Week 8 College Football Projections (2026)
Updated Oct 29, 2026
Week 8 of the 2026 college football season has 56 FBS games on our board. The closest projected matchup is San Diego State at Colorado State (0.3-point margin), the highest projected total is South Alabama at Marshall (68.8 points) and the lowest is Miami (OH) at Central Michigan (44.1). 12 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).
56 games have finished so far: the model picked the winner in 34 of them (61%).
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Every FBS game
CSV download · Sports Pro- FinalCBSSN
Middle Tennessee16.1final 26
Florida International28.6final 23Final: Middle Tennessee 26, Florida International 23. We projected Florida International 28.6-16.1 (79%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Florida International by 12.5
Total 44.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Middle Tennessee by 3. 49 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Florida International 79% · total 44.6Full preview → - FinalESPNU
Missouri State25.8final 38
Delaware29.8final 61Final: Missouri State 38, Delaware 61. We projected Delaware 29.8-25.8 (60%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Delaware by 4
Total 55.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Delaware by 23. 99 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Delaware 60% · total 55.6Full preview → - FinalESPN2
South Alabama37.1final 13
Marshall31.8final 20Final: South Alabama 13, Marshall 20. We projected South Alabama 37.1-31.8 (63%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
South Alabama by 5.3
Total 68.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Marshall by 7. 33 points. No book line was saved for this game.
South Alabama 63% · total 68.8Full preview → - FinalESPN2
New Mexico State24.4final 30
Sam Houston22.3final 24Final: New Mexico State 30, Sam Houston 24. We projected New Mexico State 24.4-22.3 (55%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
New Mexico State by 2.1
Total 46.6
Book line
Not posted
Final New Mexico State by 6. 54 points. No book line was saved for this game.
New Mexico State 55% · total 46.6Full preview → - FinalESPNU
James Madison35.3final 31
App State21.4final 34Final: James Madison 31, App State 34. We projected James Madison 35.3-21.4 (82%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
James Madison by 13.9
Total 56.6
Book line
Not posted
Final App State by 3. 65 points. No book line was saved for this game.
James Madison 82% · total 56.6Full preview → - FinalCBSSN
Liberty26.7final 34
Kennesaw State19.7final 6Final: Liberty 34, Kennesaw State 6. We projected Liberty 26.7-19.7 (67%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Liberty by 7
Total 46.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Liberty by 28. 40 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Liberty 67% · total 46.3Full preview → - FinalESPN2
East Carolina22.9final 34
Memphis29.9final 41Final: East Carolina 34, Memphis 41. We projected Memphis 29.9-22.9 (67%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Memphis by 7
Total 52.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Memphis by 7. 75 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Memphis 67% · total 52.7Full preview → - FinalESPN
Duke25final 19
Virginia24.3final 16Final: Duke 19, Virginia 16. We projected Duke 25-24.3 (52%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Duke by 0.7
Total 49.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Duke by 3. 35 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Duke 52% · total 49.2Full preview → - FinalCBSSN
Massachusetts20.1final 16
UConn34.5final 35Final: Massachusetts 16, UConn 35. We projected UConn 34.5-20.1 (82%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
UConn by 14.4
Total 54.6
Book line
Not posted
Final UConn by 19. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
UConn 82% · total 54.6Full preview → - FinalESPN2
Army28final 38
Tulsa25.4final 35Final: Army 38, Tulsa 35. We projected Army 28-25.4 (57%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Army by 2.6
Total 53.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Army by 3. 73 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Army 57% · total 53.4Full preview → - FinalCW
Air Force27final 14
Wyoming18.8final 28Final: Air Force 14, Wyoming 28. We projected Air Force 27-18.8 (70%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Air Force by 8.2
Total 45.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Wyoming by 14. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Air Force 70% · total 45.8Full preview → - FinalESPN
NC State35final 28
Stanford24.3final 31Final: NC State 28, Stanford 31. We projected NC State 35-24.3 (76%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
NC State by 10.7
Total 59.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Stanford by 3. 59 points. No book line was saved for this game.
