2026 schedule
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
2026 season so far
Tulsa is 4-4 against the 98th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 29.8 and allowing 24.4 points per game (+5.4 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Tulsa ranks 95th of 139 FBS teams overall — 88th on offense and 94th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Tulane in Week 10. We project Tulsa 23, Tulane 25 — Tulsa wins 44% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Oklahoma State Cowboys
0-1 · SOS #60
Win 24-10
Week 1
Our number· model now
Oklahoma State by 6
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulsa by 14. 34 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNU H. A. Chapman Stadium - at
Sam Houston Bearkats
0-2 · SOS #118
Win 23-17
Week 2
Our number· model now
Tulsa by 13
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulsa by 6. 40 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Elliott T. Bowers Stadium - vs
East Texas A&M Lions
1-3 · SOS #58
Win 42-0
Week 3
Our number· model now
Tulsa by 25
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulsa by 42. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ H. A. Chapman Stadium - at
Arkansas Razorbacks
2-2 · SOS #8
Loss 6-34
Week 4
Our number· model now
Arkansas by 6
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final Arkansas by 28. 40 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 73°F, Wind 6 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KFYV)SECN+ Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium - vs
North Texas Mean Green
3-2 · SOS #84
Loss 44-45
Week 5
Our number· model now
North Texas by 6
Total 70
Book line
Not posted
Final North Texas by 1. 89 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 70°F, Wind 5 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KTUL)ESPN H. A. Chapman Stadium - at
Navy Midshipmen
2-3 · SOS #99
Loss 26-34
Week 6
Our number· model now
Navy by 3
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Navy by 8. 60 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 9 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KNAK)CBSSN Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - at
Rice Owls
1-6 · SOS #66
Win 38-17
Week 7
Our number· model now
Tulsa by 6
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulsa by 21. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 14 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHOU)ESPN+ First Community Stadium - vs
Army Black Knights
5-2 · SOS #107
Loss 35-38
Week 8
Our number· model now
Army by 3
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Army by 3. 73 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 68°F, Wind 6 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KTUL)ESPN2 H. A. Chapman Stadium - at
Tulane Green Wave
3-4 · SOS #50
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 23-25 · 44%
Our number
Tulane by 2
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPNU Yulman Stadium - vs
Florida Atlantic Owls
5-2 · SOS #120
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 36-30 · 66%
Our number
Tulsa by 6
Total 66
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
H. A. Chapman Stadium - vs
Charlotte 49ers
1-6 · SOS #80
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 38-18 · 90%
Our number
Tulsa by 20
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
H. A. Chapman Stadium - at
UTSA Roadrunners
7-1 · SOS #73
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 25-35 · 26%
Our number
UTSA by 10
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Alamodome
Times shown in your local time
Tulsa Golden Hurricane stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-5.1
94th in FBS
Adj. offense
24.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
29.7
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 29.8 | 63 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 24.4 | 71 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.74 | 93 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.71 | 78 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 168.0 | 67 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 202.8 | 93 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 214.8 | 129 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 196.8 | 50 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.38 | 13 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.25 | 28 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.13 | 65 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.38 | 39 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.14 | 44 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.02 | 57 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 40.1% | 106 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.6% | 46 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.1% | 111 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.7% | 39 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 10.7% | 132 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.8% | 83 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.41 | 42 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.24 | 22 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 31 | 44 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 29 | 65 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.6 | 81 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.18 | 14 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.09 | 70 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.03 | 66 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.00 | 50 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 41.4% | 96 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 38.7% | 102 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.4% | 26 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 24.4% | 128 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 32.6% | 106 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 33.0% | 124 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 41.4% | 98 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 71.8% | 25 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 50.5% | 36 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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