2026 schedule
UConn Huskies
2026 season so far
UConn is 4-3 against the 132nd-toughest schedule so far, scoring 35.6 and allowing 23.9 points per game (+11.7 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings UConn ranks 92nd of 139 FBS teams overall — 73rd on offense and 96th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Air Force in Week 9. We project UConn 27, Air Force 30 — UConn wins 42% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Lafayette Leopards
0-1 · SOS #126
Win 56-7
Week 1
Our number· pregame
UConn by 29.7
Total 66.3
DraftKings
CONN -21.5
Total 51.5
Final UConn by 49. UConn beat the spread. 63 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: UConn -20.5 (open UConn -19.5) · O/U 51.5 (open 55) · ML +862.5 / -1550 · UConn 90% no-vig · model vs market +9.2 pts, +8 pct pts (UConn view)
Pratt & Whitney Stadium - vs
Maryland Terrapins
2-0 · SOS #40
Loss 14-38
Week 2
Our number· pregame
UConn by 2.9
Total 55.7
DraftKings
MD -11.5
Total 52.5
Final Maryland by 24. Maryland beat the spread. 52 points — under the 52.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Maryland -11.5 (open Maryland -12.5) · O/U 52.5 (open 53.5) · ML -477.5 / +355 · UConn 21% no-vig · model vs market +14.4 pts, +37 pct pts (UConn view)
CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - at
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
1-2 · SOS #93
Win 48-20
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Southern Miss by 5.4
Total 51.6
DraftKings
CONN -3.5
Total 54.5
Final UConn by 28. UConn beat the spread. 68 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: UConn -3.5 (open UConn -3) · O/U 54.5 (open 54.75) · ML -163.5 / +138 · Southern Miss 40% no-vig · model vs market +8.9 pts, +24 pct pts (Southern Miss view)
ESPN+ M. M. Roberts Stadium - at
Miami (OH) RedHawks
2-2 · SOS #117
Loss 21-24
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Miami (OH) by 2.4
Total 57.2
DraftKings
M-OH -2.5
Total 52.5
Final Miami (OH) by 3. Miami (OH) beat the spread. 45 points — under the 52.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Miami (OH) -2.5 (open Miami (OH) -3.75) · O/U 52.25 (open 50.75) · ML +142 / -167.5 · Miami (OH) 60% no-vig · model vs market -0.1 pts, -4 pct pts (Miami (OH) view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 73°F, Wind 6 mph ENE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHAO)ESPN+ Yager Stadium - vs
Syracuse Orange
2-2 · SOS #77
Loss 41-42
Week 5
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 53.9
DraftKings
SYR -6.5
Total 51.5
Final Syracuse by 1. UConn beat the spread. 83 points — over the 51.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Syracuse -6.5 (open Syracuse -6) · O/U 51 (open 52.75) · ML -242.5 / +197.5 · UConn 32% no-vig · model vs market +6.4 pts, +17 pct pts (UConn view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 72°F, Wind 7 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHFD)CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - at
Temple Owls
2-4 · SOS #87
Win 34-20
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Temple by 2
Total 57
DraftKings
TEM -3.5
Total 55.5
Final UConn by 14. UConn beat the spread. 54 points — under the 55.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Temple -3.75 · O/U 55.5 (open 53.75) · ML +155 / -182.5 · Temple 62% no-vig · model vs market -1.7 pts, -7 pct pts (Temple view)
Game-time weather: 72°F, Wind 7 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPHL)ESPNU Lincoln Financial Field - vs
Massachusetts Minutemen
4-4 · SOS #138
Win 35-16
Week 8
Our number· pregame
UConn by 14.4
Total 54.6
DraftKings
CONN -12.5
Total 53.5
Final UConn by 19. UConn beat the spread. 51 points — under the 53.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: UConn -12.5 (open UConn -15.5) · O/U 53.5 (open 49.5) · ML +410 / -550 · UConn 81% no-vig · model vs market +1.9 pts, +2 pct pts (UConn view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 43°F, Wind 3 mph SE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHFD)CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - at
Air Force Falcons
5-2 · SOS #105
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 27-30 · 42%
Our number
Air Force by 3
Total 57
DraftKings
AFA -2.5
Total 53.5
We agree with the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Air Force -2.5 · O/U 53.5 · ML +124.5 / -146.5 · Air Force 57% no-vig · model vs market +0.5 pts, +2 pct pts (Air Force view)
Kickoff forecast: Mostly sunny, 59°F, Wind 5 mph SE, 10% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTMW+ Falcon Stadium - vs
North Carolina Tar Heels
4-3 · SOS #10
Sat, Nov 7, 5:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 24-29 · 37%
Our number
North Carolina by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - vs
James Madison Dukes
7-1 · SOS #128
Sat, Nov 14, 5:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 25-34 · 27%
Our number
James Madison by 9
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - vs
Old Dominion Monarchs
2-6 · SOS #79
Sat, Nov 21, 8:30 PM
Week 12
Proj 28-20 · 70%
Our number
UConn by 8
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
CBSSN Pratt & Whitney Stadium - at
Wyoming Cowboys
5-3 · SOS #130
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 25-22 · 59%
Our number
UConn by 3
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
War Memorial Stadium
Times shown in your local time
UConn Huskies stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-4.3
91st in FBS
Adj. offense
25.8
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
30.1
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 35.6 | 30 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 23.9 | 67 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.97 | 12 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.59 | 69 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 220.9 | 17 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 232.3 | 62 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 116.1 | 20 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 279.4 | 135 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.00 | 87 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.71 | 96 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.86 | 84 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.14 | 133 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.15 | 39 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.03 | 63 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.3% | 64 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.1% | 72 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.6% | 15 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 9.6% | 16 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.7% | 58 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 12.0% | 39 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.31 | 50 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.57 | 45 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 31 | 47 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 28 | 45 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 65.0 | 75 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.22 | 6 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.08 | 72 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.05 | 29 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.09 | 87 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 45.8% | 53 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 43.1% | 56 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 15.7% | 42 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.8% | 45 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 27.4% | 41 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 40.0% | 80 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 40.2% | 88 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 73.0% | 21 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 60.0% | 75 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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