NC State 76% · total 59.3Full preview → - FinalESPNEWS/Disney+
Pittsburgh18final 23
Miami38.9final 52Final: Pittsburgh 23, Miami 52. We projected Miami 38.9-18 (91%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Miami by 20.9
Total 56.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Miami by 29. 75 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Miami 91% · total 56.9Full preview → - FinalFox
Indiana29.4final 13
Michigan16.4final 6Final: Indiana 13, Michigan 6. We projected Indiana 29.4-16.4 (80%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Indiana by 13
Total 45.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Indiana by 7. 19 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Indiana 80% · total 45.7Full preview → - FinalFS1
Texas Tech36.1final 24
Cincinnati22.6final 37Final: Texas Tech 24, Cincinnati 37. We projected Texas Tech 36.1-22.6 (81%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Texas Tech by 13.5
Total 58.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Cincinnati by 13. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Texas Tech 81% · total 58.7Full preview → - FinalABC
LSU28.7final 38
Auburn20.1final 17Final: LSU 38, Auburn 17. We projected LSU 28.7-20.1 (71%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
LSU by 8.6
Total 48.7
Book line
Not posted
Final LSU by 21. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
LSU 71% · total 48.7Full preview → - FinalCW
California18.2final 20
SMU34.8final 59Final: California 20, SMU 59. We projected SMU 34.8-18.2 (86%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
SMU by 16.6
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
Final SMU by 39. 79 points. No book line was saved for this game.
SMU 86% · total 53Full preview → - FinalPeacock
Rutgers23.4final 14
Northwestern34.7final 42Final: Rutgers 14, Northwestern 42. We projected Northwestern 34.7-23.4 (77%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Northwestern by 11.3
Total 58.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Northwestern by 28. 56 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Northwestern 77% · total 58.1Full preview → - FinalESPN2
West Virginia23final 24
TCU34.8final 20Final: West Virginia 24, TCU 20. We projected TCU 34.8-23 (78%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
TCU by 11.8
Total 57.8
Book line
Not posted
Final West Virginia by 4. 44 points. No book line was saved for this game.
TCU 78% · total 57.8Full preview → - FinalESPNU
Rice24.1final 49
Florida Atlantic32.5final 51Final: Rice 49, Florida Atlantic 51. We projected Florida Atlantic 32.5-24.1 (71%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Florida Atlantic by 8.4
Total 56.6
Book line
Not posted
Final Florida Atlantic by 2. 100 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Florida Atlantic 71% · total 56.6Full preview → - FinalCBSSN
Western Michigan24.7final 38
Toledo25.7final 45Final: Western Michigan 38, Toledo 45. We projected Toledo 25.7-24.7 (53%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Toledo by 1
Total 50.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Toledo by 7. 83 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Toledo 53% · total 50.3Full preview → - FinalTNT
Baylor26.1final 24
Kansas27.1final 25Final: Baylor 24, Kansas 25. We projected Kansas 27.1-26.1 (53%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Kansas by 1
Total 53.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Kansas by 1. 49 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kansas 53% · total 53.1Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Akron24.9final 20
Kent State25.5final 35Final: Akron 20, Kent State 35. We projected Kent State 25.5-24.9 (52%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Kent State by 0.6
Total 50.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Kent State by 15. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kent State 52% · total 50.4Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Miami (OH)22.8final 28
Central Michigan21.4final 27Final: Miami (OH) 28, Central Michigan 27. We projected Miami (OH) 22.8-21.4 (54%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Miami (OH) by 1.4
Total 44.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Miami (OH) by 1. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Miami (OH) 54% · total 44.1Full preview → - FinalBTN
Oregon36.7final 10
Illinois20.8final 21Final: Oregon 10, Illinois 21. We projected Oregon 36.7-20.8 (85%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Oregon by 15.9
Total 57.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Illinois by 11. 31 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Oregon 85% · total 57.5Full preview → - FinalFox
BYU29.6final 31
UCF18.9final 39Final: BYU 31, UCF 39. We projected BYU 29.6-18.9 (76%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
BYU by 10.7
Total 48.5
Book line
Not posted
Final UCF by 8. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
BYU 76% · total 48.5Full preview → - FinalCBS
Michigan State17final 10
UCLA30.8final 28Final: Michigan State 10, UCLA 28. We projected UCLA 30.8-17 (81%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
UCLA by 13.7
Total 47.8
Book line
Not posted
Final UCLA by 18. 38 points. No book line was saved for this game.
