2026 schedule
Kennesaw State Owls
2026 season so far
Kennesaw State is 1-6 against the 91st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 20 and allowing 25 points per game (-5 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Kennesaw State ranks 123rd of 139 FBS teams overall — 125th on offense and 104th on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: at Middle Tennessee in Week 9. We project Kennesaw State 24.7, Middle Tennessee 24 — Kennesaw State wins 52% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
West Georgia Wolves
0-2 · SOS #32
Win 47-0
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Kennesaw State by 27.8
Total 50.8
DraftKings
KENN -22.5
Total 50.5
Final Kennesaw State by 47. Kennesaw State beat the spread. 47 points — under the 50.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kennesaw State -22.5 · O/U 50.5 (open 51.5) · ML +1500 / -3600 · Kennesaw State 94% no-vig · model vs market +5.3 pts, +3 pct pts (Kennesaw State view)
ESPN+ Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - vs
Georgia State Panthers
2-0 · SOS #129
Loss 17-31
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Kennesaw State by 9.4
Total 55.2
DraftKings
KENN -7.5
Total 55.5
Final Georgia State by 14. Georgia State beat the spread. 48 points — under the 55.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kennesaw State -7.5 (open Kennesaw State -9.25) · O/U 55.5 (open 50.75) · ML +260 / -329 · Kennesaw State 73% no-vig · model vs market +1.9 pts, -0 pct pts (Kennesaw State view)
ESPN+ Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - at
#15 Tennessee Volunteers
3-0 · SOS #30
Loss 9-42
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Tennessee by 11.7
Total 56.7
DraftKings
TENN -35.5
Total 60.5
Final Tennessee by 33. Kennesaw State beat the spread. 51 points — under the 60.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee -35.5 (open Tennessee -35) · O/U 60.75 (open 59.75) · ML +2200 / -8000 · Tennessee 96% no-vig · model vs market -23.8 pts, -18 pct pts (Tennessee view)
SECN+ Neyland Stadium - at
Arkansas State Red Wolves
2-2 · SOS #103
Loss 14-17
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Arkansas State by 8.1
Total 51.3
DraftKings
ARST -6.5
Total 53.5
Final Arkansas State by 3. Kennesaw State beat the spread. 31 points — under the 53.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Arkansas State -6.5 (open Arkansas State -4.75) · O/U 53.25 (open 53.5) · ML +177.5 / -211.5 · Arkansas State 65% no-vig · model vs market +1.6 pts, +5 pct pts (Arkansas State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 73°F, Wind 5 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KJBR)ESPN+ Centennial Bank Stadium - vs
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
4-2 · SOS #117
Loss 26-27
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Jacksonville State by 1.9
Total 49.9
DraftKings
JXST -3
Total 48.5
Final Jacksonville State by 1. Kennesaw State beat the spread. 53 points — over the 48.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Jacksonville State -3 (open Jacksonville State -2.75) · O/U 48.75 (open 49.25) · ML -156.5 / +132 · Kennesaw State 41% no-vig · model vs market +1.1 pts, +4 pct pts (Kennesaw State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRYY)CBSSN Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - at
Missouri State Bears
2-4 · SOS #99
Loss 21-24
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Kennesaw State by 1.6
Total 49.8
DraftKings
KENN -2.5
Total 52.5
Final Missouri State by 3. Missouri State beat the spread. 45 points — under the 52.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kennesaw State -2.5 (open Kennesaw State -3) · O/U 52.5 (open 51) · ML -153.5 / +130 · Missouri State 42% no-vig · model vs market +0.9 pts, +4 pct pts (Missouri State view)
Kickoff forecast: Showers and thunderstorms, 80°F, Wind 5 mph S, 90% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 11, 8:43 AM EDT · last stored copyCBSSN Robert W. Plaster Stadium - vs
Liberty Flames
6-1 · SOS #134
Loss 6-34
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Liberty by 7
Total 46.4
DraftKings
LIB -8.5
Total 50.5
Final Liberty by 28. Liberty beat the spread. 40 points — under the 50.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Liberty -8.5 · O/U 50.5 · ML -370 / +290 · Kennesaw State 25% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +8 pct pts (Kennesaw State view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 3 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KRYY)CBSSN Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - at
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
4-3 · SOS #127
Wed, Oct 28, 11:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24.7-24 · 52%
Our number· pregame
Kennesaw State by 0.7
Total 48.7
DraftKings
KENN -1.5
Total 49.5
We agree with the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Kennesaw State -1.5 · O/U 49.5 · ML -111 / -108 · Middle Tennessee 51% no-vig · model vs market +0.8 pts, -3 pct pts (Middle Tennessee view)
CBSSN Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium - vs
Delaware Blue Hens
3-4 · SOS #116
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 27-28 · 48%
Our number
Delaware by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - at
Sam Houston Bearkats
1-6 · SOS #109
Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 24-21 · 57%
Our number
Kennesaw State by 3
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium - vs
Florida International Panthers
3-4 · SOS #137
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 19-21 · 45%
Our number
Florida International by 2
Total 40
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - at
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
3-4 · SOS #85
Sat, Nov 28, 6:00 PM
Week 13
Proj 21-27 · 34%
Our number
Western Kentucky by 6
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Kennesaw State Owls stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-11.1
116th in FBS
Adj. offense
19.9
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
31.0
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 23.0 | 104 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 25.4 | 83 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.67 | 98 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.94 | 89 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 138.6 | 112 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 231.4 | 63 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 158.0 | 75 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 224.1 | 98 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.86 | 61 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.43 | 127 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 0.86 | 135 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.14 | 23 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.04 | 94 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.08 | 89 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.2% | 68 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.4% | 99 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.9% | 117 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.1% | 79 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 11.4% | 123 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 10.3% | 14 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.06 | 75 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.06 | 95 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 25 | 133 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 30 | 92 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 65.3 | 73 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.05 | 84 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.03 | 93 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.01 | 46 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.17 | 108 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 43.4% | 79 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 43.1% | 57 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 21.1% | 124 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 29.8% | 95 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 32.9% | 109 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 41.6% | 67 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 37.6% | 55 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.8% | 93 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 67.7% | 110 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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