
2026 schedule
Oklahoma State Cowboys
2026 season so far
Oklahoma State (No. 24) is 5-2 against the 60th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 40 and allowing 23.7 points per game (+16.3 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Oklahoma State ranks 54th of 139 FBS teams overall — 37th on offense and 77th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Iowa State in Week 9. We project Oklahoma State 28, Iowa State 27 — Oklahoma State wins 53% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at

Tulsa Golden Hurricane
1-0 · SOS #98
Loss 10-24
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Tulsa by 5.7
Total 51.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Tulsa by 14. 34 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNU H. A. Chapman Stadium - vs

#6 Oregon Ducks
1-1 · SOS #20
Win 39-31
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Oregon by 15.4
Total 49.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma State by 8. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPNEWS/Disney+ Boone Pickens Stadium - vs

Murray State Racers
1-3 · SOS #15
Win 59-0
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma State by 40.5
Total 46.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma State by 59. 59 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Boone Pickens Stadium - at

West Virginia Mountaineers
3-1 · SOS #56
Win 41-24
Week 4
Our number· pregame
West Virginia by 6.4
Total 56.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma State by 17. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 64°F, Wind 6 mph N.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMGW)FS1 Milan Puskar Stadium - vs

UCF Knights
3-3 · SOS #35
Win 42-28
Week 6
Our number· pregame
UCF by 2.9
Total 49.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma State by 14. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 88°F, Wind 13 mph S.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSWO)ESPN2 Boone Pickens Stadium - at

#20 Houston Cougars
6-1 · SOS #36
Loss 32-35
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Houston by 14.9
Total 56.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Houston by 3. 67 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind 9 mph NNE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHOU)Fox TDECU Stadium - vs

Colorado Buffaloes
2-5 · SOS #21
Win 57-24
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma State by 5.4
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma State by 33. 81 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 66°F, Wind 6 mph ESE.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KSWO)FS1 Boone Pickens Stadium - at

Iowa State Cyclones
3-4 · SOS #29
Sat, Oct 31, 11:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 28-27 · 53%
Our number
Oklahoma State by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Chance rain showers, 64°F, Wind 3 mph SE, 27% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTFS1 Jack Trice Stadium - at

Kansas State Wildcats
4-3 · SOS #83
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 29-31 · 43%
Our number
Kansas State by 2
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bill Snyder Family Stadium - vs

#13 Texas Tech Red Raiders
6-1 · SOS #74
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 26-34 · 29%
Our number
Texas Tech by 8
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Boone Pickens Stadium - at

Arizona State Sun Devils
4-3 · SOS #37
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 30-29 · 52%
Our number
Oklahoma State by 1
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Mountain America Stadium - vs

Kansas Jayhawks
3-4 · SOS #62
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 30-28 · 55%
Our number
Oklahoma State by 2
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Boone Pickens Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Oklahoma State Cowboys stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+3.2
53rd in FBS
Adj. offense
30.4
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
27.2
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 40.0 | 8 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 23.7 | 65 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 7.57 | 5 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.81 | 84 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 195.1 | 39 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 347.6 | 2 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 152.0 | 67 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 232.1 | 105 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.29 | 125 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | 57 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.14 | 62 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 1.14 | 25 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.19 | 21 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | 98 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 49.7% | 13 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.0% | 93 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 16.7% | 7 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.9% | 45 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 12.6% | 104 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 11.2% | 27 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.40 | 43 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.90 | 79 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 30 | 72 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 30 | 87 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 71.7 | 11 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.10 | 57 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.28 | 19 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.02 | 62 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.17 | 112 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 47.9% | 31 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 51.2% | 14 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 14.2% | 22 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 37.1% | 21 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 26.0% | 25 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 38.3% | 94 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 38.5% | 70 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 53.8% | 113 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 65.2% | 96 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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