2026 schedule
Kansas State Wildcats
2026 season so far
Kansas State is 4-3 against the 90th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 32.9 and allowing 21.1 points per game (+11.8 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Kansas State ranks 50th of 139 FBS teams overall — 43rd on offense and 59th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Colorado in Week 9. We project Kansas State 30, Colorado 24 — Kansas State wins 66% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs
Nicholls Colonels
1-1 · SOS #42
Win 71-3
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 35.8
Total 52.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Kansas State by 68. 74 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Bill Snyder Family Stadium - vs
Washington State Cougars
0-2 · SOS #39
Win 34-7
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 5.1
Total 49.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Kansas State by 27. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
TNT Bill Snyder Family Stadium - vs
Tulane Green Wave
1-2 · SOS #31
Win 31-20
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 8.5
Total 49.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Kansas State by 11. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Bill Snyder Family Stadium - at
Cincinnati Bearcats
4-0 · SOS #50
Loss 26-31
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 2.7
Total 58.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Cincinnati by 5. 57 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Nippert Stadium - vs
#22 Houston Cougars
5-1 · SOS #24
Loss 16-35
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Houston by 1.3
Total 60.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Houston by 19. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Fox Bill Snyder Family Stadium - vs
Kansas Jayhawks
2-4 · SOS #64
Win 35-24
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 2.6
Total 57.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Kansas State by 11. 59 points. No book line was saved for this game.
FS1 Bill Snyder Family Stadium - at
Arizona State Sun Devils
4-3 · SOS #57
Loss 17-28
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 3.7
Total 58.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona State by 11. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN2 Mountain America Stadium - at
Colorado Buffaloes
2-5 · SOS #15
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 30-24 · 66%
Our number
Kansas State by 6
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TNT Folsom Field - vs
#24 Oklahoma State Cowboys
5-2 · SOS #60
Sat, Nov 7 · TBD
Week 10
Proj 31-29 · 57%
Our number
Kansas State by 2
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bill Snyder Family Stadium - at
TCU Horned Frogs
3-4 · SOS #45
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 22-25 · 44%
Our number
TCU by 3
Total 47
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Amon G. Carter Stadium - vs
#22 Arizona Wildcats
6-1 · SOS #82
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 24-30 · 34%
Our number
Arizona by 6
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bill Snyder Family Stadium - at
Iowa State Cyclones
3-4 · SOS #32
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 28-26 · 56%
Our number
Kansas State by 2
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jack Trice Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Kansas State Wildcats stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
+4.2
50th in FBS
Adj. offense
29.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
25.4
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 32.9 | 43 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.1 | 47 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.35 | 47 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.20 | 38 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 222.3 | 16 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 226.9 | 66 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 174.1 | 96 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 134.3 | 3 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 0.71 | 45 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.29 | 134 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.43 | 37 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 0.86 | 9 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.14 | 43 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.02 | 53 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 44.8% | 48 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 37.2% | 26 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 11.6% | 97 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.9% | 112 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 16.5% | 17 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 11.6% | 30 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.33 | 48 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.42 | 114 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 30 | 73 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 27 | 29 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 70.7 | 16 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.17 | 22 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.12 | 60 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.01 | 49 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.05 | 72 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 48.6% | 24 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 41.4% | 72 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 16.0% | 48 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 35.2% | 32 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.9% | 87 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 54.5% | 8 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 34.0% | 27 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 60.3% | 77 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 68.9% | 117 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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