NFL Week 6 Predictions & Projected Scores (2026)

Updated Oct 29, 2026

Week 6 of the 2026 NFL season has 14 games on our board. The closest projected matchup is Bears at Falcons (0.5-point margin), the highest projected total is Bills at Raiders (54.4 points) and the lowest is Steelers at Buccaneers (40.3). 6 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).

14 games have finished so far: the model picked the winner in 9 of them (64%).

Power rankings · Playoff predictions · How accurate are we?

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.

Every game

CSV download · Sports Pro

FinalPrime Video
Seahawks21final 14
Broncos20final 17
Final: Seahawks 14, Broncos 17. We projected Seahawks 21-20 (53%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: Clear, 54°F, Wind 7 mph NE.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
SEA by 1
Total 40.7
DraftKings
SEA -2.5
Total 40.5
Our number — SEA by 1 · Total 40.7 | DraftKings — SEA -2.5 · Total 40.5
Final DEN by 3. DEN covered the spread. 31 points — under the 40.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 14, 9:29 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Seahawks 53% · total 40.6Full preview →
FinalNFL Net
Texans19final 34
Jaguars23final 31
Final: Texans 34, Jaguars 31. We projected Jaguars 23-19 (62%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: Light rain, 56°F, Wind 14 mph NNE.Observed near kickoff for London · MET Norway
Our number
JAX by 3.6
Total 42.4
DraftKings
JAX -2.5
Total 42.5
Our number — JAX by 3.6 · Total 42.4 | DraftKings — JAX -2.5 · Total 42.5
Final HOU by 3. HOU covered the spread. 65 points — over the 42.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via The Odds API, Oct 18, 9:17 AM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jaguars 62% · total 42.4Full preview →
FinalFox
Bears26final 31
Falcons25final 23
Final: Bears 31, Falcons 23. We projected Bears 26-25 (52%) — winner called correctly.
Retractable roof (closed) · Indoors.
Our number
CHI by 0.5
Total 50.5
DraftKings
CHI -1.5
Total 51.5
Our number — CHI by 0.5 · Total 50.5 | DraftKings — CHI -1.5 · Total 51.5
Final CHI by 8. CHI covered the spread. 54 points — over the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bears 52% · total 50.5Full preview →
FinalFox
Ravens20final 10
Browns21final 13
Final: Ravens 10, Browns 13. We projected Browns 21-20 (53%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Clear, 57°F, Wind 10 mph SSE.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
CLE by 0.9
Total 40.7
DraftKings
BAL -3
Total 39.5
Our number — CLE by 0.9 · Total 40.7 | DraftKings — BAL -3 · Total 39.5
Final CLE by 3. CLE covered the spread. 23 points — under the 39.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Browns 53% · total 40.7Full preview →
FinalFox
Titans17final 26
Colts28final 20
Final: Titans 26, Colts 20. We projected Colts 28-17 (79%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 6 mph SE.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
IND by 10.4
Total 44.6
DraftKings
IND -6.5
Total 43.5
Our number — IND by 10.4 · Total 44.6 | DraftKings — IND -6.5 · Total 43.5
Final TEN by 6. TEN covered the spread. 46 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Colts 79% · total 44.6Full preview →
FinalCBS
Jets17final 19
Patriots27final 26
Final: Jets 19, Patriots 26. We projected Patriots 27-17 (79%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Clear, 52°F, Wind calm.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
NE by 10.3
Total 43.6
DraftKings
NE -7.5
Total 43.5
Our number — NE by 10.3 · Total 43.6 | DraftKings — NE -7.5 · Total 43.5
Final NE by 7. NYJ covered the spread. 45 points — over the 43.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Patriots 79% · total 43.5Full preview →
FinalFox
Saints22final 34
Giants24final 27
Final: Saints 34, Giants 27. We projected Giants 24-22 (57%) — the model missed this one.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 8 mph NE.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
NYG by 2.2
Total 45.5
DraftKings
NO -1.5
Total 46.5
Our number — NYG by 2.2 · Total 45.5 | DraftKings — NO -1.5 · Total 46.5
Final NO by 7. NO covered the spread. 61 points — over the 46.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Giants 57% · total 45.6Full preview →

