NBA projections, advanced stats and win probabilities

HoopVantage projects every NBA game from the players expected to play: minutes × player impact, opponent-adjusted team efficiency, rest, travel and altitude. In a four-season walk-forward backtest the projected winner won 67.4% of 4,923 games with a Brier score of 0.206.

Next games (Sat, Oct 31, 2026)

• Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: POR by 3.2 (60%), total 229.7
• Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: CHA by 0.3 (51%), total 221.2
• Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: ATL by 2.3 (58%), total 230.4
• Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: MEM by 3.8 (63%), total 229.3
• Cleveland Cavaliers at Milwaukee Bucks — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: CLE by 5.6 (68%), total 229.6
• Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: SAS by 11.9 (84%), total 226.8
• Oklahoma City Thunder at Houston Rockets — Sat, Oct 31, 2026: HOU by 0.2 (51%), total 223.5

Top power ratings

1. San Antonio Spurs +8.7 (60.9 projected wins)
2. Detroit Pistons +5.4 (55.1 projected wins)
3. New York Knicks +5.2 (51.3 projected wins)
4. Oklahoma City Thunder +4.6 (52.7 projected wins)
5. Boston Celtics +4.4 (51.6 projected wins)
6. Houston Rockets +4.3 (51.7 projected wins)
7. Denver Nuggets +3.8 (49.9 projected wins)
8. Toronto Raptors +3.4 (48.1 projected wins)
9. Cleveland Cavaliers +3.3 (48.4 projected wins)
10. Los Angeles Lakers +3.3 (48.0 projected wins)

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.