2026 schedule
Indiana Hoosiers
2026 season so far
Indiana (No. 4) is 7-1 against the 31st-toughest schedule so far, scoring 33.6 and allowing 12 points per game (+21.6 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Indiana ranks 5th of 139 FBS teams overall — 9th on offense and 1st on defense. The defense is the stronger unit.
Next up: vs Minnesota in Week 9. We project Indiana 34, Minnesota 9 — Indiana wins 95% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
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- vs
North Texas Mean Green
0-1 · SOS #84
Win 52-16
Week 1
Our number· model now
Indiana by 23
Total 59
DraftKings
IU -39.5
Total 57.5
Final Indiana by 36. North Texas beat the spread. 68 points — over the 57.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Indiana -40 (open Indiana -40.5) · O/U 56.75 (open 55.5) · model vs market -17.0 pts (Indiana view)
Fox Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - vs
Howard Bison
1-2 · SOS #47
Win 55-0
Week 2
Our number· model now
Indiana by 52
Total 52
DraftKings
IU -57.5
Total 67.5
Final Indiana by 55. Howard beat the spread. 55 points — under the 67.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Indiana -57.5 (open Indiana -57) · O/U 67.5 (open 65.25) · model vs market -5.5 pts (Indiana view)
BTN Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - vs
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
0-3 · SOS #85
Win 38-0
Week 3
Our number· model now
Indiana by 38
Total 46
DraftKings
IU -44.5
Total 59.5
Final Indiana by 38. Western Kentucky beat the spread. 38 points — under the 59.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Indiana -44.75 (open Indiana -44.25) · O/U 59.25 (open 59.5) · model vs market -6.7 pts (Indiana view)
Peacock Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - vs
Northwestern Wildcats
2-1 · SOS #43
Win 29-23
Week 4
Our number· model now
Indiana by 19
Total 45
DraftKings
IU -20.5
Total 49.5
Final Indiana by 6. Northwestern beat the spread. 52 points — over the 49.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Indiana -20.25 (open Indiana -22.5) · O/U 49.75 (open 48.75) · ML +925 / -1775 · Indiana 91% no-vig · model vs market -1.2 pts, -1 pct pts (Indiana view)
Fox Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - at
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
1-4 · SOS #51
Win 47-15
Week 5
Our number· model now
Indiana by 27
Total 55
DraftKings
IU -24.5
Total 56.5
Final Indiana by 32. Indiana beat the spread. 62 points — over the 56.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
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Market lines: Indiana -24.25 (open Indiana -23.25) · O/U 56.75 (open 54.5) · ML -2450 / +1100 · Rutgers 8% no-vig · model vs market -2.7 pts, -4 pct pts (Rutgers view)
BTN SHI Stadium - at
Nebraska Cornhuskers
5-1 · SOS #32
Win 20-17
Week 6
Our number· model now
Indiana by 8
Total 46
DraftKings
IU -9.5
Total 48.5
Final Indiana by 3. Nebraska beat the spread. 37 points — under the 48.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Indiana -9 · O/U 48.25 (open 51) · ML -340 / +270 · Nebraska 26% no-vig · model vs market +1.0 pts, +4 pct pts (Nebraska view)
Fox Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) - vs
#4 Ohio State Buckeyes
6-1 · SOS #19
Loss 15-19
Week 7
Our number· model now
Ohio State by 2
Total 48
DraftKings
OSU -3
Total 49.5
Final Ohio State by 4. Ohio State beat the spread. 34 points — under the 49.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Ohio State -2.75 · O/U 49.75 (open 49.5) · ML -163.5 / +140 · Indiana 40% no-vig · model vs market +0.8 pts, +4 pct pts (Indiana view)
Fox Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - at
Michigan Wolverines
4-3 · SOS #15
Win 13-6
Week 8
Our number· model now
Indiana by 14
Total 40
DraftKings
IU -7.5
Total 43.5
Final Indiana by 7. Michigan beat the spread. 19 points — under the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Indiana -7.5 · O/U 43.5 · ML -298 / +240 · Michigan 28% no-vig · model vs market -6.5 pts, -10 pct pts (Michigan view)
Fox Michigan Stadium - vs
Minnesota Golden Gophers
5-2 · SOS #75
Sat, Oct 31, 7:30 PM
Week 9
Proj 34-9 · 95%
Our number
Indiana by 25
Total 43
DraftKings
IU -20.5
Total 42.5
We're 4.5 points higher on Indiana than the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Indiana -20.5 · O/U 42.5 · ML +850 / -1525 · Indiana 90% no-vig · model vs market +4.5 pts, +5 pct pts (Indiana view)
CBS Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - vs
USC Trojans
6-2 · SOS #25
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 33-20 · 81%
Our number
Indiana by 13
Total 53
DraftKings
IU -10
Total 58.5
We're 3 points higher on Indiana than the book. Shown for comparison only.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Indiana -10 · O/U 58.5 · ML +350 / -455 · Indiana 79% no-vig · model vs market +3.0 pts, +2 pct pts (Indiana view)
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) - at
Washington Huskies
4-3 · SOS #65
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 31-16 · 84%
Our number
Indiana by 15
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Husky Stadium - vs
Purdue Boilermakers
3-4 · SOS #13
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 42-11 · 98%
Our number
Indiana by 31
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Times shown in your local time
Indiana Hoosiers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+24.2
5th in FBS
Adj. offense
36.1
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
11.9
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 33.6 | 38 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 12.0 | 2 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 7.15 | 9 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 4.55 | 6 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 200.1 | 32 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 225.1 | 67 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 102.5 | 6 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 184.3 | 34 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.25 | 6 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.13 | 39 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.50 | 5 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.38 | 40 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.14 | 41 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.11 | 8 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 45.0% | 47 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 34.9% | 13 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 16.7% | 6 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.2% | 25 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 15.9% | 27 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 11.6% | 32 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.31 | 49 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 2.87 | 5 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 20 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 27 | 30 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 59.5 | 124 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.05 | 83 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.25 | 22 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.13 | 6 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.09 | 24 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.3% | 88 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 48.2% | 24 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.1% | 19 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 33.0% | 42 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.3% | 75 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 44.7% | 37 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 35.2% | 35 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 67.7% | 40 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 41.2% | 7 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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