2026 schedule
Arizona State Sun Devils
2026 season so far
Arizona State is 4-3 against the 37th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 30.9 and allowing 29.9 points per game (+1 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Arizona State ranks 65th of 139 FBS teams overall — 65th on offense and 69th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at BYU in Week 9. We project Arizona State 18, BYU 35 — Arizona State wins 13% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Morgan State Bears
1-1 · SOS #167
Win 70-7
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Arizona State by 36.6
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona State by 63. 77 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Mountain America Stadium - at
#10 Texas A&M Aggies
2-0 · SOS #27
Loss 20-48
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Texas A&M by 10
Total 52.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas A&M by 28. 68 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ABC Kyle Field - vs
Kansas Jayhawks
1-2 · SOS #62
Win 24-17
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Arizona State by 3.9
Total 60.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona State by 7. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
FS1 Wembley Stadium - vs
Baylor Bears
4-1 · SOS #63
Loss 19-55
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Arizona State by 7.8
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Baylor by 36. 74 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 90°F, Wind 7 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHX)ESPN Mountain America Stadium - vs
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
1-5 · SOS #100
Win 30-12
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Arizona State by 16.7
Total 52.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona State by 18. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Light rain, 75°F, Wind 7 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHX)FS1 Mountain America Stadium - at
#10 Texas Tech Red Raiders
6-0 · SOS #74
Loss 25-53
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Texas Tech by 18.5
Total 54.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas Tech by 28. 78 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 57°F, Wind 3 mph W.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KLBB)Fox Galaxy Stadium - vs
Kansas State Wildcats
4-3 · SOS #83
Win 28-17
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 3.7
Total 58.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona State by 11. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 75°F, Wind 13 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHX)ESPN2 Mountain America Stadium - at
#8 BYU Cougars
6-1 · SOS #34
Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 18-35 · 13%
Our number
BYU by 17
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Slight chance showers and thunderstorms, 59°F, Wind 3 mph S, 14% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTFox LaVell Edwards Stadium - vs
Colorado Buffaloes
2-5 · SOS #21
Sun, Nov 8, 12:30 AM
Week 10
Proj 29-23 · 67%
Our number
Arizona State by 6
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN2 Mountain America Stadium - at
UCF Knights
4-3 · SOS #35
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 24-30 · 34%
Our number
UCF by 6
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Acrisure Bounce House - vs
#24 Oklahoma State Cowboys
5-2 · SOS #60
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 29-30 · 48%
Our number
Oklahoma State by 1
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Mountain America Stadium - at
#22 Arizona Wildcats
6-1 · SOS #78
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 20-34 · 18%
Our number
Arizona by 14
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Casino Del Sol Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Arizona State Sun Devils stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+0.3
65th in FBS
Adj. offense
27.2
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
26.9
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 30.9 | 56 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 29.9 | 110 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.37 | 44 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.46 | 58 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 164.6 | 75 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 268.3 | 24 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 158.0 | 74 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 204.6 | 63 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | 81 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.43 | 125 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | 68 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.71 | 119 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.01 | 111 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.03 | 65 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 42.0% | 80 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.8% | 52 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.3% | 19 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 11.1% | 55 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.7% | 54 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 16.8% | 132 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.18 | 55 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.56 | 44 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 29 | 79 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 33 | 131 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 68.0 | 46 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.01 | 115 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.03 | 94 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.05 | 78 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.02 | 56 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 41.1% | 98 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 42.8% | 60 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.7% | 93 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 33.9% | 39 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 27.5% | 42 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 31.2% | 132 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 37.0% | 51 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 65.2% | 54 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 53.8% | 42 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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