2026 schedule
North Carolina Tar Heels
2026 season so far
North Carolina is 4-3 against the 12th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 24.4 and allowing 20.9 points per game (+3.5 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings North Carolina ranks 53rd of 139 FBS teams overall — 69th on offense and 37th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: vs Miami in Week 9. We project North Carolina 15, Miami 39 — North Carolina wins 6% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
TCU Horned Frogs
0-1 · SOS #54
Win 15-10
Week 1
Our number· model now
TCU by 1
Total 39
Book line
Not posted
Final North Carolina by 5. 25 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN/Disney+ Aviva Stadium - vs
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
1-2 · SOS #113
Win 35-3
Week 2
Our number· model now
North Carolina by 18
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final North Carolina by 32. 38 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACCNX Kenan Stadium - at
Clemson Tigers
2-1 · SOS #24
Loss 20-28
Week 3
Our number· model now
Clemson by 3
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
Final Clemson by 8. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNEWS/Disney+ Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC) - vs
#3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5-0 · SOS #49
Loss 26-37
Week 5
Our number· model now
Notre Dame by 24
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Notre Dame by 11. 63 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN/Disney+ Kenan Stadium - at
#25 Pittsburgh Panthers
5-1 · SOS #52
Win 21-17
Week 6
Our number· model now
Pittsburgh by 7
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final North Carolina by 4. 38 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Acrisure Stadium - at
Duke Blue Devils
4-2 · SOS #90
Win 24-20
Week 7
Our number· model now
Duke by 4
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final North Carolina by 4. 44 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Wallace Wade Stadium - vs
Syracuse Orange
3-4 · SOS #77
Loss 30-31
Week 8
Our number· model now
North Carolina by 6
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final Syracuse by 1. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ACC Network Kenan Stadium - vs
#1 Miami Hurricanes
7-0 · SOS #72
Sat, Oct 31, 11:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 15-39 · 6%
Our number
Miami by 24
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ABC Kenan Stadium - at
UConn Huskies
4-3 · SOS #132
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 29-23 · 64%
Our number
North Carolina by 6
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - vs
Louisville Cardinals
4-3 · SOS #17
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 25-29 · 38%
Our number
Louisville by 4
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kenan Stadium - at
Virginia Cavaliers
4-4 · SOS #57
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 21-21 · 50%
Our number
dead even
Total 42
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Scott Stadium - vs
NC State Wolfpack
3-4 · SOS #67
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 30-25 · 62%
Our number
North Carolina by 5
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kenan Stadium
Times shown in your local time
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