%
Our number
Clemson by 8
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - vs
#14 Wake Forest Demon Deacons
6-1 · SOS #47
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 21-34 · 20%
Our number
Wake Forest by 13
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bobby Dodd Stadium - at
#3 Georgia Bulldogs
6-1 · SOS #48
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 15-44 · 3%
Our number
Georgia by 29
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Sanford Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-1.9
76th in FBS
Adj. offense
26.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
28.9
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 26.7 | 82 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 30.3 | 114 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.50 | 34 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.10 | 98 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 144.1 | 104 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 255.4 | 40 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 222.7 | 131 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 187.0 | 40 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.14 | 103 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.29 | 135 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.71 | 96 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.29 | 100 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.12 | 50 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.22 | 132 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 44.8% | 49 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 44.8% | 119 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 16.2% | 11 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.7% | 109 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 11.3% | 124 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.8% | 107 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.93 | 87 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.07 | 96 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 28 | 98 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 31 | 113 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 61.4 | 113 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.14 | 32 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.11 | 65 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.17 | 129 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.29 | 131 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 44.8% | 63 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 44.8% | 47 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.1% | 100 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 30.4% | 79 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 39.9% | 134 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 35.0% | 114 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 44.7% | 121 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 52.0% | 117 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 51.6% | 38 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.