2026 schedule

Long Island University Sharks

3-6SOS #59

2026 season so far

Long Island University is 3-6 against the 59th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 14.6 and allowing 25.9 points per game (-11.3 per game).

Long Island University plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.

Next up: at New Haven in Week 10. We project Long Island University 21, New Haven 24 — Long Island University wins 43% of the time.

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Regular season

12 games

Market lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.

21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

at
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
1-0 · SOS #43
Loss 21-42
Week 1
Our number· pregame
North Dakota by 15
Total 43.2
DraftKings
UND -27.5
Total 44.5
Final North Dakota by 21. Long Island University beat the spread. 63 points — over the 44.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: North Dakota -27.5 · O/U 44.5 · model vs market -12.5 pts (North Dakota view)
ESPN+ Alerus Center
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missed
Non-con mismatch overStudy · Strong Over: Non-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14: Record 429 hits, 313 misses (58% hit rate) over 742 graded gamesNon-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14: hit (n=742) · Non-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14
at
Kansas Jayhawks
1-0 · SOS #62
Loss 6-51
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Kansas by 33.4
Total 47.8
DraftKings
KU -44.5
Total 57.5
Final Kansas by 45. Kansas beat the spread. 57 points — under the 57.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kansas -43.25 (open Kansas -40.25) · O/U 56 (open 54) · model vs market -9.9 pts (Kansas view)
ESPNU David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: hitLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: hit
Non-con mismatch overStudy · Strong Over: Non-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14: Record 429 hits, 313 misses (58% hit rate) over 742 graded gamesNon-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14: missed (n=742) · Non-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14
Blowout big fav vs low-total dog over2026 combo · Held up Over: Big favorite (21+) + Blowout brewing + Underdog implied <14: Record 69 hits, 37 misses (65% hit rate) over 106 graded gamesBig favorite (21+) + Blowout brewing + Underdog implied <14: missed (n=106; wk 5–7 13-1) · Big favorite (21+) + Blowout brewing + Underdog implied <14
vs
UAlbany Great Danes
2-1 · SOS #106
Loss 13-35
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Long Island University by 3.5
Total 41.7
DraftKings
ALB -2.5
Total 44.5
Final UAlbany by 22. UAlbany beat the spread. 48 points — over the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: UAlbany -2.5 (open UAlbany -5.5) · O/U 44.5 · ML -145 / +116 · Long Island University 44% no-vig · model vs market +6.0 pts, +15 pct pts (Long Island University view)
Shark Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: missed
vs
Villanova Wildcats
2-2 · SOS #103
Loss 16-20
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Long Island University by 1.1
Total 55.5
DraftKings
VILL -18.5
Total 50.5
Final Villanova by 4. Long Island University beat the spread. 36 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Villanova -18.5 · O/U 50.5 (open 45.5) · ML -1740 / +830 · Long Island University 10% no-vig · model vs market +19.6 pts, +43 pct pts (Long Island University view)
Shark Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missed
Bounce-back home dogStudy · Moderate Underdog covers: Home underdog vs a road favorite that lost and missed the spread last game: Record 284 hits, 203 misses (58% hit rate) over 487 graded gamesHome underdog vs a road favorite that lost and missed the spread last game: hit (n=487) · Home underdog vs a road favorite that lost and missed the spread last game
at
Florida International Panthers
2-2 · SOS #137
Loss 3-20
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Florida International by 27.4
Total 45
DraftKings
FIU -37.5
Total 54.5
Final Florida International by 17. Long Island University beat the spread. 23 points — under the 54.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Florida International -37.5 (open Florida International -35.5) · O/U 54.25 (open 51.75) · ML +1700 / -4500 · Florida International 95% no-vig · model vs market -10.1 pts, +2 pct pts (Florida International view)
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 84°F, Wind 6 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMIA)
ESPN+ Pitbull Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedFavorite holdsFavorite holds: Record 227 hits, 18 misses (93% hit rate) over 245 graded gamesFavorite holds: hitBlowout brewingBlowout brewing: Record 137 hits, 30 misses (82% hit rate) over 167 graded gamesBlowout brewing: missedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: hit
Blowout AlertBlowout Alert: Record 62 hits, 47 misses, 1 push (57% hit rate) over 109 graded gamesBlowout Alert: missed
Non-con mismatch overStudy · Strong Over: Non-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14: Record 429 hits, 313 misses (58% hit rate) over 742 graded gamesNon-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14: missed (n=742) · Non-conference mismatch: underdog's implied total under 14
Blowout big fav vs low-total dog over2026 combo · Held up Over: Big favorite (21+) + Blowout brewing + Underdog implied <14: Record 69 hits, 37 misses (65% hit rate) over 106 graded gamesBig favorite (21+) + Blowout brewing + Underdog implied <14: missed (n=106; wk 5–7 13-1) · Big favorite (21+) + Blowout brewing + Underdog implied <14
vs
Mercyhurst Lakers
1-5 · SOS #39
Win 27-24
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Long Island University by 4.5
Total 51.7
DraftKings
LIU -8.5
Total 47.5
Final Long Island University by 3. Mercyhurst beat the spread. 51 points — over the 47.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Long Island University -8.5 (open Long Island University -9.5) · O/U 47.5 (open 42.5) · ML +249 / -329 · Long Island University 73% no-vig · model vs market -4.0 pts, -11 pct pts (Long Island University view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 9 mph ENE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KFRG)
ESPN+ Shark Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missed
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
at
Duquesne Dukes
1-4 · SOS #91
Win 17-14
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Duquesne by 10.3
Total 52.3
DraftKings
DUQ -3.5
Total 45.5
Final Long Island University by 3. Long Island University beat the spread. 31 points — under the 45.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Duquesne -3.5 (open Duquesne -3) · O/U 45.5 · ML +145 / -181 · Duquesne 61% no-vig · model vs market +6.8 pts, +14 pct pts (Duquesne view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 10 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAGC)
Arthur J. Rooney Athletic Field
Pregame calls · how each did
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
Short home fav vs hot dogStudy · Moderate Favorite wins: Home favorite by 3.5–7, underdog won its last game: Record 194 hits, 68 misses (74% hit rate) over 262 graded gamesHome favorite by 3.5–7, underdog won its last game: missed (n=262) · Home favorite by 3.5–7, underdog won its last game
at
Wagner Seahawks
1-6 · SOS #64
Win 14-9
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Long Island University by 5.7
Total 45.3
DraftKings
LIU -6.5
Total 39.5
Final Long Island University by 5. Wagner beat the spread. 23 points — under the 39.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Long Island University -6.5 (open Long Island University -7) · O/U 39.5 (open 41.5) · ML -259 / +201 · Wagner 32% no-vig · model vs market +0.8 pts, +4 pct pts (Wagner view)
Game-time weather: 50°F, Wind 7 mph NW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KEWR)
Hameline Field at Wagner College Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: hit
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesLow Scoring Alert: hit
Slow-pace tagged dog2026 combo · Weak Underdog wins: Our total 45-52 + Any pattern tag + Both teams' pace combined: bottom third: Record 21 hits, 16 misses (57% hit rate) over 37 graded gamesOur total 45-52 + Any pattern tag + Both teams' pace combined: bottom third: missed (n=37; wk 5–7 10-6) · Our total 45-52 + Any pattern tag + Both teams' pace combined: bottom third
vs
Stonehill Skyhawks
3-5 · SOS #114
Loss 14-18
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Long Island University by 1.8
Total 40.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Stonehill by 4. 32 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 59°F, Wind 7 mph NW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KFRG)
Shark Stadium
Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hitLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
at
New Haven Chargers
2-6 · SOS #74
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 21-24 · 43%
Our number
New Haven by 3
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Ralph F. DellaCamera Stadium
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games
vs
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
4-3 · SOS #82
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 21-32 · 24%
Our number
Central Connecticut by 11
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Shark Stadium
at
Robert Morris Colonials
4-4 · SOS #143
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 20-23 · 44%
Our number
Robert Morris by 3
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Joe Walton Stadium
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded games
Low Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games

