2026 schedule
Old Dominion Monarchs
2026 season so far
Old Dominion is 2-6 against the 79th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 15.5 and allowing 26.8 points per game (-11.3 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Old Dominion ranks 113th of 139 FBS teams overall — 130th on offense and 84th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: vs Marshall in Week 9. We project Old Dominion 24, Marshall 22 — Old Dominion wins 57% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Norfolk State Spartans
1-1 · SOS #153
Win 31-10
Week 1
Our number· model now
Old Dominion by 16
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final Old Dominion by 21. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ S.B. Ballard Stadium - at
Virginia Tech Hokies
2-0 · SOS #111
Loss 21-44
Week 2
Our number· model now
Virginia Tech by 18
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 23. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
CW Lane Stadium - vs
East Carolina Pirates
1-2 · SOS #95
Loss 17-20
Week 3
Our number· model now
East Carolina by 8
Total 44
Book line
Not posted
Final East Carolina by 3. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ S.B. Ballard Stadium - vs
James Madison Dukes
4-0 · SOS #128
Loss 20-46
Week 4
Our number· model now
James Madison by 17
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final James Madison by 26. 66 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: 63°F, Wind 18 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KNGU)ESPN+ S.B. Ballard Stadium - at
Georgia State Panthers
4-1 · SOS #126
Loss 10-42
Week 5
Our number· model now
Georgia State by 6
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia State by 32. 52 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 82°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KATL)ESPN+ Center Parc Stadium - at
App State Mountaineers
3-2 · SOS #124
Win 10-3
Week 6
Our number· model now
App State by 4
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
Final Old Dominion by 7. 13 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Rain, 54°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KGEV)ESPN+ Kidd Brewer Stadium - vs
Georgia Southern Eagles
3-4 · SOS #81
Loss 15-23
Week 7
Our number· model now
Georgia Southern by 5
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia Southern by 8. 38 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kickoff forecast: Partly cloudy, 69°F, Wind 9 mph E, 2% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 11, 8:43 AM EDT · last stored copyESPN2 S.B. Ballard Stadium - at
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
5-2 · SOS #101
Loss 0-26
Week 8
Our number· model now
Louisiana Tech by 13
Total 43
Book line
Not posted
Final Louisiana Tech by 26. 26 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 83°F, Wind 5 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRSN)ESPN+ Joe Aillet Stadium - vs
Marshall Thundering Herd
4-3 · SOS #106
Sat, Oct 31, 5:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-22 · 57%
Our number
Old Dominion by 2
Total 46
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Partly sunny, 62°F, Wind 12 mph NE, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTESPN+ S.B. Ballard Stadium - at
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
2-5 · SOS #115
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 22-23 · 48%
Our number
Coastal Carolina by 1
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Brooks Stadium (SC) - at
UConn Huskies
4-3 · SOS #132
Sat, Nov 21, 8:30 PM
Week 12
Proj 20-28 · 30%
Our number
UConn by 8
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - vs
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
2-5 · SOS #93
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 26-22 · 60%
Our number
Old Dominion by 4
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Old Dominion Monarchs stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-11.0
112th in FBS
Adj. offense
17.2
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
28.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 15.5 | 133 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 26.8 | 97 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 4.06 | 138 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.99 | 23 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 115.4 | 133 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 129.0 | 133 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 146.4 | 58 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 205.8 | 68 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.25 | 118 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.75 | 87 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.00 | 70 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 4.75 | 137 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.17 | 138 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.06 | 23 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 30.4% | 138 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.3% | 42 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 9.5% | 132 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.9% | 44 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.8% | 51 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 22.1% | 138 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 2.87 | 135 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.71 | 57 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 26 | 131 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 35 | 136 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 60.1 | 120 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.12 | 136 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.23 | 136 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.14 | 5 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.02 | 58 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 32.9% | 136 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 27.7% | 137 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 30.5% | 138 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 28.0% | 105 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.7% | 81 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 34.2% | 119 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 37.9% | 60 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 47.4% | 128 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 45.9% | 16 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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