2026 schedule
Eastern Michigan Eagles
2026 season so far
Eastern Michigan is 4-5 against the 131st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 21.3 and allowing 25.7 points per game (-4.4 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Eastern Michigan ranks 118th of 139 FBS teams overall — 116th on offense and 112th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: vs Central Michigan in Week 10. We project Eastern Michigan 24, Central Michigan 23 — Eastern Michigan wins 52% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Sacramento State Hornets
0-1 · SOS #136
Win 28-17
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Eastern Michigan by 4.3
Total 60.3
DraftKings
EMU -9.5
Total 52.5
Final Eastern Michigan by 11. Eastern Michigan beat the spread. 45 points — under the 52.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Michigan -9.25 (open Eastern Michigan -8.5) · O/U 52.75 (open 52.5) · ML +272.5 / -342.5 · Eastern Michigan 74% no-vig · model vs market -5.0 pts, -13 pct pts (Eastern Michigan view)
ESPN+ Rynearson Stadium - vs
San José State Spartans
1-1 · SOS #120
Loss 21-27
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Eastern Michigan by 4.7
Total 59.3
DraftKings
EMU -1.5
Total 54.5
Final San José State by 6. San José State beat the spread. 48 points — under the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Michigan -1.5 (open Eastern Michigan -3.5) · O/U 54.75 (open 53.5) · ML +20 / -142.5 · Eastern Michigan 56% no-vig · model vs market +3.2 pts, +6 pct pts (Eastern Michigan view)
ESPN+ Rynearson Stadium - at
Michigan State Spartans
2-0 · SOS #7
Loss 7-35
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Michigan State by 8.8
Total 51.8
DraftKings
MSU -17.5
Total 49.5
Final Michigan State by 28. Michigan State beat the spread. 42 points — under the 49.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Michigan State -17.5 (open Michigan State -16.25) · O/U 49.75 (open 51.25) · ML +612.5 / -950 · Michigan State 87% no-vig · model vs market -8.7 pts, -15 pct pts (Michigan State view)
BTN Spartan Stadium - at
Wisconsin Badgers
2-1 · SOS #22
Loss 10-54
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Wisconsin by 6.6
Total 46.8
DraftKings
WIS -23.5
Total 43.5
Final Wisconsin by 44. Wisconsin beat the spread. 64 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Wisconsin -23.5 (open Wisconsin -24.5) · O/U 43.75 (open 45.75) · ML +1150 / -2850 · Wisconsin 92% no-vig · model vs market -16.9 pts, -26 pct pts (Wisconsin view)
Peacock Camp Randall Stadium - vs
Lindenwood Lions
1-3 · SOS #104
Win 29-3
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Eastern Michigan by 13.2
Total 56
DraftKings
EMU -24.5
Total 53.5
Final Eastern Michigan by 26. Eastern Michigan beat the spread. 32 points — under the 53.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Michigan -24.25 (open Eastern Michigan -25.5) · O/U 53.75 (open 50.75) · ML +1200 / -3200 · Eastern Michigan 93% no-vig · model vs market -11.0 pts, -12 pct pts (Eastern Michigan view)
ESPN+ Rynearson Stadium - at
Massachusetts Minutemen
4-1 · SOS #138
Win 38-14
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Massachusetts by 6.7
Total 51.9
DraftKings
MASS -5.5
Total 49.5
Final Eastern Michigan by 24. Eastern Michigan beat the spread. 52 points — over the 49.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Massachusetts -5.75 (open Massachusetts -4) · O/U 49.25 (open 48.5) · ML +175 / -210 · Massachusetts 65% no-vig · model vs market +0.9 pts, +2 pct pts (Massachusetts view)
ESPN+ Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - at
Akron Zips
1-5 · SOS #111
Win 25-23
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Eastern Michigan by 4.3
Total 54.3
DraftKings
EMU -4.5
Total 51.5
Final Eastern Michigan by 2. Akron beat the spread. 48 points — under the 51.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Eastern Michigan -5 (open Eastern Michigan -6.5) · O/U 51.25 · ML -224 / +185 · Akron 34% no-vig · model vs market +0.7 pts, +6 pct pts (Akron view)
ESPN+ InfoCision Stadium - vs
Toledo Rockets
5-2 · SOS #122
Loss 14-34
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Toledo by 5.5
Total 54.9
DraftKings
TOL -7.5
Total 51.5
Final Toledo by 20. Toledo beat the spread. 48 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Toledo -7.25 (open Toledo -5.75) · O/U 52.25 (open 52.75) · ML -250 / +205 · Eastern Michigan 32% no-vig · model vs market +1.8 pts, +4 pct pts (Eastern Michigan view)
ESPN+ Rynearson Stadium - at
Ohio Bobcats
6-2 · SOS #135
Loss 20-24
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Ohio by 13.4
Total 52
DraftKings
OHIO -11.5
Total 48.5
Final Ohio by 4. Eastern Michigan beat the spread. 44 points — under the 48.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Ohio -11.5 · O/U 48.5 · ML +365 / -490 · Ohio 78% no-vig · model vs market +1.9 pts, +3 pct pts (Ohio view)
ESPNU Peden Stadium - vs
Central Michigan Chippewas
3-5 · SOS #69
Wed, Nov 4 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 24-23 · 52%
Our number
Eastern Michigan by 1
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Ford Field - at
Western Michigan Broncos
5-3 · SOS #93
Wed, Nov 18, 12:00 AM
Week 12
Proj 18-32 · 18%
Our number
Western Michigan by 14
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Waldo Stadium - vs
Kent State Golden Flashes
3-5 · SOS #68
Wed, Nov 25, 12:00 AM
Week 13
Proj 30-20 · 73%
Our number
Eastern Michigan by 10
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rynearson Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Eastern Michigan Eagles stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-11.1
114th in FBS
Adj. offense
20.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
31.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 21.3 | 113 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 25.7 | 86 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 4.92 | 134 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.16 | 106 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 121.0 | 128 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 206.8 | 86 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 144.6 | 56 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 234.3 | 107 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | 88 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.78 | 83 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.56 | 104 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.89 | 81 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.01 | 117 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.07 | 80 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 39.7% | 114 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.0% | 91 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.4% | 125 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.9% | 113 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.6% | 76 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 13.7% | 81 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.07 | 74 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.58 | 47 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 27 | 127 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 30 | 86 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 66.6 | 65 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.03 | 92 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.04 | 119 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.03 | 36 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.16 | 105 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 41.8% | 92 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.3% | 118 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.8% | 95 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 30.0% | 89 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 31.0% | 90 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.0% | 81 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 41.6% | 99 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 55.5% | 103 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 67.3% | 108 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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