2026 schedule
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
2026 season so far
Coastal Carolina is 2-5 against the 115th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 26.1 and allowing 25.9 points per game (+0.2 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Coastal Carolina ranks 120th of 139 FBS teams overall — 113th on offense and 117th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Georgia State in Week 9. We project Coastal Carolina 25, Georgia State 33 — Coastal Carolina wins 32% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- at
West Virginia Mountaineers
1-0 · SOS #56
Loss 24-31
Week 1
Our number· model now
West Virginia by 13
Total 65
Book line
Not posted
Final West Virginia by 7. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
TNT Milan Puskar Stadium - vs
Fordham Rams
0-3 · SOS #48
Win 45-7
Week 2
Our number· model now
Coastal Carolina by 23
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Coastal Carolina by 38. 52 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Brooks Stadium (SC) - at
Delaware Blue Hens
2-1 · SOS #116
Loss 14-22
Week 3
Our number· model now
Delaware by 4
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware by 8. 36 points. No book line was saved for this game.
CBSSN Delaware Stadium - vs
Liberty Flames
3-1 · SOS #134
Loss 17-34
Week 4
Our number· model now
Liberty by 12
Total 48
Book line
Not posted
Final Liberty by 17. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN Brooks Stadium (SC) - vs
Georgia Southern Eagles
2-3 · SOS #81
Loss 24-31
Week 5
Our number· model now
Georgia Southern by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Georgia Southern by 7. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 75°F, Wind 3 mph S.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KMYR)ESPN+ Brooks Stadium (SC) - at
Marshall Thundering Herd
3-3 · SOS #106
Win 27-21
Week 6
Our number· model now
Marshall by 2
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final Coastal Carolina by 6. 48 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Rain, 59°F, Wind 13 mph E.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KHTS)ESPN+ Joan C. Edwards Stadium - vs
App State Mountaineers
4-2 · SOS #124
Loss 32-35
Week 7
Our number· model now
App State by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 3. 67 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly clear, 74°F, Wind 6 mph S, 6% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 11, 8:43 AM EDT · last stored copyESPN2 Brooks Stadium (SC) - at
Georgia State Panthers
4-3 · SOS #126
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 25-33 · 32%
Our number
Georgia State by 8
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly cloudy, 72°F, Wind 15 mph E, 4% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:37 AM EDTESPN+ Center Parc Stadium - vs
Old Dominion Monarchs
2-6 · SOS #79
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 23-22 · 52%
Our number
Coastal Carolina by 1
Total 45
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Brooks Stadium (SC) - vs
Arkansas State Red Wolves
4-4 · SOS #102
Sat, Nov 14 · TBD
Week 11
Proj 27-28 · 49%
Our number
Arkansas State by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Brooks Stadium (SC) - at
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
5-3 · SOS #110
Sat, Nov 21 · TBD
Week 12
Proj 21-32 · 25%
Our number
Louisiana by 11
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium - at
James Madison Dukes
7-1 · SOS #128
Sat, Nov 28 · TBD
Week 13
Proj 17-39 · 8%
Our number
James Madison by 22
Total 56
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bridgeforth Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-11.7
119th in FBS
Adj. offense
20.6
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
32.3
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 26.1 | 89 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 25.9 | 90 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.96 | 75 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.46 | 121 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 167.4 | 69 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 214.9 | 83 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 216.9 | 130 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 206.6 | 71 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.14 | 112 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.00 | 62 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.14 | 64 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.71 | 121 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.01 | 108 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.12 | 111 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 39.4% | 116 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 45.0% | 121 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.0% | 64 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.9% | 116 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 13.7% | 73 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.2% | 114 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 3.79 | 95 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.47 | 39 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 29 | 91 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 29 | 77 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 64.1 | 87 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.04 | 90 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.01 | 111 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.12 | 115 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.13 | 97 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.9% | 84 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 37.1% | 114 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 16.3% | 56 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 31.0% | 73 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.0% | 71 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 37.2% | 98 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 45.6% | 126 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 62.5% | 66 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 56.3% | 51 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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