2026 schedule
Memphis Tigers
2026 season so far
Memphis is 6-2 against the 104th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 36.1 and allowing 23.8 points per game (+12.3 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Memphis ranks 64th of 139 FBS teams overall — 49th on offense and 80th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: vs Army in Week 9. We project Memphis 30, Army 28 — Memphis wins 57% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
UNLV Rebels
0-1 · SOS #82
Win 27-21
Week 1
Our number· pregame
UNLV by 2.5
Total 59.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 6. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Fox Allegiant Stadium - vs
Arkansas State Red Wolves
0-1 · SOS #102
Win 42-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 9.9
Total 53.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 18. 66 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - at
Boise State Broncos
1-1 · SOS #45
Loss 20-38
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Boise State by 1.5
Total 53.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Boise State by 18. 58 points. No book line was saved for this game.
USA Net Albertsons Stadium - vs
UT Martin Skyhawks
1-3 · SOS #45
Win 45-21
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 37.1
Total 54.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 24. 66 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - at
Charlotte 49ers
0-5 · SOS #80
Win 59-8
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 16.1
Total 55.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 51. 67 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Rain, 75°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KJQF)ESPN+ Jerry Richardson Stadium - vs
UAB Blazers
3-3 · SOS #94
Win 38-13
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 17.9
Total 56.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 25. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 8 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMEM)ESPN2 Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - at
Tulane Green Wave
3-3 · SOS #50
Loss 17-31
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 4.2
Total 49.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulane by 14. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly clear, 83°F, Wind 5 mph NE, 7% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 11, 8:43 AM EDT · last stored copyESPN Yulman Stadium - vs
East Carolina Pirates
3-4 · SOS #95
Win 41-34
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 7
Total 52.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 7. 75 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 70°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMEM)ESPN2 Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - vs
Army Black Knights
5-2 · SOS #107
Sun, Nov 1, 12:00 AM
Week 9
Proj 30-28 · 57%
Our number
Memphis by 2
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 71°F, Wind 5 mph ESE, 34% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTESPNU Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium - at
South Florida Bulls
5-2 · SOS #133
Fri, Nov 13, 1:00 AM
Week 11
Proj 26-27 · 47%
Our number
South Florida by 1
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN Raymond James Stadium - at
Navy Midshipmen
2-5 · SOS #99
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 29-28 · 55%
Our number
Memphis by 1
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - vs
Temple Owls
2-5 · SOS #87
Fri, Nov 27 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 36-22 · 82%
Our number
Memphis by 14
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Memphis Tigers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+0.7
64th in FBS
Adj. offense
28.8
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
28.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 36.1 | 23 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 23.8 | 66 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 7.44 | 6 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.16 | 105 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 240.9 | 9 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 280.6 | 18 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 185.6 | 107 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 206.1 | 70 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.13 | 99 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.25 | 30 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.38 | 45 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.00 | 82 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.18 | 30 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.04 | 66 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 48.6% | 21 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 38.1% | 32 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.4% | 17 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 14.5% | 126 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.0% | 67 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.4% | 47 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.44 | 41 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.46 | 38 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 27 | 116 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 28 | 46 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 70.1 | 22 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.15 | 31 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.22 | 30 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.12 | 110 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.05 | 35 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 50.7% | 11 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 47.7% | 28 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 12.9% | 12 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 34.2% | 36 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 24.9% | 14 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 43.8% | 50 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 32.7% | 18 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 55.0% | 106 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 57.3% | 57 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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