2026 schedule
Oklahoma Sooners
2026 season so far
Oklahoma is 4-3 against the 9th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 21.6 and allowing 17.7 points per game (+3.9 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Oklahoma ranks 20th of 139 FBS teams overall — 63rd on offense and 5th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: vs South Carolina in Week 9. We project Oklahoma 24, South Carolina 21 — Oklahoma wins 56% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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- vs
UTEP Miners
0-1 · SOS #76
Win 51-0
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma by 18.9
Total 49.5
DraftKings
OU -40.5
Total 51.5
Final Oklahoma by 51. Oklahoma beat the spread. 51 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -40.75 (open Oklahoma -40.5) · O/U 51.25 (open 50.5) · model vs market -21.8 pts (Oklahoma view)
SECN+ Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - at
Michigan Wolverines
2-0 · SOS #15
Loss 10-17
Week 2
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 44.3
DraftKings
OU -5.5
Total 43.5
Final Michigan by 7. Michigan beat the spread. 27 points — under the 43.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -5 (open Michigan -1.5) · O/U 43.5 (open 46) · ML -207.5 / +172.5 · Michigan 35% no-vig · model vs market +5.1 pts, +15 pct pts (Michigan view)
Fox Michigan Stadium - vs
New Mexico Lobos
2-1 · SOS #129
Win 14-6
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma by 5.2
Total 51.4
DraftKings
OU -21.5
Total 45.5
Final Oklahoma by 8. New Mexico beat the spread. 20 points — under the 45.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Oklahoma -21.25 (open Oklahoma -23.5) · O/U 45.5 (open 48.25) · ML +1050 / -2300 · Oklahoma 92% no-vig · model vs market -16.0 pts, -28 pct pts (Oklahoma view)
ESPNEWS Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - at
#2 Georgia Bulldogs
4-0 · SOS #52
Loss 13-41
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Georgia by 16.6
Total 49.6
DraftKings
UGA -11.5
Total 43.5
Final Georgia by 28. Georgia beat the spread. 54 points — over the 43.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Georgia -11.25 (open Georgia -12) · O/U 43.75 (open 48) · ML +420 / -585 · Georgia 82% no-vig · model vs market +5.4 pts, +5 pct pts (Georgia view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 81°F, Wind 8 mph WNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAHN)ESPN/Disney+ Sanford Stadium - vs
#1 Texas Longhorns
4-1 · SOS #1
Win 27-24
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Texas by 9.7
Total 40.1
DraftKings
TEX -7.5
Total 40.5
Final Oklahoma by 3. Oklahoma beat the spread. 51 points — over the 40.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Texas -7.75 (open Texas -7) · O/U 40.75 (open 44.25) · ML -332.5 / +267.5 · Oklahoma 26% no-vig · model vs market -1.9 pts, +0 pct pts (Oklahoma view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 90°F, Wind 11 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDAL)ABC Cotton Bowl - vs
#15 Kentucky Wildcats
6-1 · SOS #4
Loss 13-21
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma by 9.9
Total 47.3
DraftKings
OU -7
Total 44.5
Final Kentucky by 8. Kentucky beat the spread. 34 points — under the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -6.75 · O/U 44 (open 42.5) · ML +217.5 / -265 · Oklahoma 70% no-vig · model vs market +3.2 pts, +4 pct pts (Oklahoma view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 57°F, Wind 5 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KOUN)SEC Network Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - at
Mississippi State Bulldogs
4-3 · SOS #5
Win 23-15
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma by 4.5
Total 50.9
DraftKings
OU -1.5
Total 49.5
Final Oklahoma by 8. Oklahoma beat the spread. 38 points — under the 49.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -1.5 · O/U 49.5 · ML -124 / -102 · Mississippi State 47% no-vig · model vs market -3.0 pts, -9 pct pts (Mississippi State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 79°F, Wind 9 mph NE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KGTR)SEC Network Davis Wade Stadium - vs
South Carolina Gamecocks
4-3 · SOS #23
Sat, Oct 31, 8:15 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-21 · 56%
Our number
Oklahoma by 3
Total 45
DraftKings
OU -5.5
Total 44.5
We're 2.5 points higher on South Carolina than the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -5.5 · O/U 44.5 · ML +170 / -205 · Oklahoma 64% no-vig · model vs market -2.5 pts, -8 pct pts (Oklahoma view)
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 70°F, Wind 7 mph SSE, 42% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTSEC Network Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - at
#17 Florida Gators
5-2 · SOS #12
Sun, Nov 8, 12:45 AM
Week 10
Proj 23-25 · 46%
Our number
Florida by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
SEC Network Ben Hill Griffin Stadium - vs
#12 Ole Miss Rebels
5-2 · SOS #6
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 23-26 · 43%
Our number
Ole Miss by 3
Total 49
DraftKings
OU -4
Total 53.5
We're 7 points higher on Ole Miss than the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -4 · O/U 53.5 · ML +164 / -198 · Oklahoma 64% no-vig · model vs market -7.0 pts, -21 pct pts (Oklahoma view)
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - vs
Texas A&M Aggies
4-4 · SOS #27
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 19-19 · 50%
Our number
dead even
Total 38
DraftKings
OU -2.5
Total 51.5
We're 2.5 points higher on Texas A&M than the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Oklahoma -2.5 · O/U 51.5 · ML +120 / -142 · Oklahoma 56% no-vig · model vs market -2.5 pts, -6 pct pts (Oklahoma view)
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) - at
#23 Missouri Tigers
5-2 · SOS #30
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 19-20 · 48%
Our number
Missouri by 1
Total 39
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Memorial Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Oklahoma Sooners stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+12.3
20th in FBS
Adj. offense
27.3
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
15.0
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 21.6 | 110 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 17.7 | 24 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.64 | 100 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.14 | 35 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 123.1 | 126 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 234.9 | 57 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 137.3 | 47 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 155.1 | 8 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.71 | 135 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.57 | 109 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.29 | 6 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.43 | 106 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.05 | 131 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.12 | 5 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 36.5% | 132 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 34.0% | 4 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 9.9% | 129 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 9.9% | 19 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 15.1% | 40 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 17.4% | 135 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.31 | 124 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 2.75 | 4 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 27 | 120 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 32 | 127 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 63.4 | 92 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.10 | 132 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.01 | 110 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.06 | 27 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.19 | 5 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 34.7% | 134 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 38.0% | 108 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.6% | 107 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.9% | 91 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 25.6% | 22 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.4% | 74 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 24.4% | 2 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 40.0% | 136 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 46.7% | 19 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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