UCLA 81% · total 47.8Full preview → - FinalESPN/Disney+
Tennessee29.9final 24
South Carolina25.7final 27Final: Tennessee 24, South Carolina 27. We projected Tennessee 29.9-25.7 (61%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Tennessee by 4.2
Total 55.6
Book line
Not posted
Final South Carolina by 3. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Tennessee 61% · total 55.6Full preview →
- FinalABC
Texas A&M19.7final 20
Alabama32.3final 31Final: Texas A&M 20, Alabama 31. We projected Alabama 32.3-19.7 (79%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Alabama by 12.6
Total 51.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Alabama by 11. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Alabama 79% · total 51.9Full preview → - FinalFS1
Iowa29.7final 10
Minnesota16.9final 13Final: Iowa 10, Minnesota 13. We projected Iowa 29.7-16.9 (80%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Iowa by 12.8
Total 46.5
Book line
Not posted
Final Minnesota by 3. 23 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Iowa 80% · total 46.5Full preview → - FinalSEC Network
Oklahoma27.7final 23
Mississippi State23.2final 15Final: Oklahoma 23, Mississippi State 15. We projected Oklahoma 27.7-23.2 (61%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma by 4.5
Total 50.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma by 8. 38 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Oklahoma 61% · total 50.8Full preview → - FinalACC Network
Boston College19.6final 49
Georgia Tech29.5final 27Final: Boston College 49, Georgia Tech 27. We projected Georgia Tech 29.5-19.6 (74%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Georgia Tech by 9.9
Total 49
Book line
Not posted
Final Boston College by 22. 76 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Georgia Tech 74% · total 49Full preview → - FinalCBSSN
North Texas31.9final 49
Navy30final 39Final: North Texas 49, Navy 39. We projected North Texas 31.9-30 (55%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
North Texas by 1.9
Total 61.9
Book line
Not posted
Final North Texas by 10. 88 points. No book line was saved for this game.
North Texas 55% · total 61.9Full preview → - FinalMW+
Hawai'i22.5final 56
Northern Illinois23.8final 21Final: Hawai'i 56, Northern Illinois 21. We projected Northern Illinois 23.8-22.5 (53%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Northern Illinois by 1.3
Total 46.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Hawai'i by 35. 77 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Northern Illinois 53% · total 46.3Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Sacramento State23.5final 17
Ball State33final 34Final: Sacramento State 17, Ball State 34. We projected Ball State 33-23.5 (73%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Ball State by 9.5
Total 56.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Ball State by 17. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Ball State 73% · total 56.4Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Bowling Green21.2final 24
Buffalo24.7final 31Final: Bowling Green 24, Buffalo 31. We projected Buffalo 24.7-21.2 (59%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Buffalo by 3.5
Total 45.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Buffalo by 7. 55 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Buffalo 59% · total 45.9Full preview → - FinalESPN2
Kansas State31final 17
Arizona State27.3final 28Final: Kansas State 17, Arizona State 28. We projected Kansas State 31-27.3 (59%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Kansas State by 3.7
Total 58.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona State by 11. 45 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kansas State 59% · total 58.3Full preview → - FinalESPNU
Eastern Michigan19.3final 20
Ohio32.7final 24Final: Eastern Michigan 20, Ohio 24. We projected Ohio 32.7-19.3 (81%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Ohio by 13.4
Total 51.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Ohio by 4. 44 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Ohio 81% · total 51.9Full preview → - FinalESPN+
UL Monroe18.7final 21
Troy34.2final 14Final: UL Monroe 21, Troy 14. We projected Troy 34.2-18.7 (84%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Troy by 15.5
Total 52.9
Book line
Not posted
Final UL Monroe by 7. 35 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Troy 84% · total 52.9Full preview → - FinalMW+
San José State21.2final 13
Nevada26.8final 28Final: San José State 13, Nevada 28. We projected Nevada 26.8-21.2 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Nevada by 5.6
Total 47.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Nevada by 15. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Nevada 64% · total 47.9Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Louisiana31.9final 31
Southern Miss22.1final 35Final: Louisiana 31, Southern Miss 35. We projected Louisiana 31.9-22.1 (74%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Louisiana by 9.8
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
Final Southern Miss by 4. 66 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Louisiana 74% · total 54Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Old Dominion17final 0
Louisiana Tech28.3final 26Final: Old Dominion 0, Louisiana Tech 26. We projected Louisiana Tech 28.3-17 (77%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Louisiana Tech by 11.2
Total 45.3
Book line
Not posted
Final Louisiana Tech by 26. 26 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Louisiana Tech 77% · total 45.3Full preview → - FinalUSA Net
Boise State35.7final 31
Washington State18.1final 10Final: Boise State 31, Washington State 10. We projected Boise State 35.7-18.1 (87%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Boise State by 17.6
Total 53.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Boise State by 21. 41 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Boise State 87% · total 53.8Full preview → - FinalCW
San Diego State31final 49
Colorado State30.7final 56Final: San Diego State 49, Colorado State 56. We projected San Diego State 31-30.7 (51%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
dead even
Total 61.7
Book line
Not posted
Final Colorado State by 7. 105 points. No book line was saved for this game.
