
2026 schedule
Delaware Blue Hens
2026 season so far
Delaware is 3-4 against the 116th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 28.3 and allowing 28.4 points per game (-0.1 per game).
In our opponent-adjusted ratings Delaware ranks 111th of 139 FBS teams overall — 94th on offense and 126th on defense. The offense carries this team more than the defense does.
Next up: at Western Kentucky in Week 9. We project Delaware 27, Western Kentucky 30 — Delaware wins 41% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 games- vs

Merrimack Warriors
0-2 · SOS #66
Win 42-7
Week 1
Our number· model now
Delaware by 17
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware by 35. 49 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Delaware Stadium - at

Vanderbilt Commodores
2-0 · SOS #16
Loss 26-35
Week 2
Our number· model now
Vanderbilt by 13
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
Final Vanderbilt by 9. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
SEC Network FirstBank Stadium - vs

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
1-2 · SOS #115
Win 22-14
Week 3
Our number· model now
Delaware by 3
Total 59
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware by 8. 36 points. No book line was saved for this game.
CBSSN Delaware Stadium - at

Virginia Cavaliers
3-1 · SOS #54
Loss 3-42
Week 4
Our number· model now
Virginia by 13
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia by 39. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 68°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KCHO)ACC Network Scott Stadium - vs

Liberty Flames
4-1 · SOS #134
Loss 14-30
Week 5
Our number· model now
Liberty by 11
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Liberty by 16. 44 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 72°F, Wind 3 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KILG)CBSSN Delaware Stadium - at

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
3-3 · SOS #125
Loss 30-33
Week 7
Our number· model now
Delaware by 4
Total 58
Book line
Not posted
Final Middle Tennessee by 3. 63 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kickoff forecast: Clear, 83°F, Wind 10 mph SSW, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 11, 8:43 AM EDT · last stored copyCBSSN Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium - vs

Missouri State Bears
2-5 · SOS #108
Win 61-38
Week 8
Our number· model now
Delaware by 7
Total 63
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware by 23. 99 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 52°F, Wind 7 mph NW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KILG)ESPNU Delaware Stadium - at

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
3-5 · SOS #89
Win 35-21
Week 9
Our number· model now
Western Kentucky by 3
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware by 14. 56 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Clear, 64°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KBWG)CBSSN Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium - at

Kennesaw State Owls
2-6 · SOS #96
Sat, Nov 7, 8:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 28-27 · 52%
Our number
Delaware by 1
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Walens Family Field at Fifth Third Stadium - vs

Florida International Panthers
3-4 · SOS #137
Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 25-25 · 52%
Our number
dead even
Total 50
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Delaware Stadium - at

New Mexico State Aggies
3-5 · SOS #114
Sat, Nov 21, 8:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 28-29 · 45%
Our number
New Mexico State by 1
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Aggie Memorial Stadium - vs

Jacksonville State Gamecocks
6-2 · SOS #119
Sat, Nov 28, 8:30 PM
Week 13
Proj 29-31 · 45%
Our number
Jacksonville State by 2
Total 60
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
CBSSN Delaware Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Delaware Blue Hens stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-8.9
103rd in FBS
Adj. offense
24.7
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
33.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 29.1 | 66 / 138 |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 27.5 | 100 / 138 |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 5.98 | 69 / 138 |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 6.10 | 100 / 138 |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 129.1 | 121 / 138 |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 259.9 | 34 / 138 |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 143.0 | 54 / 138 |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 266.9 | 130 / 138 |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.14 | 107 / 138 |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 0.86 | 70 / 138 |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 2.57 | 27 / 138 |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 3.00 | 130 / 138 |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.11 | 56 / 138 |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | 96 / 138 |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 41.7% | 88 / 138 |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 43.6% | 101 / 138 |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 13.2% | 59 / 138 |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 13.1% | 100 / 138 |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.8% | 50 / 138 |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.2% | 112 / 138 |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 4.13 | 65 / 138 |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 3.57 | 46 / 138 |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | own 32 | 37 / 138 |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | own 29 | 68 / 138 |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 65.0 | 76 / 138 |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.05 | 87 / 138 |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.15 | 45 / 138 |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.07 | 85 / 138 |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.11 | 91 / 138 |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 42.1% | 90 / 138 |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 42.6% | 62 / 138 |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 19.5% | 105 / 138 |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 32.0% | 60 / 138 |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 32.0% | 103 / 138 |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 34.8% | 117 / 138 |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 37.4% | 53 / 138 |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 55.7% | 101 / 138 |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 67.5% | 109 / 138 |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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