FinalCBS
Panthers21final 25
Eagles21final 14
Final: Panthers 25, Eagles 14. We projected Panthers 21-21 (52%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Clear, 55°F, Wind 6 mph NE.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
CAR by 0.7
Total 41.7
DraftKings
CAR -3
Total 39.5
Our number — CAR by 0.7 · Total 41.7 | DraftKings — CAR -3 · Total 39.5
Final CAR by 11. CAR covered the spread. 39 points — under the 39.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Panthers 52% · total 41.7Full preview →
FinalCBS
Steelers20final 26
Buccaneers20final 19
Final: Steelers 26, Buccaneers 19. We projected Steelers 20-20 (52%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Clear, 79°F, Wind 11 mph ENE.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
PIT by 0.5
Total 40.3
DraftKings
PIT -2.5
Total 37.5
Our number — PIT by 0.5 · Total 40.3 | DraftKings — PIT -2.5 · Total 37.5
Final PIT by 7. PIT covered the spread. 45 points — over the 37.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 12:52 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Steelers 52% · total 40.3Full preview →
FinalFox
Cardinals20final 18
Rams32final 16
Final: Cardinals 18, Rams 16. We projected Rams 32-20 (82%) — the model missed this one.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
LA by 11.5
Total 51.8
DraftKings
LA -12.5
Total 51.5
Our number — LA by 11.5 · Total 51.8 | DraftKings — LA -12.5 · Total 51.5
Final ARI by 2. ARI covered the spread. 34 points — under the 51.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 3:24 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Rams 82% · total 51.7Full preview →
FinalCBS
Chargers17final 6
Chiefs26final 22
Final: Chargers 6, Chiefs 22. We projected Chiefs 26-17 (77%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Clear, 68°F, Wind 13 mph S.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
KC by 9.2
Total 42.2
DraftKings
KC -7.5
Total 41.5
Our number — KC by 9.2 · Total 42.2 | DraftKings — KC -7.5 · Total 41.5
Final KC by 16. KC covered the spread. 28 points — under the 41.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 3:24 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Chiefs 77% · total 42.2Full preview →
FinalCBS
Bills30final 33
Raiders25final 30
Final: Bills 33, Raiders 30. We projected Bills 30-25 (65%) — winner called correctly.
Indoors (dome).
Our number
BUF by 4.8
Total 54.5
DraftKings
BUF -5.5
Total 53.5
Our number — BUF by 4.8 · Total 54.5 | DraftKings — BUF -5.5 · Total 53.5
Final BUF by 3. LV covered the spread. 63 points — over the 53.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 3:24 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Bills 65% · total 54.4Full preview →
FinalNBC
Cowboys25final 13
Packers28final 23
Final: Cowboys 13, Packers 23. We projected Packers 28-25 (60%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Clear, 57°F, Wind 8 mph SSW.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
GB by 3.1
Total 53.1
DraftKings
DAL -1.5
Total 53.5
Our number — GB by 3.1 · Total 53.1 | DraftKings — DAL -1.5 · Total 53.5
Final GB by 10. GB covered the spread. 36 points — under the 53.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 18, 7:25 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Packers 60% · total 53.1Full preview →
FinalESPN / ABC
Commanders22final 17
49ers30final 23
Final: Commanders 17, 49ers 23. We projected 49ers 30-22 (76%) — winner called correctly.
Game-time weather: Mostly clear, 63°F, Wind 13 mph N.Observed near kickoff · National Weather Service
Our number
SF by 9
Total 51.9
DraftKings
SF -7.5
Total 51.5
Our number — SF by 9 · Total 51.9 | DraftKings — SF -7.5 · Total 51.5
Final SF by 6. WAS covered the spread. 40 points — under the 51.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
Line: DraftKings via ESPN odds feed, Oct 19, 3:19 PM EDT
Market data for comparison only, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
49ers 76% · total 51.9Full preview →

How these numbers are made

Each team gets offense and defense ratings in points and in expected points added per play, adjusted for opponent strength and started from last season's ratings regressed toward average. Quarterback changes, home field and travel, rest and weather are added with weights fitted on past seasons, and the margin becomes a calibrated win probability. The book line under each game (DraftKings when available, otherwise the consensus or the first book, each named with its source) is neutral market data shown for comparison. See methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.

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