2026 schedule
Central Michigan Chippewas
2026 season so far
Central Michigan is 3-5 against the 71st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 17.9 and allowing 25.9 points per game (-8 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Central Michigan ranks 121st of 139 FBS teams overall — 127th on offense and 99th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at Eastern Michigan in Week 10. We project Central Michigan 23, Eastern Michigan 24 — Central Michigan wins 47% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
New Mexico Lobos
1-0 · SOS #129
Loss 7-38
Week 1
Our number· pregame
New Mexico by 8
Total 49.2
Book line
Not posted
Final New Mexico by 31. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
FS1 University Stadium (NM) - vs
Colgate Raiders
2-1 · SOS #84
Win 13-10
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Central Michigan by 27.7
Total 50.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Michigan by 3. 23 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Kelly/Shorts Stadium - vs
Wyoming Cowboys
1-2 · SOS #130
Win 24-10
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Central Michigan by 3.4
Total 41.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Michigan by 14. 34 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Kelly/Shorts Stadium - at
#6 Miami Hurricanes
4-0 · SOS #72
Loss 3-52
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Miami by 43.3
Total 51.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Miami by 49. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 81°F, Wind 8 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHWO)CW Hard Rock Stadium - vs
Akron Zips
1-4 · SOS #109
Win 41-17
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Central Michigan by 5.4
Total 49.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Central Michigan by 24. 58 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 5 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMOP)ESPN+ Kelly/Shorts Stadium - at
Ohio Bobcats
4-2 · SOS #135
Loss 14-31
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Ohio by 7.3
Total 48.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Ohio by 17. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Light rain and fog/mist, 61°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KUNI)ESPN+ Peden Stadium - vs
Western Michigan Broncos
5-2 · SOS #91
Loss 14-21
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Western Michigan by 8.7
Total 45.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Western Michigan by 7. 35 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 10 mph W.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMOP)ESPN+ Kelly/Shorts Stadium - vs
Miami (OH) RedHawks
5-3 · SOS #117
Loss 27-28
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Miami (OH) by 1.4
Total 44.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Miami (OH) by 1. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 66°F, Wind 6 mph SSE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMOP)ESPN+ Kelly/Shorts Stadium - vs
Eastern Michigan Eagles
4-5 · SOS #131
Thu, Nov 5, 12:30 AM
Week 10
Proj 23-24 · 47%
Our number
Eastern Michigan by 1
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Indoors (dome).ESPN2 Ford Field - vs
Sacramento State Hornets
1-7 · SOS #136
Wed, Nov 11 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 31-15 · 84%
Our number
Central Michigan by 16
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kelly/Shorts Stadium - at
Buffalo Bulls
5-3 · SOS #127
Wed, Nov 18 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 24-25 · 48%
Our number
Buffalo by 1
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Broadview Stadium - at
Ball State Cardinals
3-5 · SOS #85
Sat, Nov 28, 5:00 PM
Week 13
Proj 27-24 · 57%
Our number
Central Michigan by 3
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Scheumann Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Central Michigan Chippewas stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-12.4
120th in FBS
Adj. offense
18.0
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
30.3
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 17.9 | 132 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 25.9 | 89 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.07 | 131 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.89 | 86 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 182.5 | 55 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 116.5 | 134 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 188.5 | 109 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 184.3 | 35 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.88 | 74 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | 43 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | 74 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.25 | 98 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.01 | 116 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.05 | 70 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 38.9% | 119 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 46.6% | 129 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 6.5% | 138 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 11.8% | 72 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 11.3% | 125 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.1% | 64 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.44 | 115 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.35 | 110 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 28 | 103 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 31 | 117 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.0 | 127 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.16 | 25 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.27 | 138 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.17 | 130 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.10 | 23 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 47.5% | 36 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 25.2% | 138 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 12.5% | 9 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 23.6% | 131 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 34.2% | 118 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 37.1% | 99 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 50.5% | 134 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 61.5% | 71 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 75.9% | 133 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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