2026 schedule
Alcorn State Braves
2026 season so far
Alcorn State is 4-4 against the 164th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 41.9 and allowing 37 points per game (+4.9 per game).
Alcorn State plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Mississippi Valley State in Week 9. We project Alcorn State 39, Mississippi Valley State 24 — Alcorn State wins 84% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Miles College Golden Bears
0-1 · SOS #56
Win 56-7
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Alcorn State by 5.3
Total 51.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Alcorn State by 49. 63 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Spinks-Casem Stadium - at
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
1-0 · SOS #93
Loss 3-49
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Southern Miss by 31
Total 52.4
DraftKings
USM -20.5
Total 51.5
Final Southern Miss by 46. Southern Miss beat the spread. 52 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Southern Miss -20 (open Southern Miss -20.5) · O/U 51.25 (open 50.5) · ML +825 / -1500 · Southern Miss 90% no-vig · model vs market +11.0 pts, +8 pct pts (Southern Miss view)
ESPN+ M. M. Roberts Stadium - vs
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
1-2 · SOS #99
Win 53-51
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Alcorn State by 4.6
Total 51.8
DraftKings
ALCN -8.5
Total 49.5
Final Alcorn State by 2. Arkansas-Pine Bluff beat the spread. 104 points — over the 49.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alcorn State -8.5 · O/U 49.5 · ML +261 / -346 · Alcorn State 74% no-vig · model vs market -3.9 pts, -12 pct pts (Alcorn State view)
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - at
North Alabama Lions
2-2 · SOS #49
Loss 20-38
Week 3
Our number· pregame
North Alabama by 1
Total 56.8
DraftKings
UNA -13.5
Total 52.5
Final North Alabama by 18. North Alabama beat the spread. 58 points — over the 52.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: North Alabama -13.5 · O/U 52.5 · ML +361 / -510 · North Alabama 79% no-vig · model vs market -12.5 pts, -27 pct pts (North Alabama view)
ESPN+ Braly Stadium - vs
Texas Southern Tigers
1-3 · SOS #138
Win 43-40
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Alcorn State by 11
Total 59.4
DraftKings
ALCN -3.5
Total 55.5
Final Alcorn State by 3. Texas Southern beat the spread. 83 points — over the 55.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alcorn State -3.5 (open Alcorn State -2.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 58.5) · ML +137 / -172 · Alcorn State 60% no-vig · model vs market +7.5 pts, +17 pct pts (Alcorn State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 86°F, Wind 8 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHEZ)Spinks-Casem Stadium - at
Grambling Tigers
3-2 · SOS #60
Loss 59-63
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Grambling by 3.8
Total 60
DraftKings
GRAM -6
Total 55.5
Final Grambling by 4. Alcorn State beat the spread. 122 points — over the 55.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Grambling -6 (open Grambling -7.5) · O/U 55.5 (open 57.5) · ML +183 / -234 · Grambling 66% no-vig · model vs market -2.2 pts, -7 pct pts (Grambling view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 80°F, Wind 9 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRSN)Eddie G. Robinson Memorial Stadium - vs
Arkansas Baptist Buffaloes
No record · SOS #142
Win 63-7
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Alcorn State by 33.3
Total 73.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Alcorn State by 56. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 81°F, Wind 8 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHEZ)Spinks-Casem Stadium - at
Prairie View A&M Panthers
3-5 · SOS #67
Loss 38-41
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 1.6
Total 58.8
DraftKings
PV -6.5
Total 57.5
Final Prairie View A&M by 3. Alcorn State beat the spread. 79 points — over the 57.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Prairie View A&M -6.5 (open Prairie View A&M -5.5) · O/U 57.5 (open 56.5) · ML +230 / -300 · Prairie View A&M 71% no-vig · model vs market -4.9 pts, -17 pct pts (Prairie View A&M view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 10 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (K60R)Panther Stadium - at
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
3-5 · SOS #156
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 39-24 · 84%
Our number
Alcorn State by 15
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 80°F, Wind 5 mph ESE, 31% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTRice-Totten Stadium - vs
Florida A&M Rattlers
2-6 · SOS #21
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 35-27 · 71%
Our number
Alcorn State by 8
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Spinks-Casem Stadium - at
Southern Jaguars
3-5 · SOS #90
Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 34-28 · 64%
Our number
Alcorn State by 6
Total 62
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
A.W. Mumford Stadium - vs
Jackson State Tigers
6-2 · SOS #163
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 28-35 · 32%
Our number
Jackson State by 7
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Spinks-Casem Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Alcorn State Braves stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-23.3
Adj. offense
19.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
42.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 41.9 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 37.0 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.84 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.33 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 180.0 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 316.3 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 201.5 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 219.1 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.38 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.63 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.38 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.14 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.17 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.5% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 44.5% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 14.7% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.6% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.5% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.0% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.38 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.71 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 9 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 72.5 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.20 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.14 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.18 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 48.0% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 44.8% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 20.4% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 34.7% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 36.8% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 47.3% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.8% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 45.1% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 68.7% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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