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Long Island University Sharks stats: basic, advanced and situational

Power rating

-31.2

Adj. offense

7.6

pts vs avg defense

Adj. defense

38.7

pts allowed vs avg offense

Basic stats

Box-score numbers per game.

Stat	2026	FBS rank
Points per gameEvery point scored, every game.	14.6	—
Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game.	25.9	—
Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays).	4.12	—
Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents.	6.03	—
Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles.	157.1	—
Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage.	90.0	—
Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards.	143.9	—
Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards.	238.1	—
Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost.	0.78	—
Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries.	1.11	—
Sacks per gameSacks by this defense.	1.56	—
Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense.	2.33	—

Advanced stats

Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.

Stat	2026	FBS rank
EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good.	-0.14	—
EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better.	+0.04	—
Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th.	32.9%	—
Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate.	45.9%	—
Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays.	8.2%	—
Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents.	13.8%	—
Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up.	13.1%	—
Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play.	17.9%	—
Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40.	2.99	—
Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40.	4.21	—
Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average.	opp 14	—
Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin.	opp 13	—
Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure.	60.0	—

Situational stats

Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.

Stat	2026	FBS rank
Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs.	-0.10	—
Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included.	-0.22	—
Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play.	-0.01	—
Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback.	+0.09	—
Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule.	34.9%	—
Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule.	26.0%	—
Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line.	23.4%	—
Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+.	25.1%	—
Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs.	29.3%	—
Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself.	29.8%	—
Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions.	46.1%	—
Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown.	42.2%	—
Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate.	62.7%	—

Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.

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