Atlanta Braves: projections & ratings
National League East · Home park: Truist Park (run environment -0.8%)
Ratings
Atlanta Braves: 4.52 runs scored and 3.84 allowed per game over 169 games. Offense rating +0.04 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention -0.28 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: +1 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: 0 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): +4
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Wednesday, October 7, 2026: LAD @ ATL — LAD 4 – 1 ATL · Final (NL Division Series, game 4). Tyler Glasnow vs Tyler Mahle; projected LAD 4.9–3.8 ATL, 8.6 runs, LAD 59% to win.
- Tuesday, October 6, 2026: LAD @ ATL — LAD 3 – 1 ATL · Final (NL Division Series, game 3). Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs Chris Sale; projected LAD 4.0–3.7 ATL, 7.7 runs, LAD 51% to win.
- Sunday, October 4, 2026: ATL @ LAD — ATL 3 – 2 LAD · Final (NL Division Series, game 2). Ray Kerr vs Blake Snell; projected ATL 4.2–5.6 LAD, 9.8 runs, LAD 66% to win.
- Saturday, October 3, 2026: ATL @ LAD — ATL 3 – 5 LAD · Final (NL Division Series, game 1). Dylan Dodd vs Tarik Skubal; projected ATL 3.9–5.7 LAD, 9.6 runs, LAD 70% to win.
- Thursday, October 1, 2026: PHI @ ATL — PHI 2 – 6 ATL · Final (NL Wild Card Series, game 3). Aaron Nola vs Ray Kerr; projected PHI 4.8–4.4 ATL, 9.2 runs, PHI 52% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Michael Harris II (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.323
- Ronald Acuña Jr. (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.364
- Matt Olson (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.353
- Ozzie Albies (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.309
- Drake Baldwin (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.34
- Mike Yastrzemski (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.314
- Mauricio Dubón (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.301
- Austin Riley (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.317
- Sean Murphy (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.309
Bullpen workload
- Chris Sale: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +10.7 pts
- Dylan Lee: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +9.4 pts
- Raisel Iglesias: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +7.1 pts
- Didier Fuentes: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +6.5 pts
- Robert Suarez: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.4 pts
- Ray Kerr: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.4 pts
- Dylan Dodd: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.3 pts
- Brent Suter: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.3 pts
- Grant Holmes: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.7 pts
- Elieser Hernández: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.1 pts
- Owen Murphy: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.3 pts
- AJ Smith-Shawver: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -3.8 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale | 29 | 31.0% | 7.9% | 5.8 |
| Grant Holmes | 29 | 21.1% | 10.3% | 5.0 |
| Tyler Mahle | 29 | 21.4% | 8.1% | 5.8 |
| Bryce Elder | 26 | 18.9% | 8.9% | 5.4 |
| Martín Pérez | 26 | 17.2% | 10.1% | 5.1 |
| Reynaldo López | 13 | 24.2% | 9.8% | 4.6 |
| JR Ritchie | 11 | 21.1% | 13.2% | 5.0 |
| Spencer Strider | 8 | 29.0% | 10.6% | 5.0 |
2026 postseason: NL Wild Card Series preview vs Philadelphia Phillies · NL Division Series preview vs Los Angeles Dodgers · NLDS schedule, head-to-head and bullpens.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
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