2026 schedule
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
2026 season so far
Louisiana Tech is 5-2 against the 101st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 32.3 and allowing 21 points per game (+11.3 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Louisiana Tech ranks 68th of 139 FBS teams overall — 76th on offense and 57th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at South Alabama in Week 9. We project Louisiana Tech 32, South Alabama 27 — Louisiana Tech wins 61% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Northwestern State Demons
0-2 · SOS #107
Win 80-6
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 41.8
Total 53
DraftKings
LT -44.5
Total 56.5
Final Louisiana Tech by 74. Louisiana Tech beat the spread. 86 points — over the 56.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -44.5 (open Louisiana Tech -43) · O/U 56.5 (open 54) · model vs market -2.7 pts (Louisiana Tech view)
ESPN+ Joe Aillet Stadium - at
#8 LSU Tigers
2-0 · SOS #18
Loss 14-45
Week 2
Our number· pregame
LSU by 9.1
Total 48.1
DraftKings
LSU -34.5
Total 54.5
Final LSU by 31. Louisiana Tech beat the spread. 59 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: LSU -34.75 (open LSU -32.5) · O/U 54.75 (open 55.5) · ML +3500 / -20000 · LSU 97% no-vig · model vs market -25.6 pts, -25 pct pts (LSU view)
SECN+ Tiger Stadium (LA) - at
Baylor Bears
2-1 · SOS #63
Loss 19-36
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Baylor by 8.6
Total 50.6
DraftKings
BAY -20.5
Total 50.5
Final Baylor by 17. Louisiana Tech beat the spread. 55 points — over the 50.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Baylor -20.25 (open Baylor -18.25) · O/U 50.25 (open 55.25) · ML +725 / -1225 · Baylor 88% no-vig · model vs market -11.6 pts, -17 pct pts (Baylor view)
ESPNU McLane Stadium - vs
Army Black Knights
2-2 · SOS #107
Win 31-29
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 2.1
Total 52.3
DraftKings
LT -1.5
Total 46.5
Final Louisiana Tech by 2. Louisiana Tech beat the spread. 60 points — over the 46.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -0.25 (open Army -3.25) · O/U 46.75 (open 45.5) · ML -137.5 / +15 · Louisiana Tech 45% no-vig · model vs market +1.8 pts, +10 pct pts (Louisiana Tech view)
ESPN+ Joe Aillet Stadium - vs
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
4-2 · SOS #110
Win 32-31
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 3.5
Total 53.3
DraftKings
LT -3
Total 48.5
Final Louisiana Tech by 1. Louisiana beat the spread. 63 points — over the 48.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -3 (open Louisiana Tech -2.75) · O/U 48.25 (open 49) · ML +125 / -147.5 · Louisiana Tech 57% no-vig · model vs market +0.5 pts, +2 pct pts (Louisiana Tech view)
ESPN+ Joe Aillet Stadium - at
UL Monroe Warhawks
0-6 · SOS #97
Win 24-0
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 14.2
Total 58.8
DraftKings
LT -13.5
Total 55.5
Final Louisiana Tech by 24. Louisiana Tech beat the spread. 24 points — under the 55.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -14.5 · O/U 55.75 (open 53.5) · ML -637.5 / +450 · UL Monroe 17% no-vig · model vs market +0.3 pts, +0 pct pts (UL Monroe view)
ESPN+ Malone Stadium - vs
Old Dominion Monarchs
2-6 · SOS #79
Win 26-0
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 11.3
Total 45.3
DraftKings
LT -13.5
Total 43.5
Final Louisiana Tech by 26. Louisiana Tech beat the spread. 26 points — under the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -13.5 · O/U 43.5 · ML +410 / -550 · Louisiana Tech 80% no-vig · model vs market -2.2 pts, -3 pct pts (Louisiana Tech view)
ESPN+ Joe Aillet Stadium - at
South Alabama Jaguars
4-3 · SOS #103
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 32-27 · 61%
Our number
Louisiana Tech by 5
Total 59
DraftKings
LT -5.5
Total 57.5
We agree with the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Louisiana Tech -5.5 · O/U 57.5 · ML -212.5 / +177.5 · South Alabama 35% no-vig · model vs market +0.5 pts, +4 pct pts (South Alabama view)
ESPN+ Hancock Whitney Stadium - at
Troy Trojans
3-4 · SOS #113
Sat, Nov 7, 9:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 28-21 · 69%
Our number
Louisiana Tech by 7
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) - vs
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
2-5 · SOS #93
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 35-19 · 84%
Our number
Louisiana Tech by 16
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Joe Aillet Stadium - vs
Arkansas State Red Wolves
4-4 · SOS #102
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 32-20 · 78%
Our number
Louisiana Tech by 12
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Joe Aillet Stadium - at
Georgia Southern Eagles
3-4 · SOS #81
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 26-25 · 55%
Our number
Louisiana Tech by 1
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+0.2
68th in FBS
Adj. offense
25.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
25.4
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 32.3 | 47 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.0 | 46 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.89 | 80 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.39 | 55 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 159.6 | 84 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 232.7 | 60 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 131.9 | 39 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 210.0 | 78 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | 90 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.86 | 6 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.57 | 30 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.29 | 103 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.11 | 57 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.11 | 9 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 44.0% | 59 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 35.8% | 20 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.6% | 50 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.0% | 96 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 18.0% | 7 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.0% | 109 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.74 | 97 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.43 | 35 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 35 | 4 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 29 | 75 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 66.6 | 66 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.03 | 97 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.18 | 38 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.08 | 16 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.14 | 14 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 40.4% | 102 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 46.6% | 33 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 18.4% | 91 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 36.7% | 23 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 26.9% | 34 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 46.9% | 28 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.8% | 83 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 70.3% | 33 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 38.6% | 5 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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