2026 schedule
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
2026 season so far
Mississippi Valley State is 3-5 against the 156th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 17.8 and allowing 34.1 points per game (-16.3 per game).
Mississippi Valley State plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Alcorn State in Week 9. We project Mississippi Valley State 24, Alcorn State 39 — Mississippi Valley State wins 16% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
Nicholls Colonels
1-0 · SOS #70
Loss 10-44
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Nicholls by 13.8
Total 52.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Nicholls by 34. 54 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ John L. Guidry Stadium - at
Sacramento State Hornets
1-1 · SOS #136
Loss 0-52
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Sacramento State by 35.6
Total 59.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Sacramento State by 52. 52 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Hornet Stadium - vs
Lincoln (PA) Lions
0-2 · SOS #177
Win 31-20
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Lincoln (PA) by 7
Total 52
Book line
Not posted
Final Mississippi Valley State by 11. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Soldier Field - vs
Delta State Statesmen
1-3 · SOS #176
Loss 6-21
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Delta State by 2
Total 51.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Delta State by 15. 27 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Rice-Totten Stadium - at
Alabama State Hornets
3-1 · SOS #161
Loss 15-41
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Alabama State by 35.3
Total 51.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Alabama State by 26. 56 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ASU Football Stadium - vs
Prairie View A&M Panthers
2-4 · SOS #67
Win 28-27
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Prairie View A&M by 20.2
Total 50.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Mississippi Valley State by 1. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Rice-Totten Stadium - at
Texas Southern Tigers
1-5 · SOS #137
Win 38-34
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Texas Southern by 8.3
Total 57.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Mississippi Valley State by 4. 72 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Shell Energy Stadium - vs
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
4-3 · SOS #125
Loss 14-34
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Bethune-Cookman by 10.2
Total 57.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Bethune-Cookman by 20. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Rice-Totten Stadium - vs
Alcorn State Braves
4-4 · SOS #166
Sat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-39 · 16%
Our number
Alcorn State by 15
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rice-Totten Stadium - at
Jackson State Tigers
6-2 · SOS #163
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 13-42 · 3%
Our number
Jackson State by 29
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Mississippi Veterans Memorial Stadium - at
Florida A&M Rattlers
2-6 · SOS #19
Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 20-33 · 19%
Our number
Florida A&M by 13
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bragg Memorial Stadium - vs
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
6-2 · SOS #150
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 17-41 · 6%
Our number
Alabama A&M by 24
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rice-Totten Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-41.6
Adj. offense
6.0
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
47.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 17.8 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 34.1 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.02 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.35 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 145.8 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 147.3 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 165.0 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 189.0 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.63 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.25 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.88 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.08 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.02 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 33.2% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 39.6% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.9% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 15.0% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 17.8% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 2.66 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 4.59 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 9 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 58.4 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.01 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.14 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.03 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.00 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 35.8% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 28.0% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 23.4% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 23.7% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 31.1% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 35.1% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 33.3% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 57.6% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 72.3% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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