2026 schedule
Georgia Bulldogs
2026 season so far
Georgia (No. 3) is 6-1 against the 52nd-toughest schedule so far, scoring 43 and allowing 15.9 points per game (+27.1 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Georgia ranks 4th of 139 FBS teams overall — 3rd on offense and 7th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: vs Florida in Week 9. We project Georgia 37, Florida 24 — Georgia wins 80% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Tennessee State Tigers
0-2 · SOS #33
Win 63-3
Week 1
Our number· model now
Georgia by 59
Total 59
DraftKings
UGA -49.5
Total 55.5
Final Georgia by 60. Georgia beat the spread. 66 points — over the 55.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -49.25 (open Georgia -47.25) · O/U 55.25 (open 55.5) · model vs market +9.8 pts (Georgia view)
SECN+ Sanford Stadium - vs
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
0-2 · SOS #89
Win 70-20
Week 2
Our number· model now
Georgia by 39
Total 55
DraftKings
UGA -40.5
Total 55.5
Final Georgia by 50. Georgia beat the spread. 90 points — over the 55.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -40.25 (open Georgia -37.5) · O/U 55.75 (open 53.25) · model vs market -1.2 pts (Georgia view)
SEC Network Sanford Stadium - at
Arkansas Razorbacks
1-2 · SOS #8
Win 45-17
Week 3
Our number· model now
Georgia by 24
Total 56
DraftKings
UGA -24.5
Total 54.5
Final Georgia by 28. Georgia beat the spread. 62 points — over the 54.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -24.5 (open Georgia -21) · O/U 54.75 (open 53.25) · ML -3050 / +1200 · Arkansas 7% no-vig · model vs market +0.5 pts, -2 pct pts (Arkansas view)
ABC Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium - vs
Oklahoma Sooners
2-2 · SOS #9
Win 41-13
Week 4
Our number· model now
Georgia by 14
Total 46
DraftKings
UGA -11.5
Total 43.5
Final Georgia by 28. Georgia beat the spread. 54 points — over the 43.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -11.25 (open Georgia -12) · O/U 43.75 (open 48) · ML +420 / -585 · Georgia 82% no-vig · model vs market +2.8 pts, +0 pct pts (Georgia view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 81°F, Wind 8 mph WNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAHN)ESPN/Disney+ Sanford Stadium - vs
Vanderbilt Commodores
3-2 · SOS #16
Win 38-14
Week 5
Our number· model now
Georgia by 25
Total 57
DraftKings
UGA -25.5
Total 49.5
Final Georgia by 24. Vanderbilt beat the spread. 52 points — over the 49.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -25.5 (open Georgia -24.25) · O/U 50.25 (open 55) · ML +1250 / -3350 · Georgia 93% no-vig · model vs market -0.5 pts, +3 pct pts (Georgia view)
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 82°F, Wind 3 mph WNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAHN)SEC Network Sanford Stadium - at
#6 Alabama Crimson Tide
5-1 · SOS #2
Win 20-17
Week 6
Our number· model now
dead even
Total 58
DraftKings
ALA -2.5
Total 51.5
Final Georgia by 3. Georgia beat the spread. 37 points — under the 51.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Alabama -2.5 (open Georgia -2) · O/U 51.75 (open 53) · ML -2.5 / -117.5 · Alabama 52% no-vig · model vs market -2.5 pts, +1 pct pts (Alabama view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 63°F, Wind 6 mph W.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KTCL)ABC Bryant-Denny Stadium - vs
Auburn Tigers
4-2 · SOS #3
Loss 24-27
Week 7
Our number· model now
Georgia by 21
Total 53
DraftKings
UGA -19.5
Total 50.5
Final Auburn by 3. Auburn beat the spread. 51 points — over the 50.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -19.5 (open Georgia -17.5) · O/U 50.25 (open 51.5) · ML +750 / -1275 · Georgia 89% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +3 pct pts (Georgia view)
Game-time weather: Clear, 68°F, Wind 9 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KAHN)ESPN Sanford Stadium - vs
#17 Florida Gators
5-2 · SOS #12
Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 37-24 · 80%
Our number
Georgia by 13
Total 61
DraftKings
UGA -11.5
Total 55.5
We're 1.5 points higher on Georgia than the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -11.5 · O/U 55.75 · ML +350 / -450 · Georgia 79% no-vig · model vs market +1.5 pts, +1 pct pts (Georgia view)
Kickoff forecast (retractable roof): Mostly cloudy, 72°F, Wind 15 mph E, 4% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTABC Mercedes-Benz Stadium - at
#12 Ole Miss Rebels
5-2 · SOS #6
Sun, Nov 8, 12:30 AM
Week 10
Proj 33-28 · 62%
Our number
Georgia by 5
Total 61
DraftKings
UGA -4.5
Total 55.5
We agree with the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Georgia -4.5 · O/U 55.5 · ML -218 / +180 · Ole Miss 34% no-vig · model vs market -0.5 pts, +3 pct pts (Ole Miss view)
ABC Vaught-Hemingway Stadium - vs
#23 Missouri Tigers
5-2 · SOS #30
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 34-19 · 84%
Our number
Georgia by 15
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Sanford Stadium - at
South Carolina Gamecocks
4-3 · SOS #23
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 34-24 · 74%
Our number
Georgia by 10
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Williams-Brice Stadium - vs
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
2-5 · SOS #43
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 44-15 · 97%
Our number
Georgia by 29
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Sanford Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Georgia Bulldogs stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+24.5
4th in FBS
Adj. offense
40.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
15.8
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 43.0 | 3 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 15.9 | 16 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 7.69 | 3 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.65 | 10 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 202.1 | 31 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 255.7 | 39 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 116.0 | 19 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 177.7 | 24 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.57 | 29 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.14 | 33 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.00 | 10 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.14 | 22 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.24 | 7 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.05 | 25 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 53.4% | 1 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 34.4% | 7 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 17.3% | 5 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 9.7% | 17 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 15.9% | 25 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 10.6% | 18 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 5.22 | 2 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.73 | 59 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 31 | 40 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 28 | 41 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.6 | 122 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.19 | 13 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.30 | 15 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.07 | 23 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.04 | 37 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 52.8% | 2 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 54.5% | 4 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.2% | 20 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 39.4% | 12 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 23.2% | 6 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 56.9% | 3 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.0% | 73 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 83.3% | 2 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 72.9% | 128 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
Free weekly projections email
One email a week in season: the closest projected games, the biggest mismatches and how the model graded out last week. Email address only — no spam, unsubscribe any time.