San Diego State 51% · total 61.7Full preview → - FinalFS1
Colorado22.8final 24
Oklahoma State28.2final 57Final: Colorado 24, Oklahoma State 57. We projected Oklahoma State 28.2-22.8 (64%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Oklahoma State by 5.4
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
Final Oklahoma State by 33. 81 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Oklahoma State 64% · total 51Full preview → - FinalESPN
Virginia Tech23.4final 20
Clemson26.9final 16Final: Virginia Tech 20, Clemson 16. We projected Clemson 26.9-23.4 (59%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Clemson by 3.5
Total 50.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Virginia Tech by 4. 36 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Clemson 59% · total 50.2Full preview → - FinalESPN+
Georgia State30final 32
Arkansas State28.9final 38Final: Georgia State 32, Arkansas State 38. We projected Georgia State 30-28.9 (53%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Georgia State by 1.1
Total 58.8
Book line
Not posted
Final Arkansas State by 6. 70 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Georgia State 53% · total 58.8Full preview → - FinalABC
Ole Miss25.1final 27
Texas29.1final 34Final: Ole Miss 27, Texas 34. We projected Texas 29.1-25.1 (60%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Texas by 4
Total 54.1
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas by 7. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Texas 60% · total 54.1Full preview → - FinalSEC Network
Vanderbilt23final 17
Kentucky31.9final 34Final: Vanderbilt 17, Kentucky 34. We projected Kentucky 31.9-23 (71%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Kentucky by 8.8
Total 54.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Kentucky by 17. 51 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Kentucky 71% · total 54.9Full preview → - FinalNBC
USC28.6final 7
Wisconsin22.3final 24Final: USC 7, Wisconsin 24. We projected USC 28.6-22.3 (66%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
USC by 6.3
Total 50.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Wisconsin by 17. 31 points. No book line was saved for this game.
USC 66% · total 50.9Full preview → - FinalESPN2
Iowa State21final 3
Arizona30.9final 39Final: Iowa State 3, Arizona 39. We projected Arizona 30.9-21 (74%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Arizona by 9.9
Total 51.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Arizona by 36. 42 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Arizona 74% · total 51.9Full preview → - FinalACC Network
Syracuse21.2final 31
North Carolina29.3final 30Final: Syracuse 31, North Carolina 30. We projected North Carolina 29.3-21.2 (70%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
North Carolina by 8.1
Total 50.4
Book line
Not posted
Final Syracuse by 1. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
North Carolina 70% · total 50.4Full preview → - FinalCBSSN
Utah State24.1final 17
Texas State37final 20Final: Utah State 17, Texas State 20. We projected Texas State 37-24.1 (80%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Texas State by 12.9
Total 61
Book line
Not posted
Final Texas State by 3. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Texas State 80% · total 61Full preview → - FinalESPNU
UTSA25.3final 42
Tulane26final 19Final: UTSA 42, Tulane 19. We projected Tulane 26-25.3 (52%) — the model missed this one.
Our number· pregame
Tulane by 0.7
Total 51.2
Book line
Not posted
Final UTSA by 23. 61 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Tulane 52% · total 51.2Full preview → - FinalESPN
Houston26.4final 13
Utah32.5final 21Final: Houston 13, Utah 21. We projected Utah 32.5-26.4 (65%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
Utah by 6.1
Total 58.9
Book line
Not posted
Final Utah by 8. 34 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Utah 65% · total 58.9Full preview → - FinalCW
North Dakota State20.9final 16
New Mexico24.9final 21Final: North Dakota State 16, New Mexico 21. We projected New Mexico 24.9-20.9 (60%) — winner called correctly.
Our number· pregame
New Mexico by 4
Total 45.8
Book line
Not posted
Final New Mexico by 5. 37 points. No book line was saved for this game.
New Mexico 60% · total 45.8Full preview →
How these numbers are made
Each team gets opponent-adjusted offense and defense ratings for points, expected points added per play and success rate, built from every snap of play-by-play with garbage time removed. Early in the season the ratings lean on a preseason prior (last two seasons, returning production, roster talent); every game played shifts them toward this year. A fitted model turns the rating gaps plus home field (about 2 points, more in the opening weeks) and rest into a margin and a total, and the margin into a calibrated win probability. See the methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.
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