NFL Week 12 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 29, 2026

Week 12 of the 2026 NFL season has 16 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Jets at Dolphins (0.5-point margin), the highest projected total is Commanders at Cardinals (47.2 points) and the lowest is Falcons at Vikings (37.3). 6 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

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Wed, Nov 25, 8:00 PM ESTNetflix
Packers19
Rams22
We project Rams 22-19, a 3.6-point margin with 40.6 total points; Rams win 61% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 3.6
Total 40.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — LA by 3.6 · Total 40.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Rams 61% · total 40.6Full preview →
Thu, Nov 26, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Bears24
Lions23
We project Bears 24-23, a 0.9-point margin with 46.3 total points; Bears win 53% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
CHI by 0.9
Total 46.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CHI by 0.9 · Total 46.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bears 53% · total 46.3Full preview →
Thu, Nov 26, 4:30 PM ESTFox
Eagles22
Cowboys24
We project Cowboys 24-22, a 1.9-point margin with 45.5 total points; Cowboys win 56% of the time.
Our number
DAL by 1.9
Total 45.5
Book line
Not posted
Our number — DAL by 1.9 · Total 45.5 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cowboys 56% · total 45.5Full preview →
Thu, Nov 26, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Chiefs20
Bills21
We project Bills 21-20, a 1.4-point margin with 41 total points; Bills win 54% of the time.
Our number
BUF by 1.4
Total 41.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — BUF by 1.4 · Total 41.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bills 54% · total 41Full preview →
Fri, Nov 27, 3:00 PM ESTPrime Video
Broncos19
Steelers20
We project Steelers 20-19, a 1-point margin with 39.1 total points; Steelers win 53% of the time.
Our number
PIT by 1
Total 39.1
Book line
Not posted
Our number — PIT by 1 · Total 39.1 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Steelers 53% · total 39.1Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Saints20
Bengals25
We project Bengals 25-20, a 5.2-point margin with 44.2 total points; Bengals win 66% of the time.
Our number
CIN by 5.2
Total 44.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CIN by 5.2 · Total 44.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Bengals 66% · total 44.2Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Raiders17
Browns23
We project Browns 23-17, a 5.6-point margin with 40.4 total points; Browns win 67% of the time.
Our number
CLE by 5.6
Total 40.4
Book line
Not posted
Our number — CLE by 5.6 · Total 40.4 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Browns 67% · total 40.4Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Giants20
Colts25
We project Colts 25-20, a 4.1-point margin with 44.8 total points; Colts win 63% of the time.
Our number
IND by 4.1
Total 44.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — IND by 4.1 · Total 44.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Colts 63% · total 44.8Full preview →

Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Jets21
Dolphins20
We project Jets 21-20, a 0.5-point margin with 40.7 total points; Jets win 52% of the time.
Our number
NYJ by 0.5
Total 40.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NYJ by 0.5 · Total 40.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jets 52% · total 40.7Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTFox
Falcons16
Vikings22
We project Vikings 22-16, a 5.7-point margin with 37.3 total points; Vikings win 68% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
MIN by 5.7
Total 37.3
Book line
Not posted
Our number — MIN by 5.7 · Total 37.3 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Vikings 68% · total 37.3Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 1:00 PM ESTCBS
Ravens19
Texans23
We project Texans 23-19, a 4.9-point margin with 41.9 total points; Texans win 65% of the time.
Our number
HOU by 4.9
Total 41.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — HOU by 4.9 · Total 41.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Texans 65% · total 41.9Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 4:05 PM ESTCBS
Titans16
Jaguars25
We project Jaguars 25-16, a 8.9-point margin with 40.9 total points; Jaguars win 76% of the time.
Our number
JAX by 8.9
Total 40.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — JAX by 8.9 · Total 40.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Jaguars 76% · total 40.9Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ESTFox
Commanders23
Cardinals24
We project Cardinals 24-23, a 1.4-point margin with 47.2 total points; Cardinals win 55% of the time.
Our number
ARI by 1.4
Total 47.2
Book line
Not posted
Our number — ARI by 1.4 · Total 47.2 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Cardinals 55% · total 47.2Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ESTFox
Seahawks21
49ers17
We project Seahawks 21-17, a 4.5-point margin with 37.9 total points; Seahawks win 64% of the time.
Our number
SEA by 4.5
Total 37.9
Book line
Not posted
Our number — SEA by 4.5 · Total 37.9 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Seahawks 64% · total 37.9Full preview →
Sun, Nov 29, 8:20 PM ESTNBC
Patriots20
Chargers17
We project Patriots 20-17, a 3.1-point margin with 37.7 total points; Patriots win 60% of the time.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
NE by 3.1
Total 37.7
Book line
Not posted
Our number — NE by 3.1 · Total 37.7 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Patriots 60% · total 37.7Full preview →
Mon, Nov 30, 8:15 PM ESTESPN
Panthers19
Buccaneers24
We project Buccaneers 24-19, a 4.3-point margin with 42.8 total points; Buccaneers win 64% of the time.
Our number
TB by 4.3
Total 42.8
Book line
Not posted
Our number — TB by 4.3 · Total 42.8 | Book line — Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Buccaneers 64% · total 42